Integrated system of national accounts for Pakistan: concepts, sources and methods in brief.
Havinga, Ivo C. ; van den Andel, W.A.
INTRODUCTION
The function of the national accounts is to provide an interrelated and consistent set of economic statistics of the transactors in the
economy. Those statistics relate to the circular flow in the economy of
production, consumption and accumulation. They are used to assess the
performance of the economy and should facilitate the application of
economic theory. In Pakistan, a systematic design of the system of
national accounts has been lacking. Basically, the system is limited to
macro economic production statistics on value-added by sectors and
expenditure series. Moreover, the present system lacks internal
consistency checks. Discrepancies cannot be assessed due to the
existence of residual sectors. As a result, the national accounts have
not been exploited in their function for the evaluation of the
performance of the economy.
During the mid-1980s, a comprehensive review of the system was made
to improve the national accounts. The recommendations Which were
formulated after the review stated that:
The system should be rebased from 1959-60 to 1980-81; The system
should be extended to include input-output tables, flow-of-funds
and institutional sector accounts; and The system should adopt the
integrated national accounts concepts.
The Federal Bureau of Statistics (FBS), being the traditional
producer of national accounts statistics, has been given the task to
adopt the integrated national accounts concepts and publish the
underlying statistical framework.
For this purpose, the FBS is revamping the statistical instruments
which will provide the primary data base. Those statistical instruments
include business directory structures and data collection schemes.
Moreover, the processing and analysis of national accounts data will be
fully computerized. The coordination is provided by the classification
of the integrated national accounts framework.
The plan of operations calls for the compilation of an input-output
table for 1984-85 as a pilot activity and another one for 1989-90. The
1984-85 table is to be based on statistics available for that period.
The initiation of new surveys to obtain additional information forms an
important part of the preparation for the 1989-90 table. However, the
work on the 1984-85 table has assisted in finding important gaps in the
economic data available in the country, as well as in determining its
quality.
The work for the 1984-85 input-output table also included the
preparation of a number of classifications, along with their
cross-codes, and the development of directory structures for the formal
sectors in the economy.
In parallel with the development of the pilot input-output table,
the work on the flow-of-funds and institutional sector accounts has been
taken in hand. After the input-output table, the flow-of-fund accounts
and the institutional sector accounts for 1984-85 are available, it is
rather straightforward to prepare a SAM for the same period.
The new, integrated approach to national accounting will
significantly improve the national accounts estimates, even when using
mostly already available information. In the case of the 1984-85
input-output table, the integrated structure of the new system will
sharply reduce the inconsistencies which are present in the current
system. It may be expected that the current procedures and the
integrated system will show substantial differences in the absolute
level of value-added estimates for a number of sectors, and possibly the
national aggregate. Utmost care is taken to ensure full documentation of
all steps. This should enable a proper analysis of the causes of any
major differences that may show up between the two sets of estimates.
The remainder of this paper will describe the outline of the
framework of the integrated national accounts in Section I. In Section
II, the sources and methods of the input-output table are presented with
reference to the statistical instruments. In Section III, the sources
and methods of the institutional sector accounts are described. Out of
necessity, the description will be brief. Therefore, supporting
documentation should be consulted for more detail.
I. INTEGRATED SYSTEM OF NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
The framework adopted for the integrated accounting system is the
conceptual framework of the UN System of National Accounts. The System
highlights transaction and transactor detail that is relevant for
economic analysis and informed decision-making. It consist of three
parts, that is, a make matrix, an absorption matrix and a set of
institutional sector accounts.
The make and the absorption matrix together represent the basic
components of the input-output table, and are depicted in Table 1. This
table is a modification of Table 2.17 of the SNA (pp. 33) and provides
the symbolic representation of the system.
In the system of national accounts, the input-output table reflects
the transaction detail of the production account. In connection with the
production and use of goods and services, the system maintains a
classification of transactors by activity groups who are mainly
concerned with production related decisions.
For the purpose of realising homogeneous resident
establishment-type units, the following classification is maintained in
the system: industries, producers of government services, producers of
private non-profit services to households and households. The latter in
role of consumers and producers of domestic services. Moreover, the
overseas sector is included to cover international transactions between
residents and non-residents.
