The impact of gender on voluntary and involuntary executive departure.
Becker-Blease, John R. ; Elkinawy, Susan ; Stater, Mark 等
I. INTRODUCTION
The employment of women in U.S. corporations has increased
dramatically since the early 1990s, particularly in the highest ranking
positions. Bertrand and Hallock (2001) document that, between 1992 and
1997, women almost tripled their participation in the top corporate
jobs. Along with the increase in female representation in executive
labor markets, researchers and the media are paying increased attention
to the effectiveness of female executives. Despite the recent
advancements of women in corporate hierarchies, relatively little is
known about whether female executives are more likely to be fired than
men or whether females who depart their positions do so for different
reasons than men, particularly in response to poor firm performance or
differences in firm governance structure. This issue has received media
attention in recent years. For example, the year 2005 was characterized by Jones (2005) as "a miserable year for female CEOs of Fortune 500
companies, as female-headed companies trailed the Standard &
Poor's (S&P) 500 Index for the second straight year."
The termination of powerful female executives is often a
high-profile event, as in the cases of Carly Fiorina and Patricia Dunn,
who were dismissed from Hewlett-Packard in 2005 and 2006, respectively.
Although a few well-publicized cases cannot serve as a valid basis for
broad generalizations about the executive labor market, these recent
anecdotes suggest that the issue of whether there are gender differences
in the circumstances of executive departure warrants investigation.
We track a sample of executive departures from S&P 1500 firms
between 1996 and 2004. We classify executive departures as either
voluntary or involuntary based on a careful examination of public news
accounts accompanying the departures. We then examine whether the
frequency and conditions of voluntary or involuntary departure differ
for men and women. In general, we find systematic evidence that female
executives are more likely than male executives to depart both
voluntarily and involuntarily from their positions. Further analysis
suggests that although executives are more likely to depart
involuntarily following poor corporate performance and when monitored by
more effective boards, the relative impacts differ depending on gender.
Women are less likely than men to depart voluntarily and in general when
firm size increases or the size of the board decreases but are more
likely to depart involuntarily when the board becomes more male
dominated. Thus, the evidence suggests that in spite of recent
advancements by women into the executive ranks, their position at these
ranks can be tenuous, particularly at smaller firms and firms with
larger, more male-dominated boards.
The remainder of this article is organized as follows. Section II
discusses the related literature on gender, executive turnover, and firm
valuation measures. Section III describes the data and descriptive
statistics. Section IV explains the hypotheses and empirical methods
that underlie our analysis as well as the results of the analysis.
Section V reports sensitivity tests that explore the robustness of our
findings to alternative samples and classifications of departure
reasons. Section VI concludes.
II. LITERATURE
Gender Diversity and Firm Valuation
Several studies find a positive relation between the presence of
females in the executive ranks and firm value. The Economist (2005a)
reports that research in the United States, United Kingdom, and
Scandinavia shows a strong correlation between the proportion of women
in executive positions and shareholder returns. Catalyst, a research
organization specializing in women's career advancement, finds that
firms with the highest representation of women on their top management
teams outperform firms with the lowest representation of women (Catalyst
2004). Adler (2001) studies a sample of Fortune 500 firms over a 19-yr
period and finds that firms with the best record of promoting women are
more profitable than the median firms in their industries. Carter,
Simkins, and Simpson (2003) find that gender diversity on the board of
directors has a positive effect on Tobin's Q. More generally, the
literature on the relationship between board diversity and firm
valuation measures is extensive. (1)
Not all studies find a positive association between gender
diversity among executives and firm performance, however. Shrader,
Blackburn, and Iles (1997) examine management data for the 200 largest
U.S. firms in 1992 and find that higher percentages of women on the top
management team and the board of directors have no effect on financial
performance. Carleton, Nelson, and Weisbach (1998) find that firms
targeted by the Teacher's Insurance and Annuity Association,
College Equities Retirement Fund (TIAA-CREF) for lack of gender and
ethnic diversity on the board experience significantly negative
cumulative abnormal returns surrounding the dates of board diversity
targets. Lee and James (2007) find event-study evidence that
announcements of female CEO appointments are viewed more negatively by
the market than reactions to male CEO appointments. Similarly, Wolfers
(2006) does not find that markets systematically undervalue firms led by
females.
