The effect of parental involvement laws on youth suicide.
Sabia, Joseph J. ; Rees, Daniel I.
I. INTRODUCTION
There is strong evidence that parental involvement laws, which
require a parent's notification or consent before a minor can
obtain an abortion, reduce pregnancies, abortions, and gonorrhea infections (Klick and Stratmann 2008; Levine 2003). This evidence is
consistent with the hypothesis that parental involvement laws represent
an important increase in the expected cost of having unprotected sexual
intercourse, and raises the possibility that their implementation could
help minors avoid the potentially acute psychological trauma associated
with unprotected sex, which may lead to an unwanted pregnancy or being
infected with a sexually transmitted disease.
This study explores the relationship between parental involvement
laws and suicides among 15- through 17-year-old females. Despite the
fact that restricting the access of minors to abortion services is often
promoted on the grounds that it will protect their emotional health
(Quinn 2000), there have been no previous attempts to estimate the
relationship between parental involvement laws and what has been called
"the ultimate expression of despair," nor has there been an
exploration of the relationship between parental involvement laws and
alternative measures of psychological well-being. (1)
Using state-level data for the years 1987-2003, we find that the
adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with an 11%-21%
reduction in the number of 15- through 17-year-old females who commit
suicide. There is little evidence of a similar relationship among older
females, who are not covered by parental involvement laws. Moreover, we
find that the adoption of a parental involvement law is unrelated to the
number of young males who commit suicide, a result that is consistent
with the hypothesis that unprotected sex imposes a greater psychological
burden on female adolescents than on their male counterparts.
II. BACKGROUND
As of July 2009, 34 states had instituted and were enforcing a
parental involvement law. Another seven states had passed a parental
involvement law but could not enforce it as the result of a court order.
Most parental involvement laws require the notification, or consent of,
one parent; three states require that both parents be notified or give
their consent, and six states allow the notification or consent of other
adult relatives like a grandparent. (2)
Parental involvement laws can be thought of as increasing the
expected cost of having sex, and, in theory, their adoption should
result in a reduction in the number of minors who are sexually active
and an increase in contraceptive use conditional on sexual activity
(Levine 2003). Evidence of the relationship between parental involvement
laws and a variety of outcomes is provided by Levine (2003) and Klick
and Stratmann (2008). Levine used state-level data from 1985 to 1996, a
period when many parental involvement laws came into effect. He found
that the adoption of a parental involvement law was associated with a
15%-20% reduction in the abortion rate of 15- through 17-year-olds, and
a 4%-9% reduction in their pregnancy rate. Turning to microdata from the
National Survey of Family Growth, Levine (2003) estimated the effect of
parental involvement laws on sexual activity and contraceptive use. The
results, although not sufficiently precise to be definitive, suggested
that the reduction in the pregnancy rate of 15- through 17-year-olds
could be attributed to more consistent use of contraception.
Klick and Stratmann (2008) used state-level data from 1981 to 1998
to explore the effect of parental involvement laws on teen gonorrhea
rates. These authors argued that gonorrhea rates can be thought of as a
proxy for risky sex (i.e., sex without a condom). They found that the
adoption of a parental involvement law was associated with a 20%
reduction in the gonorrhea rate among Hispanic females under the age of
20, and a 12% reduction among white females under the age of 20. (3)
Could parental involvement laws promote emotional health through
their effects on contraceptive use, pregnancy, and abortion? Sabia and
Rees (2008) found that female adolescents who became sexually active at
an early age were more likely to suffer from the symptoms of depression
than their counterparts who abstained, but that this relationship was
less pronounced among users of contraception. (4) There is also evidence
of a link between abortion and depression (Coleman et al. 2009; Cougle,
Reardon, and Coleman 2003; Fergusson, Horwood, and Boden 2008;
Fergusson, Horwood, and Ridder 2006; Pedersen 2008; Reardon and Cougle
2002; Rees and Sabia 2007), as well as evidence, albeit weaker, that
other pregnancy outcomes are related to depression (Broen et al. 2005;
Fergusson, Horwood, and Boden 2008; Rees and Sabia 2007). (5)
Not surprisingly, adolescents who exhibit the symptoms of
depression are at increased risk of committing and attempting suicide
(Cutler, Glaeser, and Norberg 2001; Fergusson, Beautrais, and Horwood
2003; Lewinsohn et al. 1994; Moscicki 2001). In addition, there is
evidence that suicide among adolescents and young adults is frequently
triggered by what have been termed "stressful life events,"
such as the breakup of a romantic relationship (Beautrais, Joyce, and
Mulder 1997; Brent et al. 1993; De Wilde et al. 1992; Johnson et al.
2002), conflict with a parent or sibling (Brent et al. 1993; Johnson et
al. 2002), an abortion (Gissler, Hemminki, and Lonnqvist 1996; Gissler
et al. 2005), or having a baby (Gissler, Hemminki, and Lonnqvist 1996).
(6) This evidence is consistent with the economic model of suicide
developed by Hamermesh and Soss (1974) in which negative shocks to
happiness may reduce expected lifetime utility to the point where an
individual will decide to take his or her own life. Even if a shock is
perceived to be temporary, an individual who discounts the future more
heavily when faced with an immediate, as opposed to a future, tradeoff
may commit suicide at the prospect of having to cope with an acutely
"painful state in the present" (Cutler, Glaeser, and Norberg
2001, 235). (7) If, through discouraging teens from engaging in risky
sexual behavior and encouraging communication between parents and
minors, parental involvement laws protect against depression and
stressful events such as experiencing an unwanted pregnancy, then it is
possible that their adoption led to fewer suicides, the third-leading
cause of death among American teens. (8) The empirical analysis below
explores this hypothesis.
III. EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
We examine yearly data at the state level on suicides committed by
15- through 17-year-old females. These data come from the Center for
Disease Control Mortality Reports, are available online, and cover the
period 1987-2003. (9) We assume that the number of suicides committed in
state s and time t ([S.sub.st]) is related to the presence of a parental
involvement law by the following equation:
(1)
ln E([S.sub.st]) = [alpha] + [delta][PI.sub.st] +
[[beta]'.sub.1] [X.sub.st] + [[theta].sub.s] + [[tau].sub.t] +
[[epsilon].sub.st],
where [PI.sub.st] is an indicator equal to one if state s had
adopted and was enforcing a parental consent or parental notification
law at time t and equal to zero otherwise; [X.sub.st] is a vector of
state-specific time-varying policy variables and demographic controls;
[[theta].sub.s] is a year-invariant state effect; and [[tau].sub.t] is a
state-invariant year effect. (10) If exp([[epsilon].sub.st]) follows a
gamma distribution with mean of 1 and variance [sigma], then Equation
(1) represents a negative binomial model; if [sigma] is assumed to equal
0, then the negative binomial reduces to the Poisson regression model
(Grootendorst 2002). In either case, [exp([??]) - 1] x 100 can be
interpreted as the percent change in E([S.sub.st]) associated with a
one-unit change in [PI.sub.st], the covariate of interest. (11)
The first two columns of Table 1 present negative binomial and
Poisson estimates of [delta] controlling for whether state s allowed
Medicaid to fund abortions at time t and whether it imposed a mandatory
waiting period before an abortion could be performed. They suggest that
the adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with a 13%
decrease ([e.sup.-0.142] - 1 = -0.132) in suicides among 15- through
17-year-old females. Controlling for beer taxes, the minimum legal
drinking age, zero tolerance laws, and whether the state required a
mandatory jail sentence for a first-time driving-under-the-influence
conviction has very little impact on the magnitude or precision of these
estimates (columns 3 and 4). (12) Likewise, adding a set of demographic
controls to [X.sub.st] has very little impact on the estimates of
[delta] (columns 5 and 6). (13)
Next we explore the robustness of the estimated relationship
between parental involvements laws and suicides committed by 15- through
17-year-old females documented in Table 1. Because Poisson and negative
binomial regressions consistently produced nearly identical coefficients
and standard errors, we focus on Poisson estimates of [delta] for the
remainder of the analysis.
Column (1)of Table 2 shows what happens when [PI.sub.st] is
replaced with its lagged value, [PI].sub.st-1]. The estimated
coefficient of [PI.sub.st-1] remains negative, but is reduced in
magnitude and is no longer statistically significant at conventional
levels. When both [PI.sub.st] and [PI.sub.st-1] are included on the
right-hand side of the estimating equation simultaneously, the estimated
coefficient of [PI.sub.st] is negative, statistically significant, and
quite large in absolute magnitude; the estimated coefficient of
[PI.sub.st-1] is positive, insignificant, and smaller (column 2).
Summing the estimated coefficients of [PI.sub.st] and [PI.sub.st-1]
implies a "long-run" reduction in suicides of almost 10%. (14)
We cannot reject the hypothesis that the long-run effect of the law is
not statistically different from the short-run contemporaneous effect.
This pattern of results suggests that the adoption of a parental
involvement law results in an immediate reduction in suicides, but that
after the first year its impact wanes. This may be because the enactment
of the laws typically comes amidst press coverage alerting minors and
their parents to the new law, but dissipates as public attention to the
law diminishes. For example, when Colorado's parental notification
law was enacted in 2003, the Denver Post published five news stories
that specifically discussed the new Colorado law. One year later, there
was just one news story discussing a (failed) court challenge of the law
and 2 years later, no articles were published. Along the same lines, the
Arizona Republic published multiple articles on Arizona's newly
enacted parental consent law in March 2003, but published no such
articles in 2004.
A number of researchers have speculated that the adoption of a
parental involvement law should have a larger effect on behavior when
minors do not have the option of crossing state lines to obtain an
abortion without receiving the consent of their parents (Dennis et al.
2009; Haas-Wilson 1996; Levine 2003). The third column of Table 2 shows
an estimate of [delta] controlling for the interaction of the parental
involvement variable and an indicator of whether s was adjacent to a
state that did not enforce a parental involvement law at time t. When
this interaction is included as a control, the estimated effect of
adopting a parental involvement law increases as expected, although the
estimated coefficient of the interaction is not significant at
conventional levels. The last column of Table 2 shows an estimate of
[delta] controlling for the interaction of the parental involvement
variable and an indicator equal to one if at least half of the states
bordering state s did not enforce a parental involvement law at time t.
The results are qualitatively similar to those in column (3).
A. Falsification Tests
The estimates of [delta] presented thus far are suggestive, but
could arguably be due to time-varying unobservables at the state level
correlated with both the adoption of a parental involvement law and
suicides like antiabortion sentiment. To explore this possibility, we
estimate Equation (1) using the log of expected suicides in state s at
time t among females ages 18-21 and among females ages 22-24 as
dependent variables. (15) Young adult females represent a natural
comparison group because parental involvement laws apply exclusively to
minors and therefore should not affect their behavior. Young adults are,
however, close enough in age to minors to be influenced by the same
unobservables.
These results of this exercise are presented in columns (1) and (2)
of Table 3. They provide little evidence that parental involvement laws
are related to suicides committed by females over the age of 17. The
adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with a small (less
than 1%) decrease in the number of 18- through 21-year-old females who
commit suicide, and an 8% increase in the number of 22- through
24-year-old females who commit suicide. These estimates, which are
statistically indistinguishable from zero, suggest that if an
unobservable were driving the negative relationship between parental
involvement laws and suicides among 15- through 17-year-old females
documented in Tables 1 and 2, it would have to be largely unrelated to
suicides committed by females just a few years older. (16)
There is evidence that unprotected sex imposes a greater
psychological burden on female adolescents than their male counterparts
(Sabia and Rees 2008), raising the possibility that 15- through
17-year-old males could serve as a second comparison group. If the
adoption of a parental involvement law was associated with large changes
in suicides committed by adolescent males, it would call into question a
causal interpretation of the estimates presented in Tables 1 and 2.
The Poisson estimate of [delta] for 15- through 17-year-old males
is reported in column (3) of Table 3. (17) The adoption of a parental
involvement law is associated with a (statistically insignificant) 7%
increase in suicides among 15-through 17-year-old males, suggesting that
the negative relationship between parental involvement laws and suicides
committed by young females cannot be explained by unmeasured state
policies targeted at minors or unobserved state sentiment. In columns
(4) and (5) of Table 3, we report the estimated relationship between
parental involvement laws and the number of 18- through 21-year-old
males and the number of 22- through 24-year-old males who commit
suicide, respectively. (18) Again, it appears that parental involvement
laws are essentially unrelated to male suicides.
B. Robustness Checks
In this section, we continue to explore the robustness of the
relationship between parental involvement laws and suicides committed by
15- through 17-year-old females. The top panel of Table 4 shows
triple-difference estimates of this relationship. They are equal to the
difference between the estimate of [delta] presented in column (6) of
Table 1 and the estimates of presented in Table 3, and suggest that the
adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with an 11%-21%
increase in the number of 15- through 17-year-old females who commit
suicide. The bottom two panels of Table 4 show what happens to these
estimates when state-specific linear and quadratic time trends are
introduced. The results provide little evidence that the negative
relationship between parental involvement laws and suicides among 15-
through 17-year-old females is driven by state-specific time trends.