The make-matrix (T5.3, T6.3 and T7.3) presents the detail of total
domestic production. The columns in the make-matrix correspond with the
commodity rows of the absorption matrix and the rows correspond with the
columns of the intermediate consumption block of this table. In the
make-matrix as well as in the absorption matrix, import duties (T11.4)
are included so that GDP and gross output at market prices can be made
explicit in both tables.
On the supply side, imports (T24.3), valued c.i.f., are added to
the domestic production. Trade and transport margins might be added in a
separate column for the conversion to purchasers' prices. On the
demand side, the absorption matrix includes the breakdown of
intermediate consumption (T3.5, T3.6 and T3.7) by commodity.
Furthermore, it includes a breakdown of final consumption expenditure
(T.3.8, T3.9 and T.3.10), increase in stocks (T3.15, T.316), a breakdown
of gross fixed capital formation (T3.17, T3.18 and T3.19), and a column
for exports (T3.24), all by commodity. Row and Column 4 depict the net
commodity taxes since the make and absorption matrix are valued at basic
prices. A breakdown of the cost components of value-added in reflected
in T11.5, T11.6 and T11.7.
The institutional sector accounting framework includes all
T-accounts of the present SNA, which are presented in a vertically
integrated format. Those accounts are the external trade account, the
production account, the income and outlay account, the capital account
and the balance sheets. The vertical integration of accounts is further
extended by the introduction of a system of institutional sectoring or
counterpart transactors, which is further disaggregated by subsectors in
accordance with the decision-making units functioning in the economy.
A schematic representation of the central SNA framework is provided
in Table 2. The full transaction detail in the income and outlay account
and the capital account by the institutional sectors is described in the
SNA (pp. 159 to 163). In the present phase of improvement of national
accounts the balance sheets are not used but ultimately they should be
included. Moreover, the classification of the accounts might undergo
slight modifications in the final publication. Still, the objective is
to publish the most detailed information on transactions possible.
The institutional sector classification is maintained for the
transactors who are concerned with decisions related to finance and
distribution. This classification is used for the income and outlay
account and the capital finance and accumulation account. For this
purpose, the unit of observation is the enterprise which may consist of
one or more establishments.
The proposed institutional classification for Pakistan is in
alignment with the SNA and reflects the finance and distribution
structure of Pakistan. It is noted that the household sector includes
unincorporated establishments. For practical purposes, these
establishments are defined by an operational criteria as those
production units which employ less than 10 persons. In addition, the
household sector includes all establishments operating in the
agricultural sector. In general, those units do not maintain accounting
records and, consequently, cannot be identified as independent legal
units separate from the households they belong to.
In principle, the private non-profit institutions serving
households are treated separately from the household sector. This
bifurcation will be available only after 1988-89 based on survey data.
The recommended institutional sector classification is reported in
Table 3.
On the basis of the integrated system of T-accounts and
input-output tables by detailed sector, it is relatively easy to produce
a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). The SAM combines the virtues of the
national accounts statistics with those of input-output tables by
presenting a comprehensive and consistent set of production, income and
outlay and capital accumulation and finance accounts in matrix form. The
opening and closing balances and the revaluation accounts are as yet
excluded from the new system.
II. INPUT-OUTPUT TABLE: SOURCES AND METHODS
The criteria used for grouping industries to obtain the branches of
the input-output table are multiple. First of all, important economic
activities are kept separate. Secondly, economic activities which are
important users or generators of foreign exchange are kept separate as
far as practical. Thirdly, economic activities are grouped only within
the same two-digit industry group. Furthermore, in manufacturing, the
large-scale and small-scale sub-sectors have been kept separate.
This procedure resulted in a table with about one hundred branches.
The number and composition of the branches may still undergo some
changes once a clear picture of data availability at the detailed level
is formed. It may therefore be that the number of branches is reduced in
the 1984-85 table, while the original structure is used in the 1989-90
table, for which more detailed information will be available.
