An analysis of occupational choice in Pakistan: a multinomial approach.
Nasir, Zafar Mueen
Occupational choice plays an important role in determining earnings
and success in the labour market. In the social structure of Pakistan,
an occupation reflects the socio-economic status of the individual. In
this backdrop, the paper looks at the occupational structure and
analyses how different characteristics help individuals to access jobs
of their choice. The main issue discussed in the paper is how men and
women have a different occupation distribution. Estimates are based on a
multinomial log model of occupation choices for men and women, using the
Pakistan Integrated Household Survey (PIHS) 2001-02 data. The empirical
results show that individuals with high educational achievements choose
high-ranking jobs. It is also noted that gender has a role in the labour
market and males are sorted out in high-paying occupation. Occupational
choice is influenced more by the human capital variables than by the
individual characteristics. Among human capital variables, education has
the strongest impact in the selection of an occupation of choice.
I. INTRODUCTION
The selection of a particular occupation determines the current
earnings as well as the future earnings of individuals which are closely
linked with household consumption, health, and general status in the
society [Harper and Haq (1997) and Freeman (1971)]. The occupational
choice is determined by a number of critical decisions relating to attending school, choosing specific field of study, receiving general or
specific training and acquiring experience [Shabbir (1993) and
O'Neill (1984)]. As such, the likelihood to enter into the
occupation of one's choice increases with subsequent achievements
in the field of study or skill development.
The evidence shows that males are generally employed in high paying
occupations while females are concentrated in low paying occupations
[Zveglich and Rodgers (2004); Teo (2003); Bayard, et al. (1999); Blau,
Ferber, and Winkler (1999); Blau and Kahn (1996)]. If pecuniary returns
are the selection criteria for a particular occupation, then why female
choose occupations which traditionally have low paid salaries compared
to males who opt for high paid occupations? The question then arises; is
it the choice of individuals to enter into a particular occupation or
the result of some other factors which facilitate their entry into
certain occupations? To answer these questions, it is important to
understand the issue of occupational choice, particularly in the context
of developing countries where the socio-economic status of women is low
and their disadvantageous position has not changed much over the years.
A number of studies on the occupational choice of individuals show
interesting findings. For example, Allison and Allen (1978) conclude
that both males and females show rational behaviour in the choice of a
particular occupation. Their decisions are economically motivated and
they choose to enter in occupations that have high paying salaries. The
authors contend that barriers to entry in some occupations and
discrimination against females in hiring and promotion are the major
causes of their low earnings. The empirical work of Baldwin, Butler and
Johnson (2001); Higginbotham and Weber (1999) also support these
findings. It is observed that black women face relatively greater
constraints to enter into jobs with good characteristics and low risk of
job loss [Kennelly (1999); Reskin (1999); Padavic and Reskin (2002);
Reid (2002) Browne (1997)].
Another study reveals that individuals form certain expectations
before entering into a particular occupation. The choice of occupation
is based on a number of factors such as their interest in the
occupation, opportunities and expected cost to enter in the occupation
of choice [Brief, Sell, and Aldag (1979)]. Individuals also weigh their
personalities, capacities, and above all, the norms and values of
society in the selection of a career. These self perceived concepts
differ by gender and lead to differences in the pattern of occupational
choice.
Beyer and Knight (1989) conclude that beside personal
characteristics, some job related characteristics also restrict certain
groups to enter into a particular occupation. (1) The authors observed
that each occupation requires a particular skill which enhances the
productivity of workers in that particular job. The educational
achievement, training, and cognitive abilities help workers to acquire
these occupation specific skills. Because of the different requirements
(skills and experience) for different jobs, salaries differ by
occupations. Low salaries are observed for jobs having more
non-pecuniary characteristics and females having preferences for such
characteristics are found concentrated in low paying occupations
[O'Neill (1983, 1984)].
The "Crowding Hypothesis" of Polachek and Siebert (1993),
however, states that the occupations are divided in accordance with the
social norms. According to this hypothesis, males have the liberty to
exercise their choice of occupations whereas females are limited to
choose only from the occupations labelled as the "female
jobs". The entry into so-called "female jobs" is easy for
women therefore they are concentrated/crowded in these occupations. This
oversupply of women due to occupational segregation therefore leads to
low earnings for them.
In Pakistan, research evidence on the issue related to occupational
choice is limited. Few studies undertaken on the subject, however,
confirm the findings that there is occupation segregation and
concentration of females in low paying occupations [Nazli (2004);
Siddiqui and Hamid (2003); Ashraf and Ashraf (1996)]. In the Pakistani
society females are perceived as secondary earners and therefore are
encouraged to enter into those occupations where males have the least
preferences [Siddiqui and Hamid (2003)]. Although education, experience
and other personal characteristics play an important role in job
selection, the difference in earnings is mainly due to discrimination
against females. (2) The behaviour of individuals for occupational
choice is however not analysed by the authors.
Because of the growing interest in labour market participation of
female workers and limited choices and opportunities available to them,
it is important to study the pattern of their choice for a particular
occupation. As the choice of occupation plays a pivotal role in
determining the earnings of individuals (current and future) and their
bargaining power in the family, it is important to examine the pattern
of occupational choice between genders and determine the factors that
contribute to the formation of these choices. Over the limited evidence
available for Pakistan on the subject, the present study is an important
step towards understanding the occupational segregation and the factors
responsible for it to fill the gap in research. Hence, the study is
pioneer in analysing the occupational choice behaviour of Pakistani
males and females and the factors explaining these choices.
There are many factors which restrict females in choosing the
occupation of their choice. First, the choices for females are limited
due to the lack of industrial diversification in Pakistan which is
essential in providing opportunities to females in the selection of
occupation of their choice. Secondly, in male dominated Pakistani
society, gender inequality is perpetuated in the system with limited
opportunities for females to enter the labour market and choose high
paid jobs as well as executive positions. (3) Thirdly, under the
conditions of high rate of unemployment and thus surplus labour
conditions, employers may not find sufficient reasons to employ female
labour at the cost of male labour, since male labour is willing to
accept lower wage rate than in the period of economic prosperity. This
further restricts labour market participation of females and their
subsequent choice of occupation. Although the findings of the study have
limited applicability due to aforementioned factors, yet the present
analysis will contribute towards enhancing our knowledge of the labour
market functioning and rationing of jobs between genders in Pakistan and
will provide the basis for devising policies and programmes to improve
the socioeconomic status of women in the society.