In Table 5, we experiment with using an alternative dependent
variable, the suicide rate in state s at time t. The first three columns
of Table 5 show triple-difference estimates in which the gender- and
age-specific suicide rate per 10,000 population is on the left-hand side of the estimating equation. (19) When the control group is composed of
older females, these estimates are negative and statistically
significant at conventional levels; the adoption of a parental
involvement enforcement law is associated with a .060-.105 decrease in
the suicide rate of 15-through 17-year-old females. (20) When the
control group is composed of 15- through 17-year-old males, they are not
statistically significant. Nevertheless, they are similar in terms of
magnitude to those obtained using the other control groups, bolstering
the case for interpreting the relationship between parental involvement
laws and suicides among females ages 15-17 as causal. (21) It should be
noted, however, that the variable [PI.sub.st] explains only a small
portion of the within-state variation in suicide rates. In fact, its
inclusion increases the [r.sup.2] by only .0004-.0022, depending on
which control group is used.
In column (4) of Table 5, we present triple-difference estimates of
the relationship between the suicide rate among 15- through 17-year-old
females and parental involvement laws in which the state and year
dummies are interacted. That is, we present estimates of [[delta].sub.j]
from
(2) Suicide [rate.sub.stj] = [[alpha].sub.j] + [[delta].sub.j]
[PI.sub.st] + [[beta]'.sub.j] [X.sub.sj]
+ [[theta].sub.sj] + [[tau].sub.tj] + [[omega].sub.st] +
[[epsilon].sub.stj],
where j indexes group (for instance, 15- through 17-year-old
females vs. 18- through 21-year-old females), and [[omega].sub.st]
represents the interaction of the state and year fixed effects. (22) In
this regression framework, the source of the identifying variation is
differences in the suicide rate between 15- through 17-year-olds and the
comparison group, controlling in the most flexible fashion possible for
state-specific trends in suicides common to both 15- through 17-year-old
females and the comparison group. Although less precise, two of the
three estimates reported in column (4) of Table 5 are almost as large as
those reported in columns (1) through (3); when 18- through 21-year-old
females are used as the control group, the adoption of a parental
involvement laws is associated with only a (statistically insignificant)
.032 reduction in the suicide rate of 15- through 17-year-old females.
It is often difficult to pinpoint (and code) when a particular
parental involvement law came into effect. Although Levine (2003) and
Bitler and Zavodny (2002) coded parental involvement laws in 36 states
and the District of Columbia identically, they disagreed with regard to
the correct coding of parental involvement laws in 14 states. (23) For
instance, according to Bitler and Zavodny (2002), Montana never enforced
a parental involvement law passed in 1991. In contrast, Levine (2003)
coded Montana as having begun to enforce this law in 1991. To take
another example, Levine coded Iowa as having enforced a parental
involvement law throughout 1996, while Bitler and Zavodny coded the law
as coming into effect on July 1, 1997. To ensure that our results were
not sensitive to differences such as these, we compare estimates of the
effect of parental involvement laws as coded by Levine (2003) to
estimates of the effect of parental involvement laws as coded (and
updated) by Bitler and Zavodny (2002). This comparison suggests that our
basic findings are robust to minor differences in how parental
involvement laws are coded.
The first three columns of Table 6 show estimates of the effect of
adopting a parental involvement law using the Levine coding, which is
available through 2001. The adoption of a parental involvement law is
associated with a 14% decrease in suicides among 15- through 17-year-old
females, and a 9% increase in suicides among 18- through 21-year-old
females. The difference between these estimates is statistically
significant at the .05 level, as shown in column (3).
In columns (4)through (6)of Table 6, we present the corresponding
estimates using the Bitler and Zavodny coding, which is much closer to
our own. (24) The adoption of a parental involvement law is associated
with a 15% decrease in the number of 15- through 17-year-old females who
commit suicide, although it is also associated with a small (less than
1%) decrease in suicides among 18- through 21-year-old females. The
difference between these estimates is significant at the .10 level, as
shown in column (6).
We address a second coding issue in Table 7. In 1987 and 1988, 22
states did not provide information on suicides committed by 16- and
17-year-olds; in 1989, 29 states did not provide information on suicides
committed by 16- and 17-year-olds. Up until now, we have dealt with this
issue by dropping these observations from the analysis. In Panel I of
Table 7, we present estimates of Equation (1) coding the missing suicide
counts as 0s.
There is some justification for this alternative approach to
dealing with the issue of missing suicide counts. Using the available
data, we calculate that there was an average of 2.3 suicides committed
per year by 16-year-old females in states that provided incomplete
information on suicides during the period 1987-1989. (25) In contrast,
there was an average of 4.4 suicides committed per year by 16-year-old
females in the remaining states. Similarly, there was an average of 1.7
suicides committed per year by 17-year-old females in states that
provided incomplete information on suicides during the period 1987-1989,
whereas there was an average of 4.8 suicides per year committed by
17-year-old females in states that provided complete data. (26) We view
these results as evidence that some states may have failed to report
information on suicides when no suicides occurred.
When the missing suicide counts are coded as 0s, the adoption of a
parental involvement law is associated with a 15% decrease in the number
of 15- through 17-year-old females who commit suicide (column 1, Table
7). We also find that the adoption of a parental involvement law is
associated with a small increase in the number of 18- through
21-year-old females who commit suicide (column 2); we can reject the
hypothesis that these estimates are equal at the .05 level (column 3).
Likewise, the adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with
small, but insignificant, increases in the number of 22- through
24-year-old females who commit suicide (column 4), and the number of
15-through 17-year-old males who commit suicide (column 6).
In Panel II of Table 7, we report the results of replacing missing
suicide counts with the mean number of suicides in state s over the
period 1987-1989. (27) When the missing suicide counts are mean filled,
the adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with a 14%
decrease in the number of 15- through 17-year-old females who commit
suicide (column 1), but there is evidence that the adoption of a
parental involvement law is associated with a much smaller decrease in
suicides among 18- through 21-year-old females (column 2). Although the
difference between these estimates is not statistically significant (p
value = .12), the triple-difference estimates using males ages 15-17 and
females ages 22-24 as control groups are statistically significant at
conventional levels.
In Table 8, we explore the impact of zero- and mean-filling missing
suicides on estimates using the suicide rate as the dependent variable.
These results are similar to those reported in Table 5, lending
additional support for the argument that the negative relationship
between the adoption of parental involvement laws and suicides among 15-
through 17-year-old females is robust to using a variety of strategies
for dealing with the missing suicide counts from the period 1987 to
1989.