Activities and Commodities
Industries
Sources: The underlying data sources for industries (T5.3 and T3.5)
and value added (T11.5) are partially obtained from surveys and
partially from annual reports. For the year 1984-85, survey data are
available on mining and quarrying (Census of Mining Industries), large
scale manufacturing (Census of Manufacturing Industries), small scale
manufacturing (Survey of Small and Household Manufacturing Industries),
building construction (Private Building Construction Survey), ownership
of dwellings (Rent Survey), transport (Mechanized and Non-mechanized
Road Transport), wholesale, retail, hotels and restaurants, and personal
services (Distributive Trade Survey) and private business services
(various service sector surveys). Data on the other branches are
obtained from annual reports, apart from agriculture. Due to lack of
data, the agricultural sector will not be disaggregated by crops in the
1984-85 table. Functional statistics from secondary sources are used,
where possible, to cross check the survey results.
For the input-output table 1989-90, a comprehensive data collection
scheme has been planned. This comprises the newly designed Agricultural
Input-Output Survey (AIOS) for the rabi and kharif crops and the
Integrated Survey of Service and Manufacturing Industries (ISSMI). These
surveys are planned to fill existing gaps in input-output data for the
agricultural crop sectors and the service and manufacturing sectors. The
ISSMI covers major Divisions 6, 8 (except finance and insurance) and 9
of Pakistan Standard Industrial Classification (PSIC). Furthermore, for
the first time, private non-profit institution serving households will
be covered on sample basis. The sample design of the ISSMI will be based
on the Census of Establishments (CE). The CE 1988 allows for sample
designs based on area sampling as well as list sampling. List sampling
will be undertaken for all manufacturing establishments with limited
liability, all units which are government sponsored and are foreign
controlled and all units employing 250 or more employees.
Methods: The classification of industries by branches is according
to kind of economic activity, for which the branch is determined by the
principal product of the establishment. In order to ensure the
correspondence between the commodity and the industry classification, a
cross-classification has been established between the Pakistan Standard
Industrial Classification (PSIC) and the Pakistan Standard Trade
Classification (PSTC). This cross-classification is presently based on
the revision 2 of both the PSIC and PSTC but will be updated to the
revision 3. Besides, this cross-classification is linked to the Pakistan
Customs Tariff (PCT) which is based on the Brussels Tariff Nomenclature.
Both the PSTC and the PSIC are based on the international classification
issued by the UN Statistical Office namely, the Standard International
Trade Classification (SITC) and the International Standard Industrial
Classification (ISIC).
Furthermore, exhaustive computerized business directory structures
have been established for those branches not covered by survey schemes
for management and monitoring purposes of data collection, processing
and collating.
The valuation of the flows of goods and services, may be at
approximate basic prices, producers' prices or purchasers'
prices. The valuation to be used in the system is still under
consideration. At the detailed branch level maintained in the
classification of the input-output table, supporting statistics are
rather weak to identify the wholesale, retail and transport margins and
the net commodity taxes. In case of insufficient information, as a last
resort, the flows may be valued at purchasers' prices. In the
future, however, the design of the Integrated System of Price and
Quantum Indexes will provide the detail needed to use different
valuations. The gaps in the present systems of price collection have
been identified and efforts are underway to remedy them. Those efforts
pertain not only to additional data collected for a particular good
representing commodities for a particular branch but also on price data
for a particular good at various points in the marketing chain. Besides,
the integrated methodology provides the basis for dovetailing the double
deflation procedures by branch to the calculation of the GDP implicit
price index at market prices, and the GDP implicit price index to the
combination of the individual final demand price indexes.
Producers of Government Services
Sources: The data sources for producers of government services
(T6.3 and T3.6) and value-added (T11.6) are provided by the budgets from
the federal, provincial and local governments. The latter include
metropolitan corporations, municipal corporations, district councils and
town committees. Although budgets do exist for lower level government
(for instance union councils), these are consolidated with higher levels
of local government.
For the purpose of national accounts, actual expenditures and
revenues should be collected. However, these actual expenditures are
approximated for the federal and provincial governments by the revised
budget estimates as actuals are not readily available.
Methods: Government budgets are prepared on a cash basis and not on
an accrual basis. Therefore, the budgets record transactions at the time
payment or receipt. In contrast, the SNA records transactions the time
they take place, reflecting production and delivery rather than payment.
In the SNA, a number of transactions are imputed for which payments have
been made in the past, will be made in the future, or which involve
payments in kind.
