Corruption and innovation.
Veracierto, Marcelo
Introduction and summary
In this article, I illustrate how corruption can lower the rate of
product innovation in an industry. This is important because, if many
industries are subject to corrupt practices, the lower rate of
innovation would result in a lower growth rate for the whole economy.
(1) Actually, the view that corruption is closely related to economic
development is widely held in practice: Poor African countries, such as
Kenya and Zaire, are commonly believed to lose a considerable fraction
of their gross domestic product (GDP) to corruption activities. Figure I
illustrates the extent of this perception. It plots 2004 GDP per capita
levels from the Penn World Table against the 2004 Corruption Perception
Index constructed by Transparency International. (2) Since a Corruption
Perception Index number close to zero indicates no corruption, figure 1
shows a clear negative relation between corruption and economic
development.
While a negative correlation between corruption and GDP per capita
levels is highly suggestive of an actual link, it is not conclusive
evidence. It may be the case that corruption is closely related to other
variables, such as political instability, the extent of violence, or the
combativeness of unions, among other factors, and that these other
variables are the ones generating poor economic development outcomes. In
addition, GDP per capita levels may be affecting corruption levels and
not the other way round. To complicate matters further, the negative
correlation between corruption indexes and GDP per capita levels could
be a mere artifact: It may well be the case that low GDP per capita
levels are biasing the subjective perception of corruption reported by
survey respondents. To disentangle the effects of corruption on economic
development, further analysis is needed.
In this article, I provide theoretical grounds for pursuing such an
analysis: In particular, I explore the strategic interactions between
producers and corrupt officials. The basic corruption scenario
considered involves three agents: an innovator, an incumbent producer,
and a corrupt government official. The innovator wants to enter business
by potentially paying a bribe; the incumbent producer wants to preclude
the entry of the innovator by potentially paying a bribe; and the
corrupt official decides on allowing the entry of the innovator based on
the bribes received. Key elements of the game are that the government
official can make successive take-it-or-leave-it bribe offers to the
producers and that the central government can never verify the actual
payment of a bribe (with some probability, the central government can
detect that the entry permit was misallocated but cannot prove the
actual amount of the bribe paid). Under these assumptions and within
certain ranges, I show that the amount of bribes that the government
official can collect can be very responsive to small changes in the
probability of detection or in the penalties imposed. In fact, the bribe
payments are shown to be a discontinuous function of those variables.
Since the resources devoted to innovation are continuously and inversely
related to the bribes that producers must pay, this means that the
amount of resources devoted to innovation is a discontinuous function of
the probability of detecting corruption and of the penalties imposed.
The rest of this article is organized as follows. In the next
section, I discuss the related literature. Then, l describe the
corruption game and characterize its solution. Next, I analyze the
implications of the corruption game for innovation decisions. Finally, I
draw some conclusions about my findings.
[FIGURE 1 OMITTED]
Related literature
Systematic empirical evidence about the relationship between
corruption and economic development is hard to come by. A notable
exception is the study by Mauro (1995). Using Business International
Corporation's indexes on corruption, red tape, and efficiency of
the judicial system over the period 1980-83 (now incorporated into the
Economist Intelligence Unit), Mauro was able to estimate the direct
effects of corruption on economic development. He found that corruption
lowers investment, even controlling for other determinants of investment
and endogeneity effects. The magnitude of the effect is quite
significant. Mauro found that a one standard deviation improvement in
the corruption index is associated with an increase in investment of 2.9
percent of GDP. This means, for example, that "if Bangladesh were
to improve the integrity and efficiency of its bureaucracy to the level
of that of Uruguay, its investment rate would rise by almost five
percentage points, and its yearly GDP growth rate would rise by over
half a percentage point" (Mauro, 1995, p. 705).