As a final robustness test, we pursue an empirical strategy
proposed by Klick and Stratmann (2008) by estimating the following
equation:
(3) ln E([S.sub.st]) = [alpha] + [[delta].sub.1] [PI.sub.st] +
[[delta].sub.2] [Enjoined.sub.st]
+ [[beta]'.sub.1] [X.sub.st] + [[theta].sub.st] +
[[tau].sub.t] + [[epsilon].sub.st],
where [Enjoined.sub.st] is equal to one if a parental involvement
law was under injunction in state s at time t, and equal to zero
otherwise. (28) Klick and Stratmann (2008, 14) argued that, because the
decision to enjoin a parental involvement law can be considered
"largely orthogonal to underlying voter sentiment," the
estimated effect of an enjoined law should approximate that of an
enforced law "unless the law itself, independent of any underlying
social pressures or attitudes, has an effect." This logic can be
extended to suicides: if enjoined parental involvement laws are found to
have an effect on suicides similar to that of enforced laws, it could
indicate that changes in social pressure or attitudes are driving the
estimates reported in Tables 1-8.
The first two columns of Table 9 present Poisson estimates of
[[delta].sub.1] and [[delta].sub.2], dropping observations with missing
suicide counts from the analysis. The adoption of a parental involvement
law is associated with a 19% decrease in the number of 15- through
17-year-old females who commit suicide; among 18- through 21-year-old
females, it is associated with a 4% decrease in suicides. In contrast,
the enjoining of a law is associated with a 15% decrease in the number
of 15- through 17-year-old females who commit suicide, but a 9% decrease
among 18- through 21-year-olds, suggesting that [[??].sub.2] may simply
be capturing the influence of an unobservable.
When missing suicide counts are coded as 0s or mean filled, the
difference between [[??].sub.1] and [[??].sub.2] is much greater
(columns 3 and 5). The adoption of a parental involvement law is
associated with a 16%-17% decrease in the number of 15- through
17-year-old females who commit suicide, but the enjoining of a parental
involvement law is associated with a 2%-7% decrease, a pattern of
results that suggests a minimal role for underlying social pressures or
attitudes. (29)
IV. ABORTION AND BIRTH RATES AS MEDIATORS
Using state-level data for the period 1985-1996, Levine (2003)
found that the adoption of a parental involvement law was associated
with a 15%-20% decrease in abortion rate of 15- through 17-year-olds,
but only a 4%-7% decrease in the abortion rate of 18- and 19-year-olds.
In the first two columns of Table 10, we report our attempt to replicate Levine's results for the period 1987-2003. (30) The adoption of a
parental involvement law is associated with a 17% decrease in the
abortion rate of 15- through 17-year-olds. In contrast, it is associated
with a (statistically insignificant) 2% decrease in the abortion rate of
18- and 19-year-olds.
Levine (2003) found little evidence of a link between parental
involvement laws and birth rates, a result that is again echoed in our
data. The adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with a 6%
increase in the birth rate of 15- through 17-year-olds (column 3), but a
5% increase in the birth rate of 18- and 19-year-olds (column 4). (31)
Joyce, Kaestner, and Colman (2006) found that a Texas parental
notification law that came into effect on January 1, 2000 led to a small
increase in births among minors 17.50-17.74 years of age at conception.
However, because of data limitations, we did not explore the
relationship between parental involvement laws and births to minors who
conceived between these ages.
The remaining columns of Table 10 report estimates of the
relationship between [PI.sub.st] and the suicide rate of 15- through
17-year-olds females, with and without controlling for their abortion
and birth rates. When a dummy is used to account for missing abortion
rates, the adoption of a parental involvement laws is associated with a
.064 decrease in the suicide rate, an estimate similar in magnitude to
those presented in the top panel of Table 5. (32) Controlling for the
abortion and birth rates of 15-17-year-olds reduces this estimate by
about a quarter. Specifically, the adoption of parental involvement law
is associated with a (statistically insignificant) .049 decrease in the
suicide rate. When the 137 observations with missing abortion rates are
simply dropped from the analysis, the estimated relationship between
[PI.sub.st] and the suicide rate of 15- through 17-year-old females
shrinks by about a third and becomes less precise. Nevertheless,
controlling for the abortion and birth rates of 15-17-year-olds reduces
it still further, providing additional evidence that parental
involvement laws impact suicides, at least in part, through these
channels.
V. CONCLUSION
Both opponents and proponents of restricting the access of minors
to abortion services frame the debate in terms of psychological
well-being. For instance, according to the National Conference of
Catholic Bishops:
The need for protecting minors is compelling. Abortion can involve
life-long emotional and physical trauma for women, particularly young
girls. In such situations, the love and support of families is critical
and needs to be encouraged. Parents should not be kept in the dark when
the welfare of their children and their unborn grandchildren is at
stake. (Quinn 2000)
In contrast, Planned Parenthood argues that:
For a variety of reasons, including fear of abuse, teenagers
frequently feel they cannot tell their parents about their unintended
pregnancies or desire to have an abortion ... Teenagers who cannot tell
their parents must either travel out of those states or obtain approval
through a court or some other alternative process. The resulting delay
increases the physical and emotional health risks to the teenager, since
the earlier an abortion is. the safer it is. (Planned Parenthood 2008)
Despite these claims, we know of no previous study that has
examined the relationship between parental involvement laws, which
require a parent's notification or consent before a minor can
obtain an abortion, and the psychological well-being of minors. (33)
This study examines the effect of adopting a parental involvement
law on suicides among 15- through 17-year-old females using state-level
data for the period 1987-2003. Poisson estimates indicate that the
adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with an 11%-21%
decrease in the number of 15-through 17-year-old females who commit
suicide. Because there is little evidence that the adoption of a
parental involvement law is associated with suicides among older females
or among 15- through 17-year-old males, we conclude that these estimates
likely reflect a causal relationship, but note that its magnitude
appears to be modest: for an average-sized state, an 11% decrease in the
number of 15-through 17-year-old females who commit suicide translates
into 0.79 fewer suicides per year, while a 21% decrease translates into
1.50 fewer suicides per year; ordinary least squares estimates confirm
that only a small portion of the within-state variation in suicides
among U.S. minors can be attributed to parental involvement laws.
doi: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2011.00440.x
APPENDIX
TABLE A1
Weighted Means and Standard Deviations of Dependent
Variables (1987-2003)
Rate Per
Dependent Variable Number 10,000
Suicides of females ages 15-17 7.16 0.334
(6.39) (0.256)
[794] [794]
Suicides of females ages 18-21 10.8 0.344
(9.39) (0.200)
[7601 [760]
Suicides of females ages 22-24 9.54 0.396
(8.30) (0.233)
[7751 [775]
Suicides of males ages 15- 17 25.8 1.20
(18.8) (0.580)
[841] [8411
Suicides of males ages 18-21 67.5 2.20
(50.1) (0.768)
[843] [843]
Suicides of males ages 22-24 57.8 2.42
(45.4) (0.826)
[853] [853]
Notes: Standard deviations are in parentheses and sample
sizes are in brackets. All figures were weighted using the
state population of the relevant age/gender group.