Other major differences between the government budget principles
and the SNA relate to the organization of the accounting structure and
the method of consolidation. Government transactions in the budgets are
organized in a single balanced account in which all receipts and
payments are shown only once, in addition to their effect on government
cash balances. In contrast, the SNA organizes transactions into three
separate, though interrelated, balanced accounts: the production
account; income and outlay account; and the capital finance and
accumulation account. As regards the method of consolidation, the
budgets eliminate all transactions between the parts of government being
consolidated. The SNA consolidates those transactions between parts of
government if they appear in the same account for the two parties to the
transaction.
In the analysis and compilation of the production account, the
producers of government services are grouped separately from other
transactors because of the different nature of their output and the way
they operate. They consist of bodies engaged primarily in public
administration and defense; the operation of social security schemes and
the provision of community, social and economic services free or at
prices that do not cover the cost of production. Moreover, they are
grouped separately from departmental enterprises, government-sponsored
non-financial enterprises and financial institutions. Those
establishment-type units are grouped together in (government-sponsored)
industries, because of the similarity of decision-making processes.
In principle, the producers of government services are classified
according to individual expenditures or outlays. However, cases might
arise where it is not possible to use transactions as units of
classification. Instead, the classification has to be based on
government bodies as unit of measurement.
The SNA does not require any breakdown of producers of government
services by kind of activity. The classification by kind of activity
gives a breakdown at divisional level of major Division 9 (i.e.
community, social and personal services) of the PSIC. However, an
alignment may be realised between the Classification of the Functions of
Government (COFOG) and the classification by kind of activity. The
intermediate consumption, gross output and value-added will be given in
Tables T3.6, T6.3 and T11.6, according to this classification.
At the federal, provincial and local government level, the budget
and revised estimates on receipts and expenditures are published in
annual budgets. Those transactions are classified on the basis of the
'Chart of Classification of Federal and Provincial Governments
Receipts and Disbursement'. This chart has been developed on the
basis of the classification for government finance statistics of the
International Monetary Fund's (IMF), 'A Manual on Government
Finance Statistics' (GFS). Having established the link between the
chart and GFS, bridge tables have been prepared to link the transactions
to the classification of the SNA. Those bridge tables have been modified
to reflect the transaction detail of the input-output table.
Private Non-profit Institutions Serving Households
Sources: At present, no data base is available on the non-profit
institutions serving households (T7.3, T3.7 and T11.7). This data gap
will be filled with the ISSMI. Consequently, only for the input-output
table 1989-90, this activity group will be included.
Final Consumption Expenditure
Households
Sources: Column T3.8 covers the final consumption expenditure of
households. It reflects the outlays of the resident households on new
durable and non-durable goods and services less their sales of
second-hand goods, scraps and wastes. The commodity distribution will be
obtained from the Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) 1984-85
and its revised edition, the Household Integrated Economic Survey
1989-90.
Methods: The commodity breakdown for the household consumption
expenditure is obtained using a bridge table between the consumption
classification of the HIES and the commodity classification of the
input-output table. The revised HIES introduces, among other things, a
proper alignment of the commodity classifications used in the
expenditure part with the input-output table. Moreover, a distinction
has been introduced between the purchase of new and second hand durable
goods.
An unresolved issue is the determination of the absolute level of
the household consumption expenditure. Although secondary sources might
provide checks and balances of some consumption categories, the majority
of the consumption categories have to be determined as residual of total
final demand.
Producers of Government Services
Sources and Methods: Above the sources and methods of the producers
of government services have been described. The method of calculation of
the final expenditure of the producers of government services (T3.9) is
based on a standard practice recommended by the SNA. First, the gross
output is determined by a summation of the intermediate consumption of
goods and services, compensation of employees, depreciation and net
indirect taxes. Secondly, the commodity and non-commodity sales are
subtracted from the gross output to derive the final expenditure.
Private Non-profit Institutions Serving Households
Sources: In the absence of data for 1984-85, the compilation of
T3.10, the final consumption expenditure of private non-profit
institutions serving households is not possible. A sound data base will
be available for the 1989-90 input-output table as the data will be
generated by ISSMI for that period.