The analysis is based on the Pakistan Integrated Household Survey
(PIHS) (2001-02) which has wealth of information relevant to the
questions addressed in the study and is the latest data set available
that has not been used for this purpose. The approach applied to analyse these data is the Maximum Likelihood Estimation procedure through the
use of Multinomial Logit (MNL) model which is the most appropriate
technique for such an analysis. (4)
The paper is organised as follows. The occupational distribution
and earnings of male and females are compared in Section II. The
conceptual framework and model of occupational choice is presented in
Section III. Salient features of data and its limitations are discussed
in Section IV. The main results are reported in Section V and
conclusions and policy implications are discussed in the last section.
II. OCCUPATIONAL DISTRIBUTION AND EARNINGS
Men and women are usually engaged in different occupations across
the world. The occupational segregation exists either due to the choices
made by men and women or due to some other factors which restrict their
choices. If choices are made on the free will, these enhance the
economic efficiency but if these are the results of limited
opportunities for some groups then these cause economic inefficiency and
lead to low participation of that group in the economic activities.
Gender dominated occupations, according to International Labour
Organisation (ILO), are classified as those having higher proportion of
either males or females. As reported by ILO, about half of the workers
throughout the world are engaged in gender dominated occupations.
The occupational segregation cause oversupply of workers in certain
occupations and restricts supply in other occupations. This
concentration of workers depresses wages in that occupation and shortage
in other occupations put upward pressure on wages in those occupations.
Because of the concentration of females in narrow range of female
dominated occupations, the wages are low as compared to male dominated
occupations. The overcrowding of females in the female dominated
occupations also leads to the low productivity levels in these
occupations. At the same time, the exclusion of females from the male
dominated occupations causes shortage of qualified workers in those
occupations. The reduced productivity in female dominated occupations is
not necessarily be counterbalanced by the higher productivity in male
dominated occupations. The situation therefore leads to inefficiencies
in the overall output of the economy.
The occupational segregation on the basis of gender affects the
socioeconomic status of the women. The existence of gender inequalities in educational achievements, skills, and earnings are the reflection of
the occupational segregation [ILO (2003)]. Chang (2000) points out that
the gender based segregation reduces women's opportunities for
labour force participation, restricts their career advancements, and
widens the gap in earnings. The low participation of female constrains
the economic development of country because the economic well being of
population is determined by the proportion of the population
participating in the economic activities [World Bank (2004)].
The Pakistani labour market provides a typical picture of an LDC with low participation of females in economic activities along with
occupational segregation. The economy is primarily based on the
agriculture activities which is the backbone of industrial sector. The
Labour Force Survey 2001-02, which is latest data set available on
labour statistics, reveals that a large proportion of both men and women
are employed in agriculture related occupations. The proportion of
females is higher (60.5 percent) than males (35.4 percent) because
agriculture sector provides flexibility of hours as well as opportunity
to work close to home. The distribution of workers in other occupations
show that females are concentrated in Service related occupations (23
percent) including teaching (12.3 percent) and health services (2.3
percent) whereas majority of males are found in production related
occupations (28.1 percent). A high percentage of males are also found in
managerial and administrative occupations (18.7 percent).
Average earnings in different occupations are presented in Table 1
for both male and female workers. In general female earnings are lower
than male earnings. For comparison purpose, we calculated the relative
earnings of females to males and the data shows that females earn 83
percent of the male earnings at overall level. When compared with
previous studies, the gender gap in earnings has narrowed down over the
years [Siddiqui and Hamid (2003)]. (5) The occupation specific earnings
are high in male dominated occupations as compared to occupations with
female concentration. The highest gap in earnings is found in
agriculture where women earn 34 percent of the male earnings. As
mentioned earlier, this might be misleading because of the nature of job
taken by females from that of males in the agriculture (and production).
The lowest gap is found in teaching where females earn 88 percent of the
males' earnings. (6) These findings are in line with previous
studies which show the existence of gender based occupational
segregation in Pakistani labour market [Nasir (2002); Siddiqui and Hamid
(2003)].
The occupational segregation and other constraints restrict the
participation of females in the labour market activities. Therefore,
Pakistan has the lowest participation of females in the labour force and
employment in the South Asian Region [Mahbub ul Haq Human Development
Centre (2003)]. The low participation of females along with pervasive unemployment and poverty makes economic dependency ratio very high in
Pakistan] It is imperative to analyse the gender based occupational
choice to understand low participation of females in the labour market
and factors responsible for placing males in high paying occupations
while females in low paying occupations.
III. CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK AND MODEL
To model the occupational choice, we assume that individual
"i" chooses an occupation "o" from "m"
(mutually exclusive) occupations where each occupation has positive
probability of selection. It is also assumed that utility derived from
an occupation depends upon the expected life long earnings ([Y.sub.o]),
the expected social status ([S.sub.o]) and personal characteristics of
individuals (X) [Dolton, et al. (1989)]. (8) The utility function
[U.sub.o] of an occupation can be written as
[U.sub.oi] = f([Y.sub.oi], [S.sub.oi], [X.sub.i]) + [e.sub.oi] ...
(1)
o = 1,2, ... m and i = 1,2,3 ... n
The term [e.sub.oi] represents errors which are assumed to be
normally distributed with zero mean and constant variance.
An individual adopts a utility maximisation behaviour and selects
the occupation which yields highest level of satisfaction. If variable
[C.sub.oi] represents the selected occupation, then
[C.sub.o] = 1 if [U.sub.oi] = max ([U.sub.1], [U.sub.2], [U.sub.3]
... [U.sub.m]) ... (2)
[C.sub.o] = 0 otherwise
Earnings in a particular occupation play an important role in the
formation of choice for that occupation and earnings are determined by
human capital factors such as education, training, and experience
[Mincer (1974)]. (9) If we assume that earnings are specific to
occupation and human capital variables exert different effects on the
choice of occupation, the earnings function can be written as:
Ln[Y.sub.oi] = f([EDU.sub.i], [EXP.sub.i], [EXP.sub.i],
[TRAIN.sub.i]) + [[epsilon].sub.oi] ... (3)
In Equation 3, [EDU.sub.i], [EXP.sub.i], and [TRAIN.sub.i]
represent education, experience, and training of an individual
respectively. The square term for experience ([EXP.sup.2.sub.i])
captures the non-linear trend in earnings with experience by showing
that earnings decline with experience after reaching at peak with a
certain level of experience. The term [[epsilon].sub.io] is used for
error term.
Dolton, et al. (1989) show that the expected social status of a
given occupation is determined by the personal characteristics of the
individuals along with their education, training and experience.