TABLE A2
Changes in Parental Involvement Laws during the Period
1987-2003
Year Law Year Law
First First
State Enforced State Enforced
Alabama 1987 Nebraska 1991
Arizona 2003 North Carolina 1995
Arkansas 1989 Ohio 1990
Colorado 2003 Oklahoma 2001 (b)
Delaware 1997 (a) Pennsylvania 1994
Georgia 1991 South Carolina 1990
Idaho 1997 South Dakota 1998
Iowa 1997 Tennessee 1992, (c) 1999
Kansas 1992 Texas 2000
Kentucky 1994 Virginia 1997
Michigan 1991 Wisconsin 1992
Minnesota 1990 Wyoming 1989
Mississippi 1993
Notes: States with parental involvement provisions
that allow specified health professionals to waive parental
involvement under certain circumstances not involving
judicial procedures were not included.
(a) Applied to individuals ages 16 and younger.
(b) In effect only during 2001.
(c) In effect from 1992 through 1996.
TABLE A3
Weighted Means and Standard Deviations of Independent
Variables (1987-2003)
Independent Variable Mean (SD)
Parental consent or parental notification 0.374
law in effect and enforced
(0.478)
Enjoined parental involvement law 0.284
(0.441)
Mandatory waiting period prior to abortion 0.108
(310)
Restrictions on Medicaid funding for 0.627
abortion
(0.484)
Natural log of unemployment rate 1.72
(0.378)
Natural log of poverty rate 2.55
(0.267)
High school graduation rate 0.728
(0.082)
Divorce rate 4.34
(1.25)
Population females ages 15-17 234,252
(188,331)
Population females ages 18-21 317,110
(249,745)
Population females ages 22-24 248,450
(201,386)
Population males ages 15-17 249,519
(201,883)
Population males ages 18-21 345,890
(286,208)
Population males ages 22-24 266,960
(229,259)
Real state beer tax (in 2000 cents) 27.5
(20.7)
Zero tolerance drinking law in effect 0.548
(0.489)
A mandatory jail sentence for first 0.199
conviction of driving under the influence
(can usually be replaced by community
service)
(0.399)
Abortion rate 15-17-year-olds 0.014
(0.008)
Abortion rate 18-19-year-olds 0.033
(0.014)
Birth rate 15-17-year-olds 0.032
(0.010)
Birth rate 18-19-year-olds 0.083
(0.020)
Dummy variable equal to one for each --
state
Dummy variable equal to one for each year --
Number of states (a) 51
N 867
(a) Includes the District of Columbia.
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(1.) The phrase "the ultimate expression of despair" is
from Reading (2004, 155). The full quote is: "[s]uicide, of course,
represents the ultimate expression of despair, the absolute inability to
foresee a tolerable future for oneself." Suicide and mental health
are clearly linked. In fact, there is evidence that the majority of
teens who commit suicide suffer from either manic depressive disorder or
major depression (Shaffer et al. 1996).
(2.) This paragraph is based on information available in Dennis et
al. (2009). More details on parental consent laws in the United States
can be found in Dennis et al. (2009).
(3.) Other studies that have examined the effects of parental
involvement laws include Joyce, Kaestner, and Colman (2006), Colman,
Joyce, and Kaestner (2008), and New (2011). Joyce, Kaestner, and Colman
(2006, 1038) focused on a Texas requirement that doctors notify the
parents of minors seeking an abortion. They found evidence that the
introduction of this requirement led to fewer abortions among 15-
through 17-year-olds. In addition, they noted an "an increase in
second-trimester terminations among teens who did not reach the age of
18 years until after the first trimester of pregnancy," and a small
increase in births to minors who conceived between the ages of 17.50 and
17.74. Colman, Joyce, and Kaestner (2008) showed that the estimated
effects of the Texas notification requirement were biased if age at
abortion or birth, as opposed to age at conception, was used to
calculate pregnancy, abortion, and birth rates. Using age at conception,
they found that the Texas parental notification law led to a 15%
decrease in the abortion rate of 17-year-olds, and a 2% increase in
their birth rate. New (2011) found that the adoption of a parental
involvement law was associated with a I5% reduction in the abortion rate
of minors.
(4.) In contrast, Sabia and Rees (2008) found that adolescent males
may experience an increase in self-esteem upon losing their virginity.
(5.) Many researchers believe that the association between abortion
and mental health is spurious. For instance, after reviewing the
literature, Major et al. (2009, 863) concluded that:
within the United States, the relative risk of mental
health problems among adult women who have a
single, legal, first-trimester abortion of an unwanted
pregnancy is no greater than the risk among women
who deliver an unwanted pregnancy. Evidence did
not support the claim that observed associations
between abortion and mental health problems are
caused by abortion per se as opposed to other preexisting
and co-occurring risk factors.
See also Coleman (2006) and Warren, Harvey, and Henderson (2010l,
who focused on pregnancy outcomes among adolescents and mental health.
(6.) Other stressful or traumatic events that are associated with
adolescent suicide include changes in residence (Qin, Mortensen, and
Pedersen 2009) and legal problems (Beautrais, Joyce, and Mulder 1997).
(7.) Such an individual is said to have "time-inconsistent
preferences." There is a fair amount of evidence to support the
hypothesis that preferences are time inconsistent (O'Donoghue and
Rabin 2001, 41), and, in particular, it seems appropriate to ascribe time-inconsistent preferences to teens.
(8.) The Center for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that
11.8% of deaths to 15- through 19-year-olds are caused by suicide
(Center for Disease Control and Prevention 2008).
(9.) See the following web address:
http://webappa.cdc.gov/sasweb/ncipc/mortrate10_sy.html. Table A1 shows
descriptive statistics for the outcome variables used in the analysis.
Over the period 1987-2003, the typical state saw an average of 7.16
suicides per year among 15- through 17-year-old females. The
corresponding figure for males in this age group was 25.8. The mean
suicide rate among females ages 15-17 was 0.33 per 10,000 population,
while the corresponding rate for males in this age group was 1.20.