For 1984-85, this activity group will be treated as residual and
consolidated with final expenditure of households.
Methods: The SNA groups the private non-profit institutions serving
households separately from industries and producers of government
services as they differ in their sources of finance and control. Their
activities are usually financed through membership fees, grants and
contributions from individuals, business units and government. They
might sell commodities to households but the receipts will not fully
cover the cost of production. The operational criteria proposed for use
by the FBS is that a unit should engage at least two full-time employees
and receipts from sales of commodities should not cover more than 50
percent of the cost of production. In case the first criteria is not
met, the unit is excluded from the producers of the private non-profit
services to households and included in households. If the second
criteria is not met, the bodies will be included in industries.
Private non-profit institutions serving households are classified
by purpose or aim. This classification coincides with the classification
by kind of activity for industries. The following classification is
recommended: education, health, welfare institutions, religious
institutions and other social and recreational institutions (including
political parties, trade unions, civic associations, etc).
The method of calculation of the final expenditure of those
institutions in the same as for the producers of government services.
Increase in Stocks
Industries
Sources: The increases in stocks are measured only for
establishments in the following industries: mining and quarrying, large
scale manufacturing and distributive trade. Data on stock changes in the
other industrial sectors is lacking.
Methods: The changes in stock from work-in-progress and finished
products will be consolidated. Changes from raw materials will be
prorated on the basis of the material input structures and assigned to
the branch of origin. In the absence of appropriate stock price indexes,
valuation at a uniform price is not possible.
Producers of Government Services
Sources and Methods: The government (T3.16) maintains stocks of
agricultural products for strategic purposes. The related information is
available from the line departments.
Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Industries
Sources and Methods: Information on gross fixed capital formation
by industries (T3.17) will be obtained from the various industry
surveys. These surveys collect information on investment for the
following investment goods: buildings, land improvement, transport
equipment, machinery and equipment, furniture and fixtures and other
goods. These will be allocated by industry of origin. Where possible,
supplementary information will be obtained from the State Bank of
Pakistan on loan disbursements to manufacturing units under construction
and foreign direct investment.
Producers of Government Services
Sources and Methods: Data on investment in social and physical
infrastructure by the governments (T3.18) is obtained from the annual
budgets. The classification of gross fixed capital formation is further
extended for this purpose to include roads, highways and bridges,
irrigation works and embankment and drainage. It may be noted that the
annual budgets only provide overall investment figures and not the input
structures. Therefore, representative schemes are identified for the
different types of works and the input structures determined with the
assistance of experts in this field.
Rest of the World
Sources: Two data sources are available for the commodity breakdown
of exports and imports. These are the trade statistics from the FBS and
the balance of payments statistics of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).
The SBP also includes the international trade in services. Discrepancies
between the data sets do exist as the FBS data from customs are on
transaction basis and the State Bank data from the foreign exchange
control system are on cash basis. Moreover, the FBS data for imports are
valued c.i.f. while the SBP data are valued f.o.b.
Methods: The discrepancies in the two data sets have to be
harmonized. The imports of services have to be adjusted for the
proportion of services rendered by non-resident establishments on the
imports of merchandise. Moreover, the services rendered by resident
transport companies for the imports of merchandise valued c.i.f. have to
be corrected by an export entry in services. Finally, the protective
import duties have to be identified on the imports of merchandise and
subsequently assigned to the imports of merchandise. Although these
corrections are theoretical justified, they can only be crude due to the
paucity of data.
III INSTITUTIONAL SECTOR ACCOUNTS: SOURCES AND METHODS
In the following sections, the sources and methods of the
institutional sectors accounts will be described. This will be in
continuation of the preceding section to prevent repetition.
Households
Sources and Methods: The household sector accounts from 1984-85 to
1987-88 will be based on the Household Income and Expenditure Survey
(HIES). Moreover, this sector will include all establishments employing
less than 10 persons. For the same period, the sector includes private
non-profit institutions serving households due to non-availability of
data.
From 1989 onwards, this sector will be based on the Household
Integrated Economic Survey (HIES). The related questionnaire is a
revision of the questionnaire used for the Household Income and
Expenditure Survey. The present format has been extended to include and
integrate the transaction detail of the production, income and outlay
and capital accumulation and finance accounts of the system. Moreover,
worksheets have been added to cover the operations of those agricultural
and non-agricultural establishments which employ less than 10 persons.