Therefore
[S.sub.oi] = g([EDU.sub.i], [EXP.sub.i], [TRAIN.sub.i], [X.sub.i])+
[[phi].sub.oi] ... (4)
In Equation 4, [phi] is used for the error term. Both error term
[epsilon] and [phi] are normal random variables assumed to be
distributed independently with zero mean. After substituting Equations
2, 3, and 4 in Equation 1 we obtain the following reduced form equation
[U.sub.oi] = h([EDU.sub.i], [EXP.sub.i], [TRAIN.sub.i], [X.sub.i])
+ [e.sub.oi] ... (5)
Following Madalla (1983), the multinomial logit estimation
procedure applied to Equation 5 produces following selection
probabilities:
[MATHEMATICAL EXPRESSION NOT REPRODUCIBLE IN ASCII] (6)
[P.sub.o] refers to the probability that an individual is in the
base occupation and [P.sub.s] refers to probability that an individual
is in the occupation other than base i.e. 1,2.... m. The choice of the
occupation of an individual is the dependent variable of the study,
which represents the broad occupational categories such as managerial,
professional, and teaching etc. Agriculture is taken as the base
category.
A number of studies found that choice of occupation is highly
linked with human capital achievements such as education and experience
[Shabbir (1993) and O'Neill (1983, 1984)]. Besides, family
obligations and responsibilities are also found to be related with
occupational choice [Polachek (1981) and Abowd and Killingsworth
(1984)]. To capture the impact of human capital, education and
experience are included in the occupational choice model. A dummy
variable representing marital status of the individual and two variables
representing number of children in the family are included in the
equation to capture the effect of family responsibilities on the choice
of occupation and preference for labour market activities with children.
The models include gender dummy to see the relationship of occupational
choice with sex. The complete list of variables is described in the next
section which deals with the data.
IV. DATA AND ITS LIMITATIONS
The study is based on the Pakistan Integrated Household Survey
(PIHS) 2001-02 data which is latest of the series. The survey is
conducted by Federal Bureau of Statistics (FBS) and based on a randomly
drawn nationally representative sample of the population by using
two-stage stratification procedure. The sample covers 14,825 households
and provides information on 116,724 individuals. The data set is the
most detailed and comprehensive in nature and covers many dimensions of
the workers behaviour. The information on the personal characteristics
of individuals is particularly important for studying the occupational
choice of these workers. The survey does not go beyond the current
employment therefore ignores the different demand conditions individuals
may have faced at the time of entry in the labour market. The survey
also ignores the ability differences which may exist among individuals
who contribute to the difference in occupational distribution. (10)
The sample of the study is restricted to regular wage and salaried
workers which is a more homogenous group and useful for such analysis.
The choices in other groups such as self-employed and employers are
influenced by others factors which may not present the actual picture.
(11) The final sample of the study consists of 13793 individual (11573
males and 2220 females) between the ages 10-65 years. The information on
worker's age, earnings, education, occupation, training, sex,
marital status and other characteristics is particularly important for
the study. The data on experience is missing therefore potential
experience is calculated by using age, education, and age at which
workers has started going to school [Nasir (2002)]. (12)
The survey provides information on the type of school attended by
individuals. It is observed that most of the affluent parents send their
children to private schools. Most of these schools are well equipped
with teaching aids such as computers and libraries and the student
teacher ratio in these schools is also low as compared to public
schools. Therefore the quality of education provided by these schools is
relatively high as compared to the public school system [Nasir (1999);
Nasir and Nazli (2000)]. It will also capture the social status of the
family, as the private schools are expensive compared to the public
schools.
The medium of instruction in the schools also affect the labour
market outcome especially securing job in the formal sector. Those who
received education in English medium schools (having English language as
medium of instruction) have edge in the labour market in finding good
jobs [Chiswick and Miller (2002); Shield and Wheathley (2002)]. The
language of instruction is therefore included in the model. Similarly an
index of literacy is also included in the model which is found
significant in earnings models [Nasir (2002) and Van der Gaag and
Vijverberg (1989)]. Beside human capital variables, some non-human
capital variables are also included in the model to capture the effect
of these dimensions. The definition of each variable is provided in the
following Table 2.
The means and standard errors of key variables of males and females
along with both sexes are compared in Table 3. The statistics reveals
that the average age of the sample is about 33 years and women are, on
average, younger than men. A higher percentage of males are found to be
illiterate than women but those men who attended school acquired more
years of schooling (10 years) than their female counterparts (8.78
years). It is further noted that a lower percentage of females (33
percent) attended government schools compared to males (59 percent).
Interestingly both males and females possess almost the same years of
average labour market experience i.e. approximately 22 years. Another
interesting observation is the relatively lower monthly earnings of
women compared to men.
The occupational distribution shows that the majority of women are
engaged in those occupations where flexibility of timings and place of
work (working at home or close to home) is more pertinent. The
statistics show that female are concentrated in craft making profession
(33 percent), agriculture related occupations (25 percent) and teaching
profession (19 percent). (13) The representation of males in female
dominated occupation is thin and majority of them is employed as
production (38 percent) and sales workers (27 percent).
In comparison to women, a higher percentage of male workers are
employed as professional (4.4 percent vs. 2.7 percent) and managerial
workers (2.3 percent vs. 1.6 percent). The gender based human capital
characteristics by major occupational groups are presented in Table 4.
In general, women tend to be younger in age, less educated and less
experienced then men in almost all occupational categories. The gap in
education is noted to be much smaller than what is observed for age and
years of experience between men and women. In fact, women holding
administrative and managerial jobs are relatively more educated than men
in the same occupation, but they earn less than what men earn in every
occupational category. For both men and women, the highest earnings
accrue to those in managerial and professional occupations and the
lowest earnings to those in agriculture.
V. EMPIRICAL RESULTS
The results of the multinomial logit model are presented in Table
5. The analysis of occupational choice is based on a sample of 13793
individuals, consisting of 11564 men and 2229 women who were working as
regular wage employees at the time of interview. The multinominal logit
model of occupational choice was run for both sexes and includes years
of education, experience, marital status, and number of children between
the ages of 0-6 and 7-11. Due to different conditions of the regional
labour markets (which might affect the occupational choice of
individuals), a dummy variable representing region (urban/rural) was
included in the analysis. A gender dummy along with its interaction
terms with education and experience is also added to the model. A
significant and non-zero coefficient associated with the gender variable
will indicate that gender plays a role in determining the occupational
choice of individual. (14) Likewise, significant and non-zero
coefficients on the interaction terms will indicate that education and
experience play different roles in determining the occupational choice
of men and women.