On the theoretical side, the literature has proceeded along two
lines. One, following Becker and Stigler (1974), used a principal-agent
approach. In particular, it focused on the incentives that the central
government (the principal) can give a government official (the agent) to
make him behave honestly. Another strand, following Shleifer and Vishny
(1993), took the corrupt behavior of government officials as a given and
analyzed the consequences that their behavior has on resource
allocation. In this approach, corrupted officials are modeled as
monopolistic suppliers of a government good (such as a passport, an
import license, the fight to use a road, etc.) that is supposed to be
supplied at a prespecified price. The corrupt official overcharges the
government good to maximize his total revenues.
More recently, Acemoglu and Verdier (2000) took a broader approach.
They considered a static economy in which producers can choose to pay a
cost in older to produce with a clean technology (otherwise, their
production process pollutes the environment). The government wants to
tax polluters and subsidize clean producers in order to reduce the
associated negative externality. However, it must rely on officials to
inspect the producers and determine their pollution status. The
officials are assumed to be corrupt: Through bribes they are able to
grab an exogenous share of the surplus, which is assumed to be equal to
the sum of the tax and the subsidy that the official can potentially
charge. As a consequence, the government faces an important trade-off
between taxation and corruption: It wants to tax polluters, but in order
to detect them it must rely on corrupted officials that consume
resources. In this environment, Acemoglu and Verdier (2000) characterize
the optimal amount of taxation/corruption.
While Acemoglu and Verdier (2000) were able to analyze the optimal
taxation/corruption policy of the government, in order to do so they had
to simplify the interaction between the government officials and the
producers to a reduced form. My contribution to this literature is to
spell out that interaction in an explicit game and analyze its
implications in detail. Since Djankov et al. (2002) report that there
are large differences across countries in the regulation of entry and
that this type of regulation is associated with sharply higher levels of
corruption, I formulate the corruption game in the context of entry
decisions to an industry. (3)
The corruption game
The corruption game is as follows. Consider the case of a product
line that is supplied by a single producer--the incumbent. The value of
supplying the product line is given by V. In addition, there is a
potential producer that has just created a new product generation--the
innovator. If the innovator is allowed to supply the new product, the
incumbent will be driven out of the market. As a consequence, the
innovator would obtain the value V and the incumbent would lose it.
Entry is regulated: The innovator must receive permission from the
government to enter business. The reason for the regulation is that the
innovator may produce with a technology that pollutes the environment.
The government is willing to grant the entry permit to the innovator
only if the new production technology is clean. However, the government
must send a government official to determine whether the new technology
pollutes or not. Once the government official inspects the new
technology, its pollution status becomes fully known to him. After the
official learns the pollution status of the new technology, he must
report it to the central government. If the official reports that the
new technology pollutes the environment, the innovator is precluded from
producing but faces no additional penalties. (4)
The government official is corrupt. He has the ability of
misrepresenting to the government the true pollution status of the new
technology. This allows him to try to extract a bribe, either from the
incumbent or the innovator, in determining which report to make to the
central government. For simplicity, I assume that the pollution status
of the new technology is fully known to both the innovator and the
incumbent. This means that once the government official inspects the new
technology, its pollution status becomes common knowledge to the three
parties--the incumbent, the innovator, and the official.
The government never observes the actual bribe payment received by
the official. However, once the official makes his report, with
probability [phi] the government independently learns about the true
pollution status of the new technology. If the official is found to have
granted an entry permit to a polluter, there are penalties involved. In
particular, the official is fined pV, while the innovator is fined mV.
If the official is found to have rejected an entry permit to a clean
innovator, there are also penalties involved: The official is fined pV,
and the incumbent is fined mV.
The official is assumed to be able to make take-it-or-leave-it
offers. The key decision for the official is whether to request a bribe
and from whom. In what follows, we will see that the best strategy for
the official is to turn to the producer with the largest joint surplus
and make him a take-it-or-leave-it offer. However, for the producer with
the largest joint surplus to accept this bribe proposal, it must be
credible that the producer with the second largest joint surplus would
be willing to accept a bribe proposal if offered one. This will require
the second largest joint surplus to be positive.