Although the effects of racial and gender diversity on firm value
remain unclear, several major U.S. firms have instituted diversity
programs to help underrepresented groups gain improved access to top
management positions. The move toward increased diversity is not limited
to the United States. The Economist (2005b) reports that "in
Britain, the number of female executive directors in FTSE 100 firms rose
from 11 in 2000 to 17 in 2004." According to The Guardian (2006),
legislation was passed in Norway in 2003 requiring all public companies
to have 40% female representation on their boards of directors as of
January 1, 2006. After taking effect, the law also gave firms an
additional 2 yr from that date (i.e., until January 1, 2008) to comply
with the requirement or face sanctions up to and including the closure
of the firm. The Scotsman (2007) reports that since 2003, the percentage
of female board members in Norway has jumped from 6% to 37%. However, it
is expected that many firms will not meet the quota and may be forced to
shut down as a result.
Executive Turnover. The impact of gender on executive turnover has
received comparatively little research attention. Stroh, Brett, and
Reilly (1996) document turnover rates of male and female managers
employed by 20 Fortune 500 firms and find that females leave their
organizations in higher proportions than males. In contrast, Lewis
(1992) examines middle managers in the U.S. federal civil service and
finds insignificant differences in turnover rates between men and women.
Lyness and Judiesch (2001) examine voluntary turnover for more than
26,000 managers in a financial services organization and find that the
turnover rate among female managers is slightly lower than that of male
managers. Elvira and Cohen (2001) study turnover differences between
sexes at various organizational ranks and find that the proportion of
female executives in the firm has no effect on the turnover of
top-ranking women. However, we are aware of no evidence that exists on
the relation between gender and involuntary dismissals.
Empirical evidence generally suggests that poor corporate
performance precedes CEO departure and the departure of lower level
executives. (2) Morck, Shleifer, and Vishny (1989) find that the
sensitivity of the relation between performance and turnover is affected
by the relative performance of the firm within its industry. Parrino
(1997) finds that the performance-turnover relationship depends on the
homogeneity of firms within the industry, while Mikkelson and Partch
(1997) and Denis and Kruse (2000) find that it depends on the takeover
intensity within the industry. Similarly, Weisbach (1988) and Denis and
Denis (1995) find that board independence and external monitoring affect
turnover probabilities. Thus, turnover is associated with firm-level
performance, firm governance, and industry characteristics. We therefore
incorporate measures of market- and industry-adjusted financial and
stock market performance as well as characteristics of the board to
predict the reasons for executive departure.
III.DATA AND DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS Data
EXECUCOMP includes a listing of at least the top five executives in
each firm in the S&P 1500. We begin with the EXECUCOMP universe of
firms between 1996 and 2004 and extract the 98,990 unique
executive-firm-year observations during this period. In addition to
name, position, and compensation, EXECUCOMP reports data on gender,
tenure, equity ownership, the presence of the executive on the board of
directors, and, less frequently, the age of the executive. In fact,
EXECUCOMP only reports the ages of about 10% of the executives. We
therefore augment data on ages with hand-collected information from
proxy statements, annual reports, and news stories. We are able to
identify ages for an additional 36,557 executive-firm-year observations
using these alternative sources as well as data from the Investor
Responsibility Resource Center (IRRC) database described below,
resulting in age data for roughly 50% of the sample.
EXECUCOMP lists a departure date for those executives who leave the
firm. We use this field to indicate executive departures. Although
EXECUCOMP also lists a reason for departure (RESIGNED, RETIRED,
DECEASED, or UNKNOWN), these are not sufficient to classify the
departure as voluntary or involuntary. We therefore follow the procedure
outlined in Mian (2001) that uses public accounts of the departure from
news stories to classify each departure as "voluntary" or
"involuntary." (3) Specifically, for each departing executive,
we search Lexis-Nexis for news stories related to the firm in general
and the named executive in particular for up to 12 mo surrounding the
departure date. (4) Based on the news and corporate events surrounding
the departure announcement date, we classify departures as either
voluntary or involuntary. Specifically, involuntary departures include
firings that are specifically due to illegalities, fraud, or accounting
manipulations; discipline for poor performance of the executive or firm;
outright firings for which detailed specific reasons are not given;
sudden departures where no reason was provided to suggest it was of the
executive's own accord; and terminations that are related to firm
restructuring or mergers. Voluntary departures include resignations that
fall into the following categories and where there is no evidence that
the decision was forced: exits surrounding disagreements with management
and/or the board (but that are clearly initiated by the executive);
exits for voluntary professional reasons (i.e., accepting a new position
or starting a new business); exits due to health, family, or personal
reasons; and retirements. We exclude observations in which the executive
dies and those in which we can find no information regarding the
conditions under which the executive departed.