The estimated results show a positive and significant coefficient
of education for all occupational categories (except craft and
production workers) showing the importance of education in the choice of
occupations. (15) The results indicate that the likelihood of being in a
higher paying job (managerial, professional, teaching, and medical)
rather than in agriculture increases with years of education. If we
construct occupational ladder by assuming higher compensation for jobs
having higher skill requirements, managerial and professional jobs will
be on the top of the ladder followed by medical and teaching, sale,
craft, production, and agricultural related occupations.
Experience has a relatively smaller but significant effect on
occupational choice of individuals as compared to education. The
magnitude of the coefficients of education and experience decrease as we
move from managerial to production related occupations showing less of a
role of education and experience down the occupational ladder. More
years of education and experience seems to increase the odds that the
individuals will be in high paying occupations rather than sales, craft
related activities and in production related jobs. (16) The education
from private schools or from high quality English medium schools is very
rewarding as the odds of having high paying jobs are high for those who
graduated from private schools or studied from English medium schools.
Similar to education and experience, training in the respective field
enhances the odds of getting into the occupation of the choice. (17)
Marriage does not seem to play any role in determining the
occupational choice of individuals however the presence of younger
children in the family increase the odds for teaching, production or in
craft related jobs than agriculture. For the choice of higher paying
occupations, children between the ages of 7-11 years play rather more
important role than children under six years of age. The odds of finding
jobs in high paying occupations increase with the presence of older
children (i.e. between the ages of 7-11 years) in the family. The
statistically significant and positive coefficient of regional dummy
suggests that living in urban areas decreases the odds of being in the
agriculture related occupations.
The coefficient of gender dummy (males=l) was negative but
significant for medical, teaching, and craft related occupations while
positive and significant for managerial and administrative occupations,
sales and production related occupations. These findings indicate that
the odds of women being engaged in medical, teaching and craft related
occupations are high and odds of finding men in managerial and
administrative, sale and production related occupations are high
relative to agriculture related occupations. The coefficient of gender
dummy gives a clear signal of occupational choice of males being in high
paying occupations and females being in the low paying occupations.
The negative and significant coefficient of interaction term of
gender with education for managerial, professional and teaching jobs
re-enforces the role of education for females to place them in higher
paying occupations than male workers. In contrast, the role of
experience is more pronounced for women to place them in medical, sale,
production and craft related occupations. In short, the results show
that more years of education and experience increase the likelihood of
women to be in the managerial, professional, medical, and sales related
occupations rather than in agriculture.
Occupational Choice of Males and Females
The statistically significant coefficient of gender dummy in the
overall model strengthens the point that males and females behave
differently in choosing occupations in Pakistani labour market. We
therefore estimated separate equations for males and females by using
multinominal logit models. In line with other studies, results presented
in Tables 6 and 7 indicate that education, experience and other
individual characteristics play important role in occupational choice of
both men and women [O'Neill (1983, 1984), and Dolton, et al.
(1989)] Keeping other factors constant, education seems to suggest the
following ordering of occupations for men: professional, managerial,
medical, teaching, sales, production, skilled craft and agriculture. For
women, education suggests the following ordering of occupations:
Managerial, professional, teaching, medical, sale, production, craft and
agriculture. In other words, more years of education increases the
probability that both men and women will be found in services related
occupations rather than in production related activities. More
importantly, education seems to place workers in higher paying
occupations and it exerts a relatively bigger effect on the occupational
choice of women than men.
When the effect of years of experience is considered, the
probability of men being in the high paying occupations such as
professional, and managerial and teaching increases with more years of
experience but its role for other occupations is small. For instance,
the coefficient of experience is significant but small for medical,
sales, craft and production related occupations indicating that more
years of experience increases the odds of men being in high paying
activities than agriculture. Comparing experience coefficients for men
and women indicates that, just as in the case of education, years of
experience also plays a more important role in determining the
occupational choice of women. More years of experience pushes women into
professional and medical occupations which offer relatively higher
earnings. (18) However, when the effect of experience at the lower end
of the ordering is considered, more years of experience does not seem to
guarantee higher paying jobs for women. For instance, while more year of
experience increases the probability that women will be in services
rather than in production related activities, it also means that women
will be in the low paying occupations such as craft, production and
agriculture.
Marital status seems to play rather important role in placing women
in those occupations which are socially acceptable in Pakistan. Marriage
increases the probability of finding women in teaching, medical and
craft related occupations. Given the caring nature of these occupations
(for the sick and the children), and flexibility of place and hours, it
is not surprising to find that these occupations do not clash with the
socially prescribed roles for married women, pushing them into such
occupations. These findings support the findings of the other studies
[Polachek (1981) and Abowd and Killingsworth (1984)]. In other
occupations, the likelihood of finding married women is same as the
unmarried women. Marriage seems to place men in managerial and
professional occupations which have not only the higher earnings but
also the higher social status. Being the primary bread winners of the
family, it is desirable for married men to be engaged in such
occupations which offer higher pecuniary benefits along with higher
social status [Dolton, et al. (1989)]. For other occupations, marriage
does not seem to play any significant role for men.
Two variables representing children of different ages were included
in the model to see whether they play any role in the choice of
occupation, especially younger ones. The expectations were that younger
children demand more of women's time compared to older children
and, therefore, if children were to play a role in the occupational
choice of women (for example, forcing them into occupations that offer
flexible working hours), it should be the younger not the older
children. Our results support the conjecture and children 0-6 years were
found to be very important factor in increasing the odds for women to be
in teaching and craft related occupations rather than in other
occupations. These two occupations have more flexibility in terms of
hours therefore suits to the needs of the female who want to work. (19)
For women, the negative and significant coefficients of older
children for managerial, sales, and production related jobs indicate
that children between the ages of 7-11 years reduce the odds for women
to choose managerial, sales and production related occupations. The main
reason behind these findings is that these occupations are least
compatible with child rearing duties. Sales related jobs might require
frequent travelling and managerial and production related occupations
might offer very little flexibility in working hours thus creating
difficulty for women to manage their domestic responsibilities.
Therefore, women with children might simply not prefer to get into such
occupations. Another plausible reason relates with the employees who
might not prefer women with children i.e. employers might discriminate against women with children. The choice of occupation of women with
children is for those which as socially approved and provide
non-pecuniary benefits.