In principle, two possible scenarios must be considered: the
scenario in which the innovator does not pollute the environment and the
scenario in which the innovator does pollute the environment. However,
the two scenarios are completely symmetrical. In each scenario there is
a "legal" producer and an "illegal" producer. In the
case that the innovator pollutes, the legal producer is the incumbent;
in the case that the innovator does not pollute, the legal producer is
the innovator. Moreover, the payoffs to each player in the corruption
game only depend on whether the bribes are being extracted from the
legal producer or the illegal producer (that is, the payoffs are
independent of the actual identity of the producers). Given this
symmetry, in what follows I consider a single corruption game that
differentiates producers only according to their legal status, with the
understanding that the identities of the legal and illegal producers are
determined by the actual scenario taking place.
Figure 2 describes the sequence of moves for the corruption game.
In the first stage, the government official must decide between three
alternatives: 1) not to seek bribes, 2) to initially seek a bribe from
the illegal producer 1, and 3) to initially seek a bribe from the legal
producer L. In the case that the official seeks a bribe, he must decide
how much to demand from the producer he initially turns to (the
continuum of values for the bribe are represented as the base of the
triangles in figure 2). If the bribe request is accepted, the game ends.
Otherwise, the official turns to the second producer and decides how
much to demand from him. The game ends after this point, if this bribe
request is rejected, the official assigns the production permit to the
legal producer, since he has nothing to gain otherwise, in what follows,
I analyze the way that the corruption game is played.
[FIGURE 2 OMITTED]
First, observe that the government official always has a larger
joint surplus to share with the legal producer than with the illegal
producer. The reason is that the value of being the product leader is
the same for both types of producers, but there are penalties involved
if a deal with the illegal producer is subsequently detected. In
addition, the value of not being the product leader is the same for both
types of producers (in particular, it is equal to zero). This means that
the government official will always want to extract bribes from the
legal producer. However, for the legal producer to be willing to pay
such a bribe, it should be credible that the government official would
want to reach a deal with the illegal producer in a second round of
negotiation. If this is not the case, the legal producer will reject any
bribe request, since he knows that the government official will
subsequently take the legal course of action.
Observe that the payoff to the illegal producer of reaching a deal
with the government official is:
[P.sub.1] = V - [B.sub.1] - [phi]) [V + mV],
where [B.sub.1] are the bribes paid. This payoff is equal to the
value of being the product leader net of the bribe payment minus the
losses if the deal is detected, an event that happens with probability
[phi]. Since the payoff to the illegal producer of rejecting the bribe
is zero, the largest bribe that the government official would be able to
extract from the illegal producer in a take-it-or-leave-it offer is
given by: (5)
1) [B.sub.1] (1 - [phi])V - [phi]mV.
The payoff to the government official in this case is
[P.sub.o] = [B.sub.1] - [phi]pV = (1 - [phi])V - [phi]mV -[phi]pV.
That is, it is the maximum bribe that the government official could
extract from the illegal producer minus the penalty pV times the
probability [phi] of being caught by the central government.
The condition that this payoff [P.sub.o] is positive reduces to
2) 1 - [phi]/[phi] > m + p.
If this condition is not satisfied, it would be in the best
interest of the government official not to seek a bribe from the illegal
producer. Hence, the legal producer would reject any take-it-or-leave-it
offer made by the official and the legal course of action would be
taken. If the condition in equation 2 is satisfied, the government
official would be able to extract bribes from the legal producer, since
it becomes fully credible that he would subsequently want to reach a
deal with the illegal producer.
Observe that the payoff to the legal producer of reaching a deal
with the government official is:
[P.sub.L] = V - [B.sub.L].
That is, it is equal to the value of being the product leader net
of the bribes paid. This payoff is non-random because if the central
government independently learned about the pollution status of the
innovator, it would conclude that the entry permit was correctly
allocated (recall that the central government can never prove that a
bribe payment took place). Also, the payoff to the legal producer of
rejecting a bribe offer from the government official is [phi]V, since
with probability [phi] the illegal action will be detected by the
central government and the legal producer will become the product
leader. Hence, the largest bribe that the government official will be
able to extract from the legal producer is: (6)
3) [B.sub.L] = (1 - [phi])V.