Annual board-level data come from the IRRC database. We collect
information on the size of the board, the proportion of independent and
male directors, and, where missing from the EXECUCOMP database, the ages
and equity ownership of executive directors.
Finally, firm stock and operating performance values, as well as
industry values, are collected from the Compustat and CRSP databases. As
described below, we require lagged values of certain performance
measures to be available on CRSP and Compustat. This restriction in
combination with data limitations from each of the databases reduces our
final sample to 53,311 executive-firm-year observations, of which we
have executive ages for 28,193.
Descriptive Statistics. In Table 1, we provide summary statistics
on departure and the various reasons for departure. We report means for
all executives, as well as separate means for men and women, departed
executives, male executives who depart, and female executives who
depart. Approximately 3.9% of the executive-year observations in the
sample are departures; 1.0% of the observations are involuntary
departures and 2.9% are voluntary departures. The modal category of
involuntary departures is that of sudden departure with no reason given,
which accounts for 14.4% of all departures (see the "Departed
Execs" column), and the modal category of voluntary departure is
retirement, which accounts for 41.0% of departures. Among executives of
the same gender, the percent of women who depart is higher than the
percent of men who depart (7.2% and 3.8%, respectively). The percent of
women who involuntarily depart is also higher than the percent of men
who involuntarily depart (2.9% and 0.9%, respectively) and a similar
pattern holds for voluntary departure (4.3% for women vs. 2.8% for men).
This suggests that women are more likely than men to depart for any
reason, although these descriptive results do not control for other
factors affecting departure outcomes.
Table 2 provides descriptive statistics for the characteristics of
the executives and the firms in which they are employed. We report
summary figures for the full sample as well as separate statistics for
departures, nondepartures, involuntary departures, and voluntary
departures. These variables include the firm's total assets, return
on assets, and stock returns. Here and throughout, dollar values are
measured in constant 1994 dollars based on the consumer price index. (5)
Return on assets, measured as the ratio of operating income to total
assets, is adjusted by the median among other firms in the same Fama and
French (1997) industry code. Monthly stock returns are predicted based
on an ordinary least squares regression model that includes industry and
market factors, and then a monthly abnormal return is formed by taking
the difference between the actual and the predicted returns of the firm
where the executive is employed. A buy-and-hold abnormal return is
calculated over a 1-yr period preceding the beginning of each year
listed for each executive in the sample. (6)
The means indicate that 4.5% of the observations in the sample are
on female executives. However, the proportion of departing executives
who are female is higher (8.2%) than the proportion of nondeparting
executives who are female (4.3%). Similarly, the proportion of
involuntarily departing executives who are female is higher than the
proportion of voluntarily departing executives who are female. Thus,
although both departing and nondeparting executives are far more likely
to be male than female (since the vast majority of the sample is male),
women are overrepresented among departing and involuntarily departing
executives. There are also significant differences in the means of other
variables among departing and nondeparting executives as well as among
involuntarily and voluntarily departing executives. For instance,
departing executives are older and more experienced than nondeparting
executives and also work in firms with lower return on assets, lower
cumulative abnormal returns, lower fractions of male directors, and
higher fractions of independent directors. Comparing involuntarily
versus voluntarily departing executives, we find that involuntarily
departing executives are younger and less experienced, are higher paid,
work in firms with lower return on assets and cumulative abnormal
returns, and work in firms with smaller, less independent boards.
IV. HYPOTHESES AND EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS
Hypotheses
In this section, we develop hypotheses for the departure outcomes.
If firms make personnel decisions to maximize shareholder value, then we
expect firms to be more likely to dismiss executives (i.e., involuntary
departure) when the opportunity cost of doing so in terms of foregone shareholder value is low. Women should then have higher likelihoods of
involuntary departure than men if firm owners have a preference for male
executives (i.e., if there is discrimination in the executive labor
market). Of course, a higher likelihood of involuntary departure for
women is also consistent with nondiscrimination explanations, such as
lower unobserved human capital or weaker labor force attachment. In
light of previous studies such as Weisbach (1988) and Yermack (1996), we
expect relatively high likelihoods of involuntary departure for
executives who are older, less experienced (controlling for age), own
smaller amounts of firm equity, work in more poorly performing firms, or
work in firms with smaller or more independent boards.