Prior to 1990, a number of states did not consistently report
suicide counts for 16- or 17-year-olds. In 1987 and 1988, 22 states
failed to report information on suicides committed by 16- and
17-year-olds; in 1989, 29 states failed to report information on
suicides committed by 16- and 17-year-olds. These observations were
dropped from the primary empirical analysis, although there is reason to
believe that during the period 1987-1989 some states did not provide a
suicide count when no suicides occurred during the year. Below we show
that treating missing suicide counts as 0s does not appreciably alter
our results.
(10.) When a parental involvement law was in effect for less than a
full year, [PI.sub.st] is a fraction. Data on parental involvement laws
were provided to us by Marianne Bitler and Madeline Zavodny. In
addition, we used information from Levine (2003) and a search of state
statutes and newspaper articles. Table A2 shows changes in parental
involvement laws during the period 1987-2003. Twenty-five states began
enforcement of a parental involvement during the period under study.
There have been only a handful of changes to parental involvement laws
since 2003. In July 2005, the parental consent law in Idaho was
enjoined. It came back into effect in March 2007. In November 2006,
Oklahoma began enforcement of a parental consent law, and in August 2009
a parental notification law came into effect in Illinois.
(11.) Although our tables present estimated negative binomial and
Poisson coefficients, they are converted to percent changes when
discussed in the text. All regressions are weighted using the square
root of the population of females ages 15-17 in state s at time t, and
the standard errors are corrected for clustering at the state level.
(12.) The estimated coefficient of [PI.sub.st] is -0.157 in columns
(3) and (4) of Table 1, which suggests that the adoption of a parental
involvement law is associated with a 14.5% decrease ([e.sup.-0.157] - 1
= -0.145) in suicides among 15- through 17-year-old females.
(13.) The estimated coefficient of [PI.sub.st] is -0.148 in columns
(5) and (6) of Table 1, which suggests that the adoption of a parental
involvement law is associated with a 13.8% decrease ([e.sup.-0.148] - 1
= 0.138) in suicides among 15- through 17-year-old females. Information
on Medicaid funding restrictions and mandatory waiting periods were
updated from Bitler and Zavodny (2002). Alcohol policies were updated
from Eisenberg (2003) and the Beer Institute (see
www.beerinsttitute.org). Demographic controls include the high school
graduation rate, the poverty rate, the unemployment rate, the divorce
rate, and the population of females ages 15-17 in state s at time t.
These data were collected from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the
National Center for Education Statistics. Means of the control variables
are shown in Table A3. When parental consent and notification laws were
allowed to have different effects on suicides committed by 15- through
17-year-old females, we could not reject the hypothesis that their
estimated coefficients were equal.
(14.) The sum of the estimated coefficients is -0.102;
[e-.sup.0.102] - 1 = -0.097. The estimated coefficients of [PI.sub.st]
and [PI.sub.st-1] are jointly significant at conventional levels ([chi
square] = 11.2; p value = .00).
(15.) When the dependent variable is suicides among females ages
18-21, we control for the population of females ages 18-21 in state s at
time t. When the dependent variable is suicides among females ages
22-24, we control for the population of females in this age group.
(16.) Although statistically indistinguishable from 0, the
estimates in columns (1) and (2) of Table 3 are significantly different
from the estimate of [delta] in column (6) of Table 1 at the .10 and .05
levels, respectively.
(17.) When the dependent variable is suicides among males ages
15-17, we control for the population of males ages 15-17 in state s at
time t. Likewise, when the dependent variable is suicides among males
ages 18-21 or ages 22-24, we control for the population of males in the
corresponding age group.
(18.) When the dependent variable is suicides among males ages
18-21, we control for the population of males ages 18-21 in state s at
time t. Likewise, when the dependent variable is suicides among males
ages 22-24, we control for the population of males ages 22-24 in state s
at time t.
(19.) These regressions are weighted by the state population and
the standard errors are corrected for clustering at the state level. See
Table AI for mean suicide rates by gender and age group.
(20.) Or, in other words, a 16%-31% decrease in the suicide rate
(0.052/0.334 = 0.156 and 0.105/0.334 = 0.314).
(21.) The adoption of a parental involvement law is associated with
a 0.097-0.099 (29%-30%) decrease in the suicide rate of 15- through
17-year-old females.
(22.) While we attempted to estimate this model using a Poisson,
the likelihood function would not converge.
(23.) It should be noted that Klick and Stratmann (2008) used
Bitler and Zavodny's (2002) coding of parental involvement laws.
(24.) We found that when Bitler and Zavodny (2002) and Levine
(2003) disagreed, the evidence pointed toward the coding proposed by
Bitler and Zavodny in 13 of the 14 cases.
(25.) This and the other means in this paragraph are weighted by
the population of the state at time t.
(26.) There was an average of 3.37 suicides committed by
16-year-old males in states that provided incomplete information on
suicides during the period 1987-1989; there was an average of 9.58
suicides committed by 16-year-old males in the remaining states during
the same period. There was an average of 2.44 suicides committed by
17-year-old males in states that provided incomplete information on
suicides during the period 1987 1989; there was an average of 12.94
suicides committed by 17-year-old males in the remaining states during
the same period.
(27.) The mean was rounded to the nearest discrete number.
(28.) Data on enjoined parental involvement laws were provided to
us by Jonathan Klick and Thomas Stratmann and supplemented with a search
of state legal statutes and newspaper articles.
(29.) Although different in magnitude, the estimates of
[[delta].sub.1] and [[delta].sub.2] in Table 9 are never statistically
distinguishable at conventional levels.
(30.) We adopt a specification similar to that used by Levine.
Specifically, the dependent variable is equal to the log of the abortion
rate; independent variables include state and year fixed effects and the
controls used in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1. Levine also controlled
for welfare benefits, the percentage of females in a particular age
group who were non-white, the percentage who attended college, and the
percentage who were married. Data on abortion rates were collected from
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(http://www.cdc.gov/reproductivehealth/Data_Stats/Abortion.htm).
(31.) Data on birth rates were collected from the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention
(http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/Vitalstatsonline.htm).
(32.) Thirty-nine states provided abortion rates for females ages
15-19 during the period 1987-2003. These states were Arizona, Arkansas,
Colorado, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York,
North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island,
South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia,
Washington, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
(33.) Previous studies have, however, examined the effects of other
government policies on suicides. For instance, Jones, Pieper, and
Robertson (1992) and Birckmayer and Hemenway (1999) examined the effects
of the minimum legal drinking age on suicides; Markowitz, Chatterji, and
Kaestner (2003) and Carpenter (2004) examined the effects of other
alcohol-related policies; Klick (2006) examined the effect of mandatory
waiting periods to obtain an abortion: and Klick and Markowitz (2006)
examined the effect of laws mandating that insurance companies offer
some form of mental health benefits. See also Gunnell, Murray, and
Hawton (2000) and Burgess et al. (2004).