To summarize, the equilibrium of the corruption game is as follows.
If the condition in equation 2 is violated, no bribes are paid. If the
condition in equation 2 is satisfied, the government official extracts
from the legal producer the bribes given by equation 3. In both cases,
the official takes the legal course of action. Figure 3 provides an
illustration of the equilibrium outcome.
Innovation decisions
In this section, I describe in detail the industry in which the
incumbent and innovator of the previous section operate. The purpose is
to determine how corruption affects the industry's innovation rate.
The industry produces a product that comes in many possible
qualities. At each point in time, there is a frontier version that
dominates all previous ones. A single producer has the patent to this
version. He drives all other producers out of the market and enjoys a
profit flow equal to [PI]. However, he loses his leading position
whenever an innovator enters business with a quality improvement. In
this case, the incumbent is driven out of the market, and the innovator
becomes the new industry leader, which provides him the profit flow
[PI].
Product innovations take place at an endogenously determined rate
[eta]. At every point in time there are a large number of potential
producers (innovators) that invest in research and development (R&D)
in order to create a new product generation. They all face a same cost
function r([eta]), which describes the costs of generating an arrival
rate equal to [eta]. (7) If an innovator succeeds in creating the new
product generation, he can apply for an entry permit. If the entry
permit is awarded, the innovator becomes the new industry leader.
However, entry is regulated as in the previous section. In particular, a
government official is sent to inspect the pollution status of the new
technology. As a result, the official, the incumbent producer, and the
innovator end up playing the corruption game described before. The
probability that an entry application is inspected by a government
official is equal to [gamma], while the probability that an innovation
pollutes is equal to [xi].
[FIGURE 3 OMITTED]
The optimization problem of an innovator is then the following:
4) max {[eta][[xi][N.sub.p] + (1 - [xi])[N.sub.c]] - r([eta])},
where [N.sub.p], is the value of being an innovator that pollutes
and [N.sub.c] is the value of being an innovator that produces with a
clean technology. That is, the innovator chooses the arrival rate [eta]
to maximize the expected value net of R&D costs. The optimal
innovation rate [eta] is characterized by the following condition:
5) r' (n) = [xi][N.sub.p] + (1 - [xi])[N.sub.c].
That is, the innovator equates marginal revenue to marginal cost.
In what follows, I sketch the main properties of the optimal R&D
investment decisions both from an individual point of view and at the
industry level. The appendix provides a more detailed analysis.
To start with, observe that the marginal cost function r' is
strictly increasing. Thus, given fixed values for [N.sub.p], and
[N.sub.c], there is a unique value of [eta] that satisfies equation 5.
While an individual innovator takes the values of [N.sub.p] and
[N.sub.c]. as given (since he is competitive), these values actually
depend on the industry-wide innovation rate [[eta].sup.*]. Moreover,
they are strictly decreasing in the industry-wide innovation rate
[[eta].sup.*]. The reason is that given all other parameter values, an
increase in [[eta].sup.*] decreases the expected length of time over
which a producer can retain the leadership of a product line (that is,
it increases the rate at which future innovators will drive him out of
the market). Thus, the expected value
[bar.N]=[xi][N.sub.p] +(1-[xi])[N.sub.c]
in the right-hand side of equation 5 is strictly decreasing in
[[eta].sup.*]. At equilibrium, the industry-wide innovation rate
[[eta].sup.*] that innovators take as given (and that determines the
expected value [bar.N]) must be identical to the one they choose from
their individual perspective. That is, at equilibrium we must have that
the innovation rate satisfies:
6) r'([[eta].sup.*]) = [bar.N]([[eta].sup.*]).
Since the left-hand side of equation 6 is strictly increasing in
[[eta].sup.*] and the right-hand side of equation 6 is strictly
decreasing in [[eta].sup.*], there is a unique value of [[eta].sup.*]
that satisfies this equation. That is, there is a unique industry
equilibrium. Figure 4 illustrates this equilibrium.