The effects of some controls may differ by gender. If firms have a
preference for men, or women have greater difficulty demonstrating their
value in a male-dominated workplace, then age and compensation should
have stronger effects for women; experience, equity ownership, and firm
performance should have weaker effects. If large firms are more
"female friendly" than small firms, firm size should reduce
the likelihood of involuntary departure more for women. If
male-dominated boards are relatively less supportive of female
executives, increases in male board representation should increase the
likelihood of involuntary departure more for women.
Assume executives pursue employment opportunities that maximize
their utility, given their preferences and human capital. Then, we
expect executives to be more likely to voluntarily depart their
positions when the opportunity cost of leaving is low or the returns to
leaving are high. Thus, women should have higher likelihoods of
voluntary departure than men since it can be argued that even highly
educated female professionals tend to have greater household production
responsibilities and higher wage-earning spouses than their male
counterparts. Female executives may also have lower expectations of
career advancement due to perceptions of glass ceilings. Following the
literature, we also expect relatively high likelihoods of voluntary
departure for executives who are lower paid, own smaller amounts of firm
equity, work in larger or more poorly performing firms, or work in firms
with smaller or more independent boards.
Some effects may again differ by gender. If women tend to have
higher nonlabor income than men (e.g., due to higher wage-earning
spouses) then compensation should increase the likelihood of voluntary
departure more for women. If large firms are more female friendly, firm
size should reduce the likelihood of voluntary departure more for women.
Firm performance should also reduce the likelihood of voluntary
departure more for women if glass ceilings in the profession limit the
mobility of females and increase the returns to employment in
high-performing firms. Finally, male board representation is expected to
increase the likelihood of voluntary departure more for women.
Empirical Model. We begin by using the full sample of executives to
estimate the probability that a given executive departs his or her
position in a given year without distinguishing the reasons for
departure. Thus, our first set of models estimate the probability of
general departure based on executive, firm, and board covariates that
plausibly relate to the opportunity costs of voluntary and/or
involuntary departure. Our estimation technique is random effects logit
because there are observations available in multiple years for the
majority of executives in our sample. Random effects is employed instead
of fixed effects because the effects of time-invariant covariates are
central to our analysis, and few executives in our sample are observed
to depart in some years and not depart in other years, as would be
required for identification under fixed effects. (7) Thus, our model of
departure is:
Pr([D.sub.it] = 1) = [LAMBDA]([[beta].sub.E][x.sup.E.sub.it] +
[[beta].sub.E][x.sup.F.sub.it] + [delta][T.sub.t] + -
[mu].sup.F.sub.i]), (1)
where [D.sub.it] is a binary variable that equals one if executive
i departs his or her position in year t and equals zero otherwise,
[LAMBDA] is the cumulative logistic distribution function;
[x.sup.E.sub.it] is a vector of characteristics describing the executive
in year t (some of these characteristics are time invariant);
[x.sup.F.sub.it] is a vector of characteristics describing the firm
where executive i is employed in year t; [T.sub.t] is a vector of year
dummies for each of the years in our sample excluding the final year;
and [[mu].sup.F.sub.i] is unobserved executive-firm heterogeneity. This
term captures all unobserved factors that are constant for a given
executive during all years spent with a given firm (e.g., attitudes of
the executive toward work versus leisure, innate managerial ability,
educational background, attitudes of the firm about when to fire
executives, etc.). We specify executive-firm heterogeneity instead of
just executive- or firm-specific heterogeneity to allow the unobserved
component of departure to differ across firms for the same executive and
across executives for the same firm. (8) However, note that anything
that is constant across all executives in the same firm (such as the
firm's tastes for firing executives) will also be constant for a
given executive during his or her time with the same firm and
consequently will be subsumed into [[mu].sup.F.sub.i]. The random
effects model is consistent and efficient under the assumption that
[[mu].sup.F.sub.i] is uncorrelated with [x.sup.E.sub.it] and
[x.sup.F.sub.it].
The vector [x.sup.F.sub.it] includes the gender and age of the
executive as well as a quadratic in age to allow for a depreciating effect, the executive's tenure with the firm, a dummy variable for
whether or not the executive is a director of the firm, dummy variables
for whether the executive is a CEO, CFO, or COO, (9) the natural log of
the executive's total annual compensation (which consists of base
salary, bonuