Belgrove Farms Inc.
Tontz, Richard ; Rymsza, Leonard ; Marcal, Leah 等
Exhibit 1: Thorp Proposal Letter Belgrove Farms Inc. 17342 Mendow Circle, San Jose, CA 95129 Phone (408) 555-CORN January 10, 20xx (1) Mr. Robert Belgrove 124 East Ocean Ave. Santa Barbara, CA 93105 Dear Uncle Bob: As we discussed last fall, I have been looking into switching the company's output from Grade AA yellow corn to a new strain of Genetically Modified (GM) yellow corn. I think you will be pleased with the following results of my analysis and the potential impact on our profitability. Output and Revenue Analysis: Based on our output from last year, if we plant Grade AA yellow corn again we can anticipate: Total Revenue (TR) = $ 1,450,000 (290,000 x $ 5.00) If we switch to the new GM yellow corn: Total Revenue (TR) = $ 2,653,750 (482,500 x $ 5.50) As you can see, our output would increase and the GM yellow corn is of somewhat higher quality generating a higher anticipated price. This change would increase output by 192,500 bushels or 66% and increase TR by $ 1,203,750. Cost Analysis: Our average production cost was $ 2.48 per AA yellow corn bushel this past year. We estimate it will be $ 2.70 per AA yellow corn bushel this year. If we switch to GM yellow corn, our processing, overhead and planting expenses will not change, but the increased price of GM yellow corn seed will raise average production cost per bushel to $ 3.25. AA yellow corn Cost: 290,000 x $ 2.70 = $ 783,000. GM yellow corn Cost: 482,500 x $ 3.25 = $ 1,568,125. Increased Cost: $ 785,125. Profit Analysis: Increased total revenue = $ 1,203,750 Increased cost = $ 785,125 Increased profit: $ 418,625 Total Profit: $ 1,085,625 I hope you are as excited about this potential as I am. There has been some bad press about the genetically modified products in Europe, but I think that's just the usual fear of new technologies. Sincerely, Kevin Kevin P. Thorp Operations Manager Belgrove Farms Inc. (1) Let 20xx = current year. Exhibit 4: Marna Kim's Memorandum Memo To: All Student Teams, Benderson Consulting From: Marna P. Kim, Senior Financial Analyst, Benderson Consulting MPK Date: February 2, 20xx. Re: Belgrove Farms Inc. Please forgive my generality, but since I don't know at the moment which team will be doing this research, I have laid out a brief outline of the major points I think should be considered in evaluating the proposal of Mr. Kevin Thorp, the Operations Manager, at Belgrove Farms Inc. Background: Robert Belgrove, a conservative older gentleman who founded the firm, is the client. He is very proud of the firm's commitment to quality. Kevin Thorp, a nephew of Mr. Belgrove, was hired by him two years ago. Kevin is 27 and recently graduated from a state university with a business degree. Q. 1. Belgrove Farms has four sub-divisions (four different farms it has previously acquired). Since the farms have different relative productive abilities (AA yellow corn vs. GM yellow corn), and production can be shifted by farm, consideration must be given to the best combination of outputs to maximize the economic profit. a. Calculate the output of each farm for AA yellow corn or GM yellow corn. From this data, calculate the economic cost of AA yellow corn in terms of GM yellow corn (ratio) and the economic cost of GM yellow corn in terms of AA yellow corn (ratio) [i.e., 1 AA = [?.bar] GM; or 1GM = [?.bar] AA.] b. Our marketing division has put together a projection of expected selling prices (see Exhibit 5). Apparently there are some consumer issues about the new corn. These issues may affect the expected selling price of GM yellow corn. Evaluation of some alternative prices for GM yellow corn may be in order. c. Combine the relative output ratios from Q.1.a. with the selling prices from Q.1.b. to determine an optimal output table at each selling price of GM yellow corn. (Remember opportunity cost and comparative advantage analysis from economics, and contribution margin from accounting?) Q. 2. Using the client's production cost data (Exhibit 1), demonstrate the change in profits expected from the above production recommendation for the alternative potential selling prices of GM yellow corn. Q. 3. Assuming the probabilities of alternative prices for GM yellow corn are as stated in Exhibit 5, calculate the expected change in profits from adopting our recommendation. (This is important since it can be used to justify our consulting fees.) Q. 4. Okay, that's the economic analysis, but consider the nature of a family business and any strategic and ethical issues that might be important, and check with me. We want to make the right recommendation for the client. Exhibit 5: Marketing and Price Analysis Benderson Consulting Group--Marketing Division Background: The Marketing Division was asked to analyze the expected prices and probabilities for AA yellow corn and Genetically Modified (GM) yellow corn for the summer harvest. Analysis: Estimating the future demand and supply of the commodity derives the projected market prices. The factors considered in the demand portion of this analysis include population growth, consumer preferences, and income. Relative prices of substitutes and complements were considered as static or unchanged. The supply portion of the analysis considered current input prices, existing technology, existing stocks on hand (domestic and foreign), and government policies (domestic and foreign). Exchange rate estimates were taken from our International Division's current forecast. Price Forecast: AA Yellow Corn (domestic): Price per bushel: $ 5.00. GM Yellow Corn (domestic): Two alternative price scenarios should be considered. The demand acceptance of GM products in general is in question. There have been numerous reviews by governments all over the world, but particularly in Europe. 1. Scenario #1: Price of GM Yellow Corn (domestic): $ 5.50. Europe adopts few restrictions on the importation of GM products, but prohibits European production. 2. Scenario #2: Price of GM Yellow Corn (domestic): $ 4.70. Europe adopts heavy restrictions on the importation of GM products. At this time, we consider the probabilities to be: Scenario #1: 60%; and Scenario #2: 40%. The futures markets will have determined which price will occur before it is time to plant the summer crop.
Exhibit 2: Estimated Production by Farm Projected Year 20xx: Production Summary for AA Yellow Corn by Sub-division: 1. Brookhurst Farm: 200 acres 20,000 bushels (100 per acre) 2. Fordum Estates: 500 acres 50,000 bushels (100 per acre) 3. Gatos Peligo: 300 acres 60,000 bushels (200 per acre) 4. Sally's Place: 800 acres 160,000 bushels (200 per acre) 5. Belgrove Farms Total: 1,800 acres 290,000 bushels AA yellow corn Projected Year 20xx: Production Summary for GM Yellow Corn by Sub-division: 1. Brookhurst Farm: 200 acres 22,000 bushels (110 per acre) 2. Fordum Estates: 500 acres 50,500 bushels (101 per acre) 3. Gatos Peligo: 300 acres 90,000 bushels (300 per acre) 4. Sally's Place: 800 acres 320,000 bushels (400 per acre) 5. Belgrove Farms Total: 1,800 acres 482,500 bushels GM yellow corn Exhibit 3: Belgrove Farms: Income for the Two Years Preceding 20xx 1st Prior Year 2nd Prior Year (Last Year) (Year Before Last) Sales and Changes in Value of $1,254,250 $1,160,181 Crop Inventories Expenses and Losses Cost of Production 720,360 677,138 Selling, General, and 313,200 269,352 Administrative Expenses Technological Expenses 93,960 79,866 Other 11,745 10,336 Income From Continuing 114,985 123,489 Operations Before Taxes Income Taxes 32,196 34,577 Net Income $82,789 $88,912 Basic Earnings Per Share $0.32 $0.35