We are interested in how the equilibrium innovation rate
[[eta].sup.*] is affected by changes in different parameter values.
While the appendix provides a formal analysis, the results are quite
intuitive. We saw in the previous section that the penalties to the
government official and illegal producer (p and m, respectively) affect
whether bribes are paid or not but do not affect the magnitude of the
bribes. In particular, if the condition in equation 2 is satisfied,
bribes are paid. However, p and m do not enter equation 3, which
describes the equilibrium bribes [B.sub.L] that the government officials
are able to extract from the legal producers. This means that as long as
p + m > ( 1 - [phi])/[phi], the expected value [bar.N] is independent
of those penalties; but as soon as p + m becomes equal to ( 1 -
[phi]))/[phi], the expected value [bar.N] plummets because now producers
become subject to bribes. Further, decreases in p + m have no additional
effects in [bar.N]. The implications for the equilibrium innovation rate
are shown in figure 5. The curve [[bar.N].sub.1] describes the expected
value of innovating in the case in which there are no bribes (that is,
when p + m > (1- [phi])/[phi]), while the curve [[bar.N].sub.2]
describes the expected value of innovation when producers pay bribes
(that is, when p + m < (1 - [phi])/[phi]). Since [[bar.N].sub.2] is
lower than [[bar.N].sub.1] for every value of [eta], it follows that the
equilibrium innovation rate with bribes [[eta].sup.*.sub.2] must be
lower than the equilibrium innovation rate when there are no bribes
[[eta].sup.*.sub.1]. This leads to my main result: The effects of
penalties to corruption on equilibrium innovation rates are highly
nonlinear. In particular, small changes in penalties p + m around the
critical value (1 - [phi])/[phi] can lead to large changes in innovation
rates, while changes in penalties far from that critical value have no
effects. The discontinuous dependence of the equilibrium innovation rate
[[eta].sup.*] on the total penalties p + m is depicted in figure 6.
[FIGURE 4 OMITTED]
The effects on the equilibrium innovation rate of changes in the
probability of detecting corruption [phi] and in the fraction of entry
applications that get inspected y are more complex, since they not only
determine whether bribes are paid, but also affect the position of the
curves [[bar.N].sub.1] and [[bar.N].sub.2] in figure 5. A numerical
analysis of these effects is provided in the appendix.
[FIGURE 5 OMITTED]
[FIGURE 6 OMITTED]
Conclusion
I have illustrated how the rate of product innovation can be
affected by changes in parameter values determining the amount of
corruption in an industry. An interesting result of the analysis is
that, under certain parameter ranges, small increases in the penalties
to corruption or the effectiveness of detection can result in large
increases in the amount of product innovation.
While I have not explicitly analyzed the effects of innovation on
economic development, it is safe to speculate what those effects would
be. To be specific, consider Grossman and Helpman's (1991)
endogenous growth model, in that model, there is a continuum of product
lines, each characterized by quality ladders of fixed increments. In
each product line, there is always a leader producer that supplies the
frontier quality and drives all previous producers out of the market.
However, the arrival rate of innovators is optimally determined in an
R&D sector. Successful innovators drive the incumbent leaders out of
the market and become the new product leaders. Thus, each product line
has a similar structure as the industry considered in this article.
Introducing a corruption game in each product line would thus deliver
similar results. Since in Grossman and Helpman (1991) the growth rate of
the economy is determined by the endogenous innovation rate, the effects
of corruption found here would translate into growth effects. In
particular, small increases in the penalties to corruption or the
effectiveness of detection can lead to jumps in the growth rate of the
economy. Thus, corruption has the potential of grouping countries into
two distinct development groups: fast- and slow-growing countries.
APPENDIX: RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT DECISIONS AND INDUSTRY
EQUILIBRIUM
Given the solution to the corruption game characterized in the main
text, we can proceed to write expressions for [N.sub.p] and [N.sub.c].