Those worksheets are to be filled if the unit is owned and operated by
one of the household members. From the worksheet, the operating surplus can be determined which can be cross-checked with the income reported in
the income section of the questionnaire. In addition, the questionnaire
allows for the determination of the current wealth position of the
household by means of questions on the ownership of fixed and financial
assets and claims.
Consequently, the new format provides internal consistency for each
household. Moreover, appropriate sourcing of the transactions by
counterpart institutional sectors have been included to maintain
external consistency. The content of the questionnaires is linked to the
structure of the SNA by means of bridge tables.
Financial Sector
Sources and Methods: The various publications on banking statistics
of the State Bank provide the details for the compilation of the 4 sets
of accounts for the subsectors 'Central monetary authority'
(SBP) and 'Scheduled and cooperative banks'. The latter
includes the scheduled banks and the cooperative banks. Those accounts
also provide ample information on the sourcing of the changes in
financial assets and liabilities.
The major limitation of the above sources is the absence of a
cross-tabulation between types of deposit holders and types of deposits.
A minor issue relates to the inclusion of financial institutions in the
consolidated tables of scheduled banks in the SBP publications while
they are classified as 'Other credit institutions' in the FBS
classification. Moreover, a double counting does arise for the Punjab Provincial Co-operative Bank since it is included in the consolidated
tables on scheduled banks and the cooperative banks.
The sources of the subsector 'Other credit institutions'
are the annual reports. Those annual reports have the limitation that
they contain considerable less detail than the SBP publications on the
other financial subsectors.
Non-financial Sector
Sources and Methods: The annual reports of the non-financial public
limited companies and all other government sponsored organisations form
the sources of data for the compilation of the integrated set of
accounts. A compilation sheet is designed to obtain the flows from the
profit and loss accounts and the balance sheets at the greatest level of
detail possible. From the notes to the reports, the sourcing of the
flows with counterpart institutional sectors can be identified.
The compilation of data for this sector is restricted to these two
subsectors. Although the number of enterprises is small (approximately 5
percent of the total number of companies in this institutional sector),
they cover 75 percent of the paid-up capital and thus provide a good
basis for estimation.
This sector also contains a residual subsector for other
quasi-corporate enterprises and non-profit institutions serving
businesses. Other sources such as the Census of Manufacturing Industries
provide supplementary information, in particular, information on saving
and investment.
Government
Sources and Methods: With reference to the previous section, it is
recalled that the transactions reported in the annual budgets of the
federal, provincial and local bodies government are linked to the four
sets of accounts of the SNA with bridge tables. By definition the
budgets are internally consistent. Moreover, the budgets provide various
sourcing options to counterpart institutional sectors for external
balancing. The annual budgets of the federal and local bodies are
available on tape. The provincial budgets are to be processed on tape.
Rest of the World
Sources and Methods: In principle, the balance of payments
statistics cover the rest of the world sector. However, due to various
consolidation and netting procedures followed by the SBP, a considerable
amount of sourcing detail to counterpart domestic institutional sectors
is hidden.
Comments on "Integrated System of National Accounts for
Pakistan: Concepts, Sources and Methods in Brief"
The paper is essentially a progress report of the project
"Improvement of National Account Statistics" being carried out
at the Federal Bureau of Statistics. The project aims at developing an
input-output table, flow of funds, and institutional sector account with
a view to providing an integrated system of the National Accounts of
Pakistan. This, indeed, is a commendable effort and both the authors and
the project team should be complimented for the useful work they are
doing for improving the reliability of statistics relating to the
National Accounts of Pakistan. It is significant that the national
Accounts data show considerable improvements by applying the consistency
check even when the existing information is being used. Nevertheless,
more data are being generated in the Federal Bureau of Statistics to
further improve the National Accounts.
My comments on the paper relate four broad areas relating to
National Accounts. These areas include sectoral distribution, methods
for valuation of transactions, the use of single or double deflation
methods to prepare estimates of value added at constant prices, and
consumption broken down by the sectors of production.