The Predicted Probabilities of Occupational Choice
Our results show that the structural differences in the
occupational choice of gender being witnessed in the previous section
stem from the difference in personal characteristics which lead to
different occupational distribution for men and women. We further
explored the changes in choice probabilities of men and women by
assuming the same effect of variables determining the occupational
choice for both sexes. To do so, the personal characteristics of women
were first evaluated at women's coefficients and then men's
coefficients. In the next step, men's characteristics were
evaluated at women's coefficients and women's characteristics
at men's coefficients. The differences in two distributions
indicate the presence of gender discrimination in the labour market,
beside the difference in tastes and preferences. (20) The above
procedure is used by many studies analysing the gap in earnings
[Zveglich and Rodgers (2004); Teo (2003) and Dolton, et al. (1989)].
It is observed that when women were given men's coefficients,
the probability of women into high paying occupations increased. The
results show that the probability of women being in managerial
occupation increased by 5 percentage points when their personal
characteristics were evaluated at men's coefficients. The results
further show that the probabilities of women being in low paying careers
decrease when their personal characteristics were evaluated at
men's coefficients. These results show that women can enter into
high paying occupations with their superior personal characteristics if
there is no discrimination against them in the labour market.
Interestingly when men's personal characteristics were
evaluated at women's coefficients, we found almost the similar
choice probabilities for both sexes. The reduction in the occupational
choice between genders by the above analysis shows that the
discrimination in the labour market plays a role in placing men and
women in different occupations. The extent of the discrimination is
however not very clear.
VI. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
The main focus of the study has been to investigate the
occupational segregation between genders and to determine the role of
different factors in the occupational choice of individuals in Pakistan.
By. employing multinominal logit model on PIHS 2001-02 data, we found
that human capital variables (education, training and experience) play
an important role in determining the occupational choice of both males
and females. It is rather interesting to note that the role of human
capital variables is stronger than the role of personal characteristics
which give rise to different occupational choices between genders. The
results further show that education has the strongest impact in the
selection of occupation for both sexes but its role is more pronounced
for females than males in the selection process.
The occupational choice of men is not being substantially affected
by family responsibility as marriage and presence of children in the
family are not having any statistically significant impact on the
occupational choice. However for females, marriage and children in the
family play important role in the selection of occupation. For men, the
family related factors may have an important role for taking part in the
labour market activities rather than in the choice of a particular
occupation. Whereas for women, these factors may not have much relevance
at the time of entry in the labour market but become important when
choosing a particular occupation.
The difference in occupational choices reduces substantially
between genders when women's occupational choices were predicted by
using men's coefficients and prediction of men's by using
women's coefficients. This leads to the conclusion that the major
differences in occupational choices are the result of labour market
discrimination as well as the variation in personal characteristics. It
is noted that some occupations are labelled as men's and some are
labelled as women's occupations and stereo type employers just
follow the tradition rather than using job requirements. (21) This
attitude of the employers restricts the entry of males in so called
female's occupations and entry of females in males dominated
occupations.
There is a need to introduce changes in the system and steps to
open more occupations to women for the promotion of both economic
efficiency and gender equality in the country. It is observed that
education and training play important role in the occupational choice
for both men and women but its roles for women is rather strong. The
major recommendation of the study is therefore based on the role of
human capital factors. Education is the single most important factor for
female labour to overcome gender bias. Therefore, every effort has to be
made to promote female education, in particular post primary education.
There should be targeted programmes for the promotion of female
education to help them move into higher paying occupations and enhance
their prospects of getting jobs in the formal sector. (22)
However, a limited participation of female in labour market is more
due to the sociocultural factors this society has inherited and
maintained, and to the stagnant industrial structure, than simply due to
the state of education alone. Therefore, it is not going to reduce the
occupational segregation substantially. The issue of discrimination has
also to be taken seriously in devising programmes for reducing
occupational segregation. Such type of social programmes should be
initiated that dispel the belief of employers about suitability of males
and females for different jobs. These social programmes will change the
views of employers for labelling of occupations as men's and
women's. These programmes will also benefit females by making their
employers to compensate equally for same jobs. This will reduce the wage
inequality. Although the time and cost associated with such programmes
is high, the social, economic and political benefits are high enough for
making an effort.
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(1) The role of parental characteristics is being highlighted by
some studies in the choice of particular occupation and subsequent
success in that occupation [Heath (1981) and Wight (1989)].
(2) In analysing gender discrimination, many studies used relative
earnings as an indicator of wage discrimination which is not appropriate
[Siddiqui and Hamid (2003); Ashraf and Ashraf (t996)]. Wage rate should
be compared with the same kind of job by controlling for age and
education. For example, it is apparent that the kind of jobs undertaken
by female in agriculture is different from that of male, and working
hours does not seem to be conditioned.
(3) For details, please see Mahbub ul Haq Human Development Centre
(2003).
(4) In most of the studies occupation is used as explanatory variable in wage equations which does not reveal the choice of
individual rather than explains the variation in wages [for example, see
Nazli (2004) and Siddiqui and Hamid (2003)]. The present study uses
occupations as dependent variable in the multinomial logit setting where
eight choices are given to the individual to choose from.
(5) The study by Siddiqui and Hamid (2003) reported a gender gap of
19 percent earnings in 1992 and 24 percent in 1998-99 which is higher
than the gap of 17 percent by the present study.
(6) The low earnings of females also reflect another fact that due
to the compulsion of supplementing their family income they have to
accept low wages compared to those workers who need not to support
household income at all. This is observable in fanning, production and
informal sector in general (see Table 1).
(7) Along with high dependency ratio, the stagnation of real wages
since 1990 and increase in informal sector jobs has made difficult even
for employed persons to raise the living standards for their families.
(8) According to Buskin (1974), an individual chooses a particular
occupation if the benefits (pecuniary and non-pecuniary) exceed the cost
(training cost, foregone earnings and other such costs). The difference
in the choice of occupation differs stems from their ability, preference
and taste.
(9) Freeman (1971) argues that ability of an individual has also a
role in determining the earnings of individuals. Due to data limitations
however such arguments cannot be incorporated in the analysis.
(10) Some studies however concluded that ability differences do not
significantly affect the parameter estimates. For example, Griliches
(1077) demonstrated in the study of wage determination that ability
variable does not change the estimated coefficients on education and
experience significantly.
(11) It is difficult to disentangle the affect of other factors
such as availability of financial capital from the personal traits in
the selection of occupation therefore these groups were dropped from the
sample to work on a homogenous group of workers.
(12) Mincer (1974) defined potential experience as (Age-Education
-6) for US workers. In Pakistan, the school starting age differs by
region. The information on school starting age is given in the survey
therefore we utilised this information for the construction of
experience.
(13) Most of the craft making activities are carried out at the
residence of the worker where she can take care of children and other
household chores along with the work. Similarly agricultural activities
are also carried out close to the residence. As tar as teaching
profession is concerned, it is very flexible in timings and place of
work as they are posted close to home and suits to their needs.