The expected value of an innovator that does not pollute [N.sub.c] is
given by:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
Observe that when p + m > (1 + [phi]/[phi]), there are no bribes
paid in the corruption game. Hence, the clean innovator obtains the
value V of becoming a leader with certainty. When p + m < (1 +
[phi]/[phi], bribes are paid whenever the innovator gets inspected. As a
consequence. the innovator gets the full value V only if he is not
inspected, an event that happens with probability (1 - [gamma]). With
probability [gamma], the (clean) innovator is inspected and obtains a
value (net of bribes) of [phi]V.
The expected value of an innovator that pollutes [N.sub.p] is given
by:
[N.sub.p] = (1 -[gamma]) V.
The innovator that pollutes obtains the lull value of becoming the
leader V only if he is not inspected, which happens with probability (1
- [gamma]). With probability [gamma], the innovator that pollutes is
inspected and is precluded from producing (recall that for every
parameter specification the government official always takes the legal
course of action).
The value of being the industry leader V is given as follows:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII]
where i is the instantaneous interest rate. The flow value of being
the leader iV is given by [PI], but with arrival rate [eta], a new
innovator enters the market, in which case the profit flow [PI] is
permanently lost. However. there are exceptions to this loss. When (1 -
[phi]/[phi]) < p + m, the loss is avoided when the new arrival
pollutes and is inspected by a government official, an event that
happens with probability [xi][gamma] (in this case there are no bribes
imposed and the entry permit is rejected). Also when p + m < (1 -
[phi]/[phi], the loss is partly avoided when the new arrival pollutes
and is inspected by a government official (again, an event that happens
with probability [xi][gamma]). However. in this case. the leader is only
able to retain a fraction [phi] of the value of being the leader V.
We are now ready to write the expected value of creating a new
product generation in equation 4 (p. 33):
[bar.N] = [xi][N.sub.p] + (1-[xi])[N.sub.c].
This expected value depends on parameter values, since the outcome
of the corruption game varies depending on them. As a consequence, I
will index the expected value [[bar.N].sub.j] according to the parameter
region j.
Parameter region 1(j = 1): (1 - [phi]/[phi]) < p + m,
A1) [[bar.N].sub.1]([eta])={[xi](1-[gamma]) +
(1-[xi])}[PI]/I+[eta]-[eta][xi][gamma].
Parameter region 2(j = 2): p + m < (1 - [phi]/phi]),
A2) [[bar.N].sub.2]([eta]) =
{[xi](1-[gamma])+(1-[xi])[(1-[gamma])+[gamma][phi]]}
[PI]/i+[eta]-[eta][xi][gamma][phi].
Observe that in each parameter region j, the expected value
[[bar.N].sub.i] ([eta]) depends on the industry's arrival rate
[eta]. which is an endogenous variable of the model. In particular, the
expected values [[bar.N].sub.j] ([eta]) depend negatively on [eta].
Also. it is straightforward to verify that for every possible value of
the arrival rate [eta], that
A3) [[bar.N].sub.2] ([eta]) < [[bar.N].sub.1] ([eta]).
Observe that. since r is a convex function, r' is increasing
in [eta]. This together with the previously mentioned properties for the
expected values [[bar.N].sub.j] ([eta]), allows us to establish that in
each parameter region j there is a unique equilibrium arrival rate
[[eta].sup.*.sub.j] satisfying that
r'([[eta].sup.*.sub.j]=[[bar.N].sub.j]([[eta].sup.*.sub.j]),
and that these arrival rates are ordered across parameter regions
as follows:
A4) [[eta].sup.*.sub.2] < [[eta].sup.*.sub.1].
[FIGURE A1 OMITTED]
As mentioned in the main text. this inequality leads to the main
result of the article. Fixing all other parameter values, lower
penalties on corruption p + m lead to lower rates of innovation.
However, the relation is highly nonlinear. Reductions in p + m have no
effects on rates of innovation as long as they leave the model within
the same parameter region. But once the edge of a parameter region is
approached, small reductions in p + m have large effects as the
equilibrium innovation rate [[eta].sup.*] jumps from one region to the
next.