While the paper does not report the sectoral distribution being
used in the input-output table, it indicates for criteria on the basis
of which production activities would be classified. These four criteria
are the importance of an economic activity in gross domestic product,
importance of an economic activity in foreign exchange earnings,
grouping of activities in the same one-digit classification of
production sectors and the scale of operation. These four criteria are,
no doubt, useful in selecting the sectoral distribution. However, they
may not be sufficient to clearly identify the economic activities
employing significantly different technologies. In particular, if the
technology used in the small and large-scale sub-sectors in various
production activities is quite similar, the input-output matrix may be
singular.
While the paper does raise the question of the valuation of the
flows of goods and services and suggests all the three alternatives, one
wonders why no decision has so far been taken on the method of valuation
while the project is at an advanced stage. This needs to be taken on a
priority basis as the data requirements would be significantly
different.
The Double Deflation Method has been preferred over the Single
Deflation Method in the study for obtaining estimates of value added at
constant prices. The Double Deflation Method is superior in the sense
that the output and the intermediate inputs are deflated at different
rates in correspondence with the rates of increase in prices of the two.
However, the Double Deflation Method assumes that the technology remains
constant. Therefore, if the technology does show significant changes
over the period for which value added is being deflated, the Double
Deflation Method may yield absurd results including negative value added
at domestic prices. Therefore, the validity of this method would largely
depend on the frequency with which the base year is changed. Considering
that in Pakistan the base year for National Accounts has been changed
only once after a period of twenty years, the prospects of frequent
changes are rather limited. Therefore, under these circumstances single
deflation may be preferred over double deflation.
The authors have suggested that they would use Household Income and
Expenditure survey data to determine the consumption of various
commodities. These will then be compared with the production data to
determine the vector(s) of final output. Since household income and
expenditure survey data generally overstate consumption, the consumption
of various products may exceed the total availability of goods. Under
such circumstances, which are quite likely, what method would be
employed by the authors to bring about an equilibrium between the
consumption and the availability of goods and services by each of the
production sector will have a significant bearing on the results. This
assumes special significance as data on stocks virtually do not exist in
Pakistan.
A. R. Kemal
Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad.
Authors' Note: This paper based on work undertaken in the
Pakistan/Netherlands Project on Improvement of National Accounts
Statistics (INAS) at the Federal Bureau of Statistics, Statistics
Division in collaboration with the Institute of Social Studies Advisory
Service (ISSAS).
Ivo C. Havinga and W. A. van den Andel are associated with the
Pakistan/Netherlands Project on Improvement of National Accounts
Statistics (INAS) at the Federal Bureau of Statistics, Statistics
Division.
Table 1
A Simplified Symbolic Representation of the Make and
Absorption Matric in the System
1 2 3 4
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4
Activities Industries 5 T5.3 T5.4
Producers of
Government
Services 6 T6.3
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7 T7.3
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11 T11.4
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24 T24,3
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
5 6 7
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3 T3.5 T3.6 T3.7
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4 T4.5 T4.6 T4.7
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11 T11.5 T11.6 T11.7
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
8 9 10
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3 T3.8 T3.9 T3.10
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4 T4.8 T4.9 T4.10
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
11 12 13 14
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
15 16
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3 T3.15 T3.16
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4 T4.15
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
17 18 19
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3 T3.17 T3.18 T3.19
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4 T4.17 T4.18 T4.19
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
20 21 22 23
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
24 25 26 27 28
Opening Assets Financial Assets 1
Net Tangible
Assets 2
Production Commo- Commodities,
dities Basic Values 3 T3.24
Commodity Taxes,
Net 4 T4.24
Activities Industries 5
Producers of
Government
Services 6
Private Services:
Domestic
Services and
Producers of
Non-profit
Services 7
Consumption Expendi- Households Goods
ture and Services 8
Government
Purposes 9
Purposes of
Private
n-p Services 10
Income And Value Added 11
Outlay Institutional
Sector of
Origin 12
Form of Income 13
Institutional
Sector Receipts 14
Accumulation Increase Industries 15
in Stocks Producers of
Government
Services 16
Fixed Industries 17
Capital Producers of
Formation Government
Services 18
Producers of
Private
Non-profit
Services
to Households 19
Capital Industrial
Finance Capital
Formation,
Land, etc. 20
Capital Transfers21
Financial Assets 22
Institutional
Sectors 23
Rest of the Current and
World Capital
Transactions 24
Revaluation Financial Assets 25
Net Tangible
Assets 26
Closing Financial Assets 27
Net Tangible
Assets Assets 28
Source: SNA, page 33.