JOSEPH J. SABIA and DANIEL I. REES *
* The authors thank Andres Araoz, R. Preston Brown II, Whitney
Dudley, and Amrita Sen for excellent research assistance. We also thank
Marianne Bider and Madeline Zavodny for sharing their data on abortion
policies; Jonathan Klick and Thomas Stratmann for sharing their data on
enjoined parental involvement laws; and Laura Langbein and Daniel
Eisenberg for sharing data on alcohol policies.
Sabia: Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, San Diego
State University, San Diego, CA 92182-4485. Phone 619-594-2407, Fax
619-594-5062, E-mail jsabia@mail.sdsu.edu
Rees: Professor, Department of Economics, University of Colorado Denver, Denver, CO 80217-3364. Phone (303) 315-2037, Fax 303-315-2048,
E-mail daniel.rees@ucdenver.edu
TABLE 1
Estimated Effect of Parental Involvement Laws on Suicides Committed
by 15-17-Year-Old Females, 1987-2003
Controls for Controls for Abortion
Abortion Policies and Alcohol Policies
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Parental involvement -0.142 * -0.142 * -0.157 *** -0.157 ***
law (0.078) (0.078) (0.059) (0.059)
State effects Y Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y Y
Negative binomial or NB P NB P
Poisson?
N 794 794 794 794
Controls for Abortion
Policies, Alcohol
Policies, and State
Demographics
(5) (6)
Parental involvement -0.148 *** -0.148 ***
law (0.053) (0.053)
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
Negative binomial or NB P
Poisson?
N 794 794
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the
population of females ages 15-17 in the state. Standard errors
corrected for clustering at the state level are in parentheses.
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level;
* significant at 10% level.
TABLE 2
Sensitivity of Poisson Estimates to Using Lagged Parental
Involvement and Controlling for Parental Involvement Laws
in Border States
(1) (2)
Parental involvement law -- -0.304 **
(0.129)
Lag of parental involvement law -0.051 0.202
(0.083) (0.171)
Parental involvement law * at least one -- --
adjacent state did not enforce PI law
Parental involvement law * at least 1.5 of -- --
adjacent states did not enforce PI law
State effects? Y Y
Year effects? Y Y
N 794 794
(3) (4)
Parental involvement law -0.310 ** -0.318 **
(0.129) (0.131)
Lag of parental involvement law -- --
Parental involvement law * at least one 0.187 --
adjacent state did not enforce PI law (0.121)
Parental involvement law * at least 1.5 of -- 0.195
adjacent states did not enforce PI law (0.123)
State effects? Y Y
Year effects? Y Y
N 794 794
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the
population of females ages 15-17 in the state. Standard errors
corrected for clustering at the state level are in parentheses. All
regressions include the controls used in columns (5) and (6) of
Table 1.
*** Significant at 1%n level; ** significant at 5% level: *
significant at 10% level.
TABLE 3
Poisson Estimates of the Effect of Parental Involvement Laws on
Suicides Committed by Older Females and Males
Females Ages Females Ages Males Ages
18-21 22-24 15-17
(1) (2) (3)
Parental involvement law -0.002 0.082 0.069
(0.078) (0.072) (0.049)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 760 775 841
Males Ages Males Ages
18-21 22-24
(4) (5)
Parental involvement law 0.003 0.002
(0.033) (0.038)
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
N 843 853
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the relevant
age-specific population in the state. Standard errors corrected for
clustering at the state level are in parentheses. All regressions
include the controls used in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1.
TABLE 4
Triple-Difference Poisson Estimates of the Effect of Parental
Involvement Laws on Suicides Committed by Females Ages 15-17
Females Ages Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 versus 15-17 versus 15-17 versus
Females Ages Females Ages Males Ages
18-21 22-24 15-17
(1) (2) (3)
Panel I: DDD estimates
Parental -0.146 * -0.231 ** -0.217 ***
involvement law (0.084) (0.092) (0.077)
Panel II: DDD estimates with linear state trends
Parental -0.151 * -0.235 ** -0.215 ***
involvement law (0.081) (0.098) (0.077)
Panel III: DDD estimates with quadratic state trends
Parental -0.127 -0.206 ** -0.209 ***
involvement law (0.079) (0.097) (0.080)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 1,554 1,569 1,635
Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 versus 15-17 versus
Males Ages Males Ages
18-21 22-24
(4) (5)
Panel I: DDD estimates
Parental -0.152 ** -0.150 **
involvement law (0.065) (0.062
Panel II: DDD estimates with linear state trends
Parental -0.137 ** -0.138 **
involvement law (0.063) (0.064)
Panel III: DDD estimates with quadratic state trends
Parental -0.121 * -0.111 *
involvement law (0.063) (0.059
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
N 1,637 1,647
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the relevant
age-specific population in the state. Standard errors corrected for
clustering at the state level are in parentheses. All regressions
include the controls used in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1.
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level;
* significant at 10% level.
TABLE 5
Sensitivity of the DDD Estimates to the Use of Suicide Rates
(1) + + State
(1) + Linear Quadratic (1) x Year
DDD Model Time Trends Time Trends Dummies
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Panel I: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 18-21
Parental -0.060 * -0.058 * -0.052 * -0.032
involvement law (0.032) (0.030) (0.029) (0.043)
N 1,554 1,554 1,554 1,554
Panel II: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 22-24
Parental -0.103 ** -0.104 ** -0.105 ** -0.081
involvement law (0.042) (0.041) (0.043) (0.060)
1,569 1,569 1,569 1,569
Panel III: females ages 15-17 versus males ages 15-17
Parental -0.099 -0.098 -0.097 -0.085
involvement law (0.066) (0.067) (0.069) (0.102)
N 1,635 1,635 1,635 1,635
State effects Y Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y Y
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the relevant age-specific state
population. Standard errors corrected for clustering at the state
level are in parentheses. All regressions include the controls used
in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1 (with the exception of
age-specific population).
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level;
* significant at 10% level.