The effects of the probability of detection [phi] and the fraction
of entry applications that get inspected [gamma] are more complex
because they affect not only the length of the parameter regions but
also the position of the expected values [[bar.N].sub.j] and
[[bar.N].sub.2] in figure 5 (p. 34). To ease the presentation of these
effects, in what follows I complement the analysis with a numerical
example. It is important to point out that the example has no empirical
content, since parameter values are not chosen to reproduce
observations; it serves illustration purposes only. The example
considered has the following parameter values: [xi] = 0.5, [gamma] =
0.1, [phi]) = 0.5, p = 0.8, m = 0, i = 0.04. [PI] = 1 (this is just a
normalization), and r([eta])=1/2[[eta].sup.2].
[FIGURE A2 OMITTED]
Fixing all other parameters at their benchmark values, figure A I
shows how the equilibrium innovation rate depends on the probability of
detecting corruption [phi]. The figure shows that a higher detection
probability [phi] (weakly) increases the innovation rate of the
industry. However, the dependence is discontinuous, and once the arrival
rate jumps, it is unresponsive to further increases in [phi]. These
properties are general. We see from equations A1 and A2 that
[[bar.N].sub.j] ([eta]) increases with [phi] when j = 2 but is
independent of [phi] when j = 1. Moreover, an increase in [phi] can
bring the economy from parameter region j = 2 to j = 1, entailing a jump
in the arrival rate from [[eta].sup.*.sub.2] to [[eta].sup.*.sub.1] at
the critical value [phi] at which
p + m = (1-[phi])/[phi].
Figure A2 shows how the equilibrium innovation rate depends on the
probability of inspection [gamma]. The figure shows that a higher
probability of inspection [gamma] decreases the innovation rate of the
industry in a continuous way. This is a general result. We see from
equations A1 and A2 that [[bar.N].sub.j] ([eta]) decreases with [gamma]
in each case j = 1, 2. Since the functions depicted in figure 5 (p. 34)
shift down as [gamma] increases, the intersections with r'([eta])
take place at lower values of [[eta].sup.*.sub.j], for each j = 1, 2.
However, changes in [gamma] have no effect on the parameter region that
the economy lies on. Thus, while the innovation rate decreases with
[gamma], there are no points of discontinuity.
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NOTES
(1) While I do not explicitly analyze the links between corruption,
innovation, and economic growth, I sketch them in some detail in the
conclusion.
(2) The Penn World Table--maintained by the Center for
International Comparisons at the University of Pennsylvania--provides
purchasing power parity and national income accounts converted to
international prices for 188 countries for some or all of the years
1950-2004. For further details, please see http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/.
Transparency, International is a global organization promoting
anticorruption policies. Its Corruption Perception Index ranks countries
by the perceived levels of corruption (frequency and/or size of bribes)
in the public and political sectors, as determined by expert assessment
and business opinion surveys. The Corruption Perception Index can be
downloaded from www.transparency.org.
(3) For example. Diankov et al. (2002) report that to meet
government requirements for starting a business in 1999, an entrepreneur
in Italy needed to follow 16 different procedures, pay US$3,946 in fees,
and wait at least 62 business days to acquire the necessary permits. In
contrast, an entrepreneur m Canada only needed to follow two procedures,
pay US$280, and wait for two day's. An extended account of how
entry regulation leads to corruption and bureaucratic delays is provided
by De Soto (1989). However, he focuses on the Peruvian economy.
(4) Introducing a fine to polluters would significantly complicate
the analysis of the corruption game without additional insights
(5) This bribe request makes the illegal producer indifferent
between accepting and rejecting it,
(6) This bribe request makes the legal producer indifferent between
accepting and rejecting it
(7) This cost function is assumed to be increasing, differentiable,
and strictly convex. Moreover, r' (0) = 0 and r' ([infinity])
= [infinity].
Marcelo Veracierto is a senior economist in the Economic Research
Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. The author thanks
Marco Bassetto. Craig Furfine, and seminar participants at the Federal
Reserve Bank of Chicago for their comments.