Table 2
Central SNA Framework T-Accounts
Income, Outlay and Capital Flows
EXTERNAL TRADE
Exports
Imports
Trade Balance
PRODUCTION
Gross Output
Intermediate Consumption
Value Added/GDP
INCOME AND OUTLAY
Income Generation
Value Added/GDP
Comp. of Employees
Cons. of Fixed Capital
Import Duties
Other Indirect Taxes
Operating Surplus, Net
Income Appropriation
Income Appropriation
Operating Surplus, Net
Comp. of Employees
Property Income
Sectoral (National) Income/
Current Surplus
Income Distribution
Sectoral (National) Income/
Current Surplus
Indirect Taxes
Direct Taxes
Social Transfers
Current Transfers N.E.C.
Disposable Income
Income Use
Disposable Income
Final Consumption
Net Saving
CAPITAL FLOWS
Redistribution of Saving
Net Saving
Changes in Net Worth
Accum. Tangible Assets
Changes in Net Worth
Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Net Purchases of Land
Net Lending
Accum. Financial Assets
Net Lending
Currency and Deposits
Securities
Other Financial Claims
BALANCE SHEETS
Opening stock
Tangible Assets
Currency and Deposits
Securities
Other Financial Claims
Net Worth
Revaluation
Tangible Assets
Currency And Deposits
Securities
Other Financial Claims
Net Worth
Closing Stock
Tangible Assets
Currency and Deposits
Securities
Other Financial Claims
Net Worth
Table 3
Institutional Sector Classification
S1000 Non-financial Corporations
S1010 Non-financial Corporations, Unassigned
S1020 Non-financial Corporations, Listed
S1021 Non-financial Corporations, Listed, Government Sponsored
S1022 Non-financial Corporations, Listed, Private Domestic
S1023 Non-financial Corporations, Listed, Foreign
S1030 Non-financial Corporations, Unlisted
S1031 Non-financial Corporations, Unlisted, Government Sponsored
S1032 Non-financial Corporations, Unlisted, Private Domestic
S1033 Non-financial Corporations, Unlisted, Foreign
$2000 Financial Enterprises
$2100 Central Monetary Authorities
$2200 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks
$2210 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Listed
$2211 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Listed, Government Sponsored
$2212 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Listed, Private Domestic
$2213 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Foreign
$2220 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Unlisted
$2221 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Unlisted, Government Sponsored
$2222 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Unlisted, Private Domestic
$2223 Scheduled and Cooperative Banks, Unlisted, Foreign
$2300 Other Credit Institutions
$2310 Other Credit Institutions, Listed
$2311 Other Credit Institutions, Listed, Government Sponsored
$2312 Other Credit Institutions, Listed, Private Domestic
S2313 Other Credit Institutions, Listed, Foreign
$2320 Other Credit Institutions, Unlisted
S2321 Other Credit Institutions, Unlisted, Government Sponsored
$2322 Other Credit Institutions, Unlisted Private Domestic
$2323 Other Credit Institutions, Unlisted, foreign
$2400 Insurance Enterprises
$2410 Insurance Enterprises, Listed
$2411 Insurance Enterprises, Listed, Government Sponsored
$2412 Insurance Enterprises Listed, Private Domestic
S2413 Insurance Enterprises, Listed, Foreign
$2420 Insurance Enterprises, Unlisted
$2421 Insurance Enterprises, Unlisted, Government Sponsored
$2422 Insurance Enterprises, Unlisted, Private Domestic
$2423 Insurance Enterprises, Unlisted, Foreign
$3000 General Government
$3100 Federal Government
$3200 Provincial and Local Government
$3210 Provincial Government
$3220 Local Government
$3300 Social Security
$4000 Private Non-profit Organisations Serving Households
$5000 Households
$6000 Rest of the World
$9900 Unclassified
$9910 Unclassified
$9990 Not Operating in a Year