TABLE 6
Sensitivity of the Poisson Estimates to the Coding of Parental
Involvement Laws
Levine PI Coding (1987-2001)
Females Ages
15-17 versus
Females Ages Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 18-21 18-21
DD DD DDD
(1) (2) (3)
Parental -0.150 * 0.087 -0.238 **
involvement law (0.088) (0.071) (0.099)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 692 658 1,350
Bitler-Zavodny PI Coding (1987-2003)
Females Ages
15-17 versus
Females Ages Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 18-21 18-21
DD DD DDD
(4) (5) (6)
Parental -0.165 *** -0.007 -0.158 *
involvement law (0.057) (0.078) (0.091)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 794 760 1,554
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the relevant
age-specific population in the state. Standard errors corrected for
clustering at the state level are in parentheses. All regressions
include the controls used in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1.
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level; * significant
at 10% level.
TABLE 7
Sensitivity of Poisson Estimates to the Coding of Missing Suicides
Females Ages
Females Females 15-17 versus Females
Ages Ages Females Ages Ages
15-17 18-21 18-21 22-24
DD DD DDD DD
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Panel I: zero filling
Parental -0.166 ** 0.053 -0.219 ** 0.045
involvement law (0.067) (0.078) (0.078) (0.085)
Panel II: mean filling
Parental -0.154 *** -0.030 -0.125 0.057
involvement law (0.054) (0.078) (0.080) (0.069)
State effects Y Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y Y
N 867 867 1,734 867
Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 versus 15-17 versus
Females Ages Males Ages Males Ages
22-24 15-17 15-17
DDD DD DDD
(5) (6) (7)
Panel I: zero filling
Parental -0.211 ** 0.054 -0.221
involvement law (0.107) (0.055) (0.085)
Panel II: mean filling
Parental -0.212 ** 0.063 -0.218 **
involvement law (0.095) (0.051) (0.077)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 1,734 867 1,734
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the relevant
age-specific population in the state. Standard errors corrected for
clustering at the state level are in parentheses. All regressions
include the controls used in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1.
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level; *
significant at 10% level.
TABLE 8
Sensitivity of the DDD Estimates Using Suicide Rates to the Coding of
Missing Suicides
Zero Filling
Baseline (1) + Linear (1) + Quadratic
DDD Model Time Trends Time Trends
(1) (2) (3)
Panel I: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 18-21
Parental -0.069 * -0.069 * -0.070 *
involvement law (0.038) (0.039) (0.040)
Panel II: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 22-24
Parental -0.085 * -0.087 * -0.087 *
involvement law (0.048) (0.049) (0.051)
Panel III: females ages 15-17 versus males ages 15-17
Parental -0.081 -0.081 -0.081
involvement law (0.074) (0.075) (0.077)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 1,734 1,734 1,734
Mean Filling
(1) + State
x Year Baseline (1) + Linear
Dummies DDD Model Time Trends
(4) (5) (6)
Panel I: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 18-21
Parental -0.069 -0.051 * -0.051 *
involvement law (0.054) (0.029) (0.029)
Panel II: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 22-24
Parental -0.087 -0.096 ** -0.098 **
involvement law (0.069) (0.043) (0.044)
Panel III: females ages 15-17 versus males ages 15-17
Parental -0.081 -0.093 -0.093
involvement law (0.105) (0.068) (0.070)
State effects Y Y Y
Year effects Y Y Y
N 1,734 1,734 1,734
Mean Filling
(1) + State
(1) + Quadratic x Year
Time Trends Dummies
(7) (8)
Panel I: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 18-21
Parental -0.051 * -0.051
involvement law (0.029) (0.040)
Panel II: females ages 15-17 versus females ages 22-24
Parental -0.098 ** -0.099
involvement law (0.045) (0.062)
Panel III: females ages 15-17 versus males ages 15-17
Parental -0.093 -0.093
involvement law (0.070) (0.096)
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
N 1,734 1,734
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the relevant age-specific state
population. Standard errors corrected for clustering at the state
level are in parentheses. All regressions include the controls used
in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1 (with the exception of
age-specific population).
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level;
* significant at 10% level.
TABLE 9
Poisson Estimates of Enforced versus Enjoined Parental Involvement
Laws
Deleted Missing
Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 18-21
(1) (2)
Parental involvement law -0.213 *** -0.037
(0.063) (0.094)
Enjoined law -0.t61 * -0.092
(0.088) (0.091)
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
N 794 794
Zero Filling
Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 18-21
(3) (4)
Parental involvement law -0.173 ** 0.030
(0.081) (0.092)
Enjoined law -0.016 -0.061
(0.127) (0.118)
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
N 867 867
Mean Filling
Females Ages Females Ages
15-17 18-21
(5) (6)
Parental involvement law -0.185 *** -0.040
(0.065) (0.093)
Enjoined law -0.077 -0.026
(0.103) (0.098)
State effects Y Y
Year effects Y Y
N 867 867
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the square root of the relevant
age-specific population in the state. Standard errors corrected for
clustering at the state level are in parentheses. All regressions
include the controls used in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1.
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level;
* significant at 10% level.
TABLE 10
Abortion and Birth Rates as Mediators
Ln (Abortion Ln (Abortion
Rate of 15-17- Rate of 18-19-
Year-Olds) Year-Olds)
(1) (2)
Parental involvement law -0.190 *** -0.019
(0.050) (0.044)
Ln (abortion rate -- --
of 15-17-year-olds)
Ln (birth rate of -- --
15-17-year-olds)
State effects Y y
Year effects y Y
Dummy for missing abortions N N
N 710 710
Ln (Birth Suicide
Ln (Birth Rate of Rate of
Rate of 15- 18-19-Year- 15-17-
17-Year-Olds) Olds) Year-Olds
(3) (4) (5)
Parental involvement law 0.065 ** 0.047 * -0.064 **
(0.030) (0.024) (0.029)
Ln (abortion rate -- -- --
of 15-17-year-olds)
Ln (birth rate of -- -- --
15-17-year-olds)
State effects Y y Y
Year effects y y y
Dummy for missing abortions N N Y
N 867 867 794
Suicide Suicide Suicide
Rate of Rate of Rate of
15-17- 15-17- 15-17
Year-Olds Year-Olds Year-Olds
(6) (7) (8)
Parental involvement law -0.049 -0.044 -0.028
(0.034) (0.035) (0.036)
Ln (abortion rate 0.003 -- 0.008
of 15-17-year-olds) (0.037) (0.062)
Ln (birth rate of -0.195 -- -0.342
15-17-year-olds) (0.181) (0.181)
State effects y y Y
Year effects y y y
Dummy for missing abortions y N N
N 794 657 657
Notes: Regressions are weighted using the relevant age-specific state
population. Standard errors corrected for clustering at the state
level are in parentheses. All regressions include the controls used
in columns (5) and (6) of Table 1 (with the exception of age-
specific population).
*** Significant at 1% level; ** significant at 5% level;
* significant at 10% level.