(14) The coefficients associated with the variables in the logit
analysis are not the marginal effects, rather the size of the magnitude
indicate the important role of that variable compared to other
variables.
(15) The magnitude of the education coefficients is enough to make
the argument that education plays a more important role in determining
the occupational choice of women.
(16) Our results are in line with Beyer and Knight (1989) and
Dolton, et al. (1989).
(17) The coefficient of training in skills crafts and production
related occupations is insignificant indicating no role of training in
the occupations. As most of the training is informal and on the job in
these occupations, getting into these occupations does not require any
certificate or diploma therefore we do not see any significant role of
training in the choice of these occupations.
(18) Years of experience seems to affect the odds of being in
medical and teaching related activities equally for women.
(19) In case of craft related activities, they do not even have to
leave their home because most of the craft related work is carried out
at the residence of the workers.
(20) Women's choice probabilities predicted using women's
coefficients and women's choice probabilities predicted using
men's coefficients.
(21) Our results are in line with the "Crowding
Hypothesis" of Polachek and Siebert (1993).
(22) Currently a majority of the females are working in the
informal sector where these women are pushed down to the lower paying
occupations [Pakistan (2001-02)].
Zafar Mueen Nasir is Chief of Research at the Pakistan Institute of
Development Economics, Islamabad.
Table 1
Average Monthly Earnings in Different Occupations, by Sex
Both
Occupations Sexes Male
Managers and Administrators 7917.37 8845.29
Professional 6538.65 7538.13
Teaching 2731.11 2862.26
Health Services 2992.59 3153.26
Sales 3139.16 3380.73
Crafted Related Occupations 2563.91 2954.36
Agriculture 2165.93 2182.35
Production 3303.12 3257.68
Total 3988.50 4059.43
Female/
Male
Occupations Female Ratio
Managers and Administrators 7058.21 79.80
Professional 6342.54 84.14
Teaching 2509.20 87.66
Health Services 2702.29 85.70
Sales 1772.52 52.43
Crafted Related Occupations 2341.39 79.25
Agriculture 750.00 34.37
Production 2190.48 67.24
Total 3385.72 83.40
Source: Labour Force Survey 2001-02.
Table 2
Brief Definitions of important Variables
Variable Definition
W Monthly Earnings (in rupees) Wages and Salaries both cash
and in kind.
AGE Age in completed years.
EDUC Completed years of schooling.
EXP Total Years of labour market experience calculated as
(age-school years-6) we used age starting school in case
individual started school after six years of age).
TRAIN Completed years of technical training.
LITIND Categorical variables, contains 4 categories of literacy
and numeracy.
PRIS Dichotomous variable equal to 1 if individual is a graduate
of private school. 0 otherwise.
ENG Dichotomous variable equal to 1 if individual received
education from English medium
school. 0 otherwise.
MSP Dichotomous variable equal to 1 if individual is married,
0 otherwise.
CHILD06 Number of children below 6 years of age.
CHILD711 Number of Children between 7 and 11 years of Age.
MALE Dichotomous variable equal to 1 if individual is male,
0 otherwise.
URBAN Dichotomous variable equal to 1 if individual belongs to
urban area.
MANG Managerial and Administrative Workers.
HPROF Health Professionals.
TEACH Teachers.
PROF Professional Workers.
SALE Sales Workers.
AGRI Agriculture Workers.
PROD Production Workers.
CRAFT Skilled Craft Related Workers.
Table 3
Means and (Standard Errors) of Key Variables
Both Sexes
Mean Std.
Variable Dev.
Education 8.9039 3.9135
Illiterate (Proportion) 0.4250 0.4944
Less than Primary (Proportion) 0.0713 0.2574
Primary but less than Matric
(Proportion) 0.2157 0.4113
Matric but less than Degree
(Proportion) 0.1885 0.3911
Graduate Degree (Proportion) 0.0545 0.2269
Professional Degree 0.0450 0.2074
(Proportion)
Experience (Years) 21.7396 14.183
Age (Years) 32.86 13.13
Professional (Proportion) 0.0395 0.1948
Managerial (Proportion) 0.0231 0.1503
Sales (Proportion) 0.2704 0.4442
Skilled Craft (Proportion) 0.1107 0.3138
Production (Proportion) 0.3265 0.4690
Agricultural (Proportion) 0.1445 0.3516
Teachers (Proportion) 0.0745 0.2626
Health Professionals 0.0181 0.1331
(Proportion)
Urban Residents (Proportion) 0.4805 0.4996
Married (Proportion) 0.6368 0.4809
Attended Govt. Schools
(Proportion) 0.5456 0.4979
Av. Monthly Earnings
(Proportion) 3003.16 2704.60
N 13793
Men
Mean Std.
Variable Dev.
Education 9.9782 3.8575
Illiterate (Proportion) 0.3861 0.4869
Less than Primary (Proportion) 0.0773 0.2671
Primary but less than Matric
(Proportion) 0.2387 0.4263
Matric but less than Degree
(Proportion) 0.2000 0.4000
Graduate Degree (Proportion) 0.0537 0.2254
Professional Degree 0.0442 0.2056
(Proportion)
Experience (Years) 21.7242 14.1154
Age (Years) 33.12 13.12
Professional (Proportion) 0.0438 0.2047
Managerial (Proportion) 0.0264 0.1604
Sales (Proportion) 0.2888 0.4532
Skilled Craft (Proportion) 0.0690 0.2535
Production (Proportion) 0.3779 .4849
Agricultural (Proportion) 0.1313 0.3377
Teachers (Proportion) 0.0565 0.2309
Health Professionals 0.0140 0.1175
(Proportion)
Urban Residents (Proportion) 0.4806 0.4996
Married (Proportion) 0.6470 0.4780
Attended Govt. Schools
(Proportion) 0.5868 0.4924
Av. Monthly Earnings
(Proportion) 3178.62 2772.43
N 11564
Women
Mean Std.
Variable Dev.
Education 8.7790 4.3185
Illiterate (Proportion) 0.6279 0.4835
Less than Primary (Proportion) 0.0401 0.1962
Primary but less than Matric
(Proportion) 0.0959 0.2946
Matric but less than Degree
(Proportion) 0.1284 0.3346
Graduate Degree (Proportion) 0.0586 0.2348
Professional Degree 0.0491 0.2161
(Proportion)
Experience (Years) 21.8198 14.5331
Age (Years) 31.52 13.12
Professional (Proportion) 0.0271 0.1297
Managerial (Proportion) 0.0159 0.0763
Sales (Proportion) 0.0748 0.3799
Skilled Craft (Proportion) 0.3279 0.4696
Production (Proportion) 0.0586 0.2348
Agricultural (Proportion) 0.2485 0.4099
Teachers (Proportion) 0.1890 0.3744
Health Professionals 0.0392 0.1941
(Proportion)
Urban Residents (Proportion) 0.4797 0.4997
Married (Proportion) 0.5840 0.4930
Attended Govt. Schools
(Proportion) 0.3311 0.4707
Av. Monthly Earnings
(Proportion) 2037.40 2042.00
N 2229
Source: HIES 2001-02.
Table 4
Gender-based Means and Standard Errors of Human Capital
Variables in Different Occupations
Occupation Age Education
Males
Administrative and Managerial 38.77 10.68
(12.55) (5.38)
Professionals 39.02 10.76
(12.32) (9.61)
Health Professionals 37.66 11.93
(10.09) (4.43)
Teachers 36.18 12.10
(9.84) (4.11)
Sale Workers 33.33 6.33
(13.26) (5.08)
Craft Workers 28.31 2.02
(12.66) (4.01)
Agriculture Workers 34.14 1.89
(14.87) (3.35)
Production Workers 33.53 5.51
(14.06) (4.16)
Females
Administrative and Managerial 35.15 12.15
(12.70) (5.74)
Professionals 36.45 9.60
(11.80) (5.88)
Health Professionals 34.62 10.72
(13.09) (6.28)
Teachers 31.19 11.84
(9.56) (4.03)
Sale Workers 37.98 5.87
(14.15) (3.90)
Craft Workers 28.20 2.40
(12.26) (3.30)
Agriculture Workers 30.04 1.88
(13.69) (1.50)
Production Workers 31.81 2.06
(12.52) (3.99)
Av.
Monthly
Occupation Experience Earnings
Males
Administrative and Managerial 22.08 8466.18
(12.67) (8094.71)
Professionals 22.24 6458.63
(13.62) (5429.96)
Health Professionals 19.98 57.28.71
(16.83) (4566.50)
Teachers 18.06 4590.18
(10.04) (2304.99)
Sale Workers 21.01 3152.15
(13.40) (1999.06)
Craft Workers 30.33 2544.15
(13.34) (1440.16)
Agriculture Workers 26.25 1945.10
(15.89) (963.89)
Production Workers 22.03 2657.09
(13.67) (1545.06)
Females
Administrative and Managerial 17.00 7366.67
(13.82 (5770.20)
Professionals 20.84 4136.43
(13.18) (3175.09)
Health Professionals 17.90 3715.06
(10.98) (3197.94)
Teachers 13.35 3617.79
(9.38) (2614.31)
Sale Workers 26.11 1698.22
(15.46) (1297.43)
Craft Workers 19.84 1454.13
(13.34) (1001.74)
Agriculture Workers 22.16 1200.82
(14.05) (963.89)
Production Workers 23.75 1848.43
(15.31) (2541.01)
Source: PIHS 2001-03.
Table 5
Multinominal Logit Model of Occupational Choice
Variables Mang Prof Medical
Constant -8.345 ** -7.039 ** -5.914 **
(0.144) (0.634) (0.497)
EDUC 0.5830 ** 0.4730 ** 0.3880 **
(0.076) (0.053) (0.049)
EXP 0.0550 ** 0.0627 ** 0.0520 **
(0.036) (0.015) (0.011)
MALE 2.454 ** 0.940 -1.877 **
(0.794) (0.640) (0.544)
MALE * -0.154 ** -0.065 ** 0.0237
EDUC (0.075) (0.031) (0.051)
MALE * -0.0193 -0.0207 -0.035 **
EXP (0.027) (0.015) (0.013)
MSP 0.473 ** 0.132 0.181
(0.385) (0.144) (0.186)
CHILD 0.0506 0.0380 0.0150
0-6 (0.047) (0.039) (0.054)
CHILD -0.1848 ** -0.101 ** 0.594 **
711 (0.0745) (0.041) (0.034)
LITIND 0.0281 ** 0.0595 0.447 **
(0.052) (0.093) (0.153)
ENG 1.265 ** 1.177 ** 1.921 **
(0.635) (0.627) (0.638)
PRIS 1.284 ** 0.887 ** 0.274
(0.525) (0.514) (0.568)
TRAIN 0.2125 ** 0.4256 ** 0.3654 **
(0.031) (0.011) (0.053)
URBAN 2.227 ** 2.389 ** 1.863 **
(0.156) (0.131) (0.171)
Variables Teachers Sale
Constant -5.830 ** -2.688 **
(0.400) (0.202)
EDUC 0.550 ** 0.1850 **
(0.044) (0.038)
EXP 0.0337 ** 0.0419 **
0.010) (0.006)
MALE -2.113 ** 1.139 **
(0.394) (0.204)
MALE * -0.450 ** -0.0028
EDUC (0.045) (0.038)
MALE * -0.0669 -0.037 **
EXP (0.010) (0.006)
MSP 0.365 0.0021
(0.327) (0.080)
CHILD 0.125 ** -0.076
0-6 (0.032) (0.022)
CHILD -0.0465 -0.060 **
711 (0.050) (0.0330)
LITIND 0.5671 ** 0.1431 **
(0.117) (0.045)
ENG 0.392 0.0526
(0.636) (0.630)
PRIS 0.490 0.514
(0.518) (0.479)
TRAIN 0.4121 ** 0.2514 **
(0.012) (0.013)
URBAN 1.266 ** 3.397 **
(0.118) (0.085)
Variables Craft Production
Constant -0.535 ** -3.233 **
(0.166) (0.2644)
EDUC 0.0324 0.0680
(0.013) (0.442)
EXP 0.0124 ** 0.0196 **
(0.005) (0.008)
MALE -1.227 ** 2.916 **
(0.184) (0.264)
MALE * -0.0180 -0.117
EDUC (0.037) (0.143)
MALE * -0.013 ** -0.029 **
EXP (0.006) (0.008)
MSP 0.0843 0.105
(0.095) (0.077)
CHILD 0.0994 ** -0.084 **
0-6 (0.036) (0.021)
CHILD -0.0403 -0.0254
711 (0.0390) (0.031)
LITIND 0.4100 ** 0.1841 **
(0.052) (0.043)
ENG 0.0618 0.0233
(0.739) (0.630)
PRIS 1.017 0.437
(1.494) (0.479)
TRAIN 0.0121 0.0273
(0.022) (0.042)
URBAN 2.560 ** 1.938 **
(0.096) (0.084)
Likelihood Ratio Index 0.72; ** denotes statistical significance at
the 5 percent level; * denotes statistical significance at the 10
percent level; standard errors are given in the parenthesis;
base category is agriculture.
Table 6
Multinominal Logit Model of Occupational Choice for Men
Variables MANG PROF MEDP TEACH
Constant -5.108 ** -5.489 ** -6.957 ** -5.946 **
(0.295) (0.268) (0.648) (0.342)
EDUC 0.4900 ** 0.567 ** 0.4690 ** 0.446 **
(0.025) (0.022) (0.032) (0.021)
EXP 0.0326 ** 0.0408 ** 0.0171 ** 0.0214 **
(0.006) (0.005) (0.009) (0.005)
MSP 0.531 ** 0.161 0.144 0.585
(0.194) (0.155) (0.240) (0.153)
CHILD 06 0.0734 0.0590 0.0991 0.161 **
(0.049) (0.041) (0.065) (0.035)
CHILD 711 -0.1321 ** -0.0588 0.0667 0.0552
(0.076) (0.062) (0.091) (0.055)
LITIND 0.0512 ** 0.0118 0.158 ** 0.0957 **
(0.109) (0.098) (0.232) (0.122)
ENG 1.128 ** 1.033 ** 1.651 ** O.275
(0.645) (0.063) (0.655) (0.640)
PRIS 1.472 ** 0.962 ** 0.111 0.500
(0.574) (0.058) (0.712) (0.603)
TRAIN 0.32288 0.4716)) 0.401 ** 0.341 **
(0.02) (0.015) (0.035) (0.022)
URBAN 1.990 ** 2.109 ** 1.939 ** 0.800 **
(0.160) (0.137) (0.203) (0.131)
Variables SALE CRAFT PROD
Constant -0.929 ** -1.591 * 0.3353 *
(0.106) (0.150) (0.093)
EDUC 0.2180 ** 0.0517 0.0889
(0.015) (0.019) (0.015)
EXP 0.0043 ** 0.024 ** 0.0126 **
(0.003) (0.005) (0.003)
MSP 0.0759 -0.1233 0.1530
(0.090) (0.124) (0.183)
CHILD 06 0.0958 ** 0.0376 ** 0.0871 **
(0.024) (0.034) (0.023)
CHILD 711 O.0254 * -0.0566 0.0522
(0.360) (0.051) (0.033)
LITIND 0.0302 ** 0.1780 ** 0.0091 **
(0.006) (0.061) (0.004)
ENG 0.0772 0.0898 0.0301
(0.629) (0.799) (0.639)
PRIS 0.6500 1.288 ** 0.0633
(0.531) (0.549) (0.053)
TRAIN 0.195 ** 0.0151 O.047 **
(0.022) (0.032) (0.015)
URBAN 2.216 ** 2.865 ** 1.820 **
(0.092) (0.116) (0.089)
Likilihood Ratio Index 0.63: ** denotes statistical significance
at the 5 percent level; * denotes statistical significance at
the 10 percent level; standard errors are given in the
parenthesis; base category is agriculture.
Table 7
Multinominal Logit Model of Occupational Choice for Women
Variables MANG PROF MEDP TEACH
Constant -9.093 ** -6.200 ** -5.742 ** -6.715 **
(0.1623) (0.794) (0.574) (0.636)
EDUC 0.507 ** 0.424 ** 0.3240 * 0.413 **
(0.094) (0.065) (0.056) (0.048)
EXP 0.0631 ** 0.0653 ** 0.0633 ** 0.0446 **
(0.031) (0.016) (0.012) (0.011)
MSP 0.132 0.147 0.213 ** 0.203 **
(0.199) (0.411) (0.003) (0.049)
CHILD 06 -0.0751 -0.2970 -0.067 -0.075 **
(0.0264) (0.189) (0.101) (0.080)
CHILD 711 -0.0134 ** 0.296 0.193 ** 0.139 **
(0.036) (0.225) (0.044) (0.011)
LITIND 0.1052 ** 0.192 0.079 ** 0.0143 **
(0.420) (0.265) (0.220) (0.228)
ENG 17.365 * 16.716 * 18.163 * 16.385
(1.146) (1.032) (0.906) (0.864)
IRIS 0.603 ** 0.311 ** 0.122 0.167
(0.014) (0.026) (0.190) (0.031)
TRAIN 0.4191 ** 0.5341 ** 0.321 ** 0.471 **
(0.056) (0.071) (0.040) (0.052)
URBAN 3.613 ** 2.855 ** 1.862 ** 2.470 *
(1.111) (0.495) (0.328) (0.274)
Variables SALE CRAFT PROD
Constant -2.261 ** -0.769 ** -2.557 **
(0.246) (0.188) (0.323)
EDUC 0.1510 ** 0.0273 O.133
(0.046) (0.043) (0.055)
EXP 0.0473 ** 0.0035 * 0.0281 **
(0.006) (0.006) (0.008)
MSP -0.460 0.266 ** -0.628
(0.380) (0.118) (0.412)
CHILD 06 -0.0897 0.1046 ** -0.0286 *
(0.023) (0.046) (0.078)
CHILD 711 .-0.282 ** 0.117 ** -0.241 **
(0.084) (0.068) (0.021)
LITIND 0.239 ** 0.0783 ** 0.0248 **
(0.121) (0.014) (0.001)
ENG 15.179 1.297 0.0711
(1.318) (1.081) (0.002)
IRIS 0.2720 0.266 ** 0.0752
(1.180) (1.141) (0.015)
TRAIN 0.342 ** 0.0221 0.025
(0.063) (0.061) (0.021)
URBAN 2.963 ** 2.293 * 2.389 **
(0.214) (0.201) (0.264)
Likilihood Ratio Index 0.63; ** denotes statistical
significance at the 5 percent level; * denotes statistical
significance at the 10 percent level; standard errors are
given in the parenthesis; base category is agriculture.
Table 8
Predicted Choice Probabilities for Men and Women
Predicted Choice Probabilities of:
% Women: Using Women: Using
Men's Eq Men's Eq
Managerial 21.68 26.69
Professional 21.10 20.80
Medical 11.50 6.86
Teaching 8.40 8.57
Sales 13.00 11.02
Craft 13.39 13.17
Production 11.53 12.20
Predicted Choice Probabilities of:
% Women: Using Men: Using
Women's Eq Women's Eq
Managerial 30.54 19.68
Professional 19.49 19.68
Medical 19.36 20.09
Teaching 18.40 18.34
Sales 18.10 18.00
Craft 3.78 3.79
Production 0.32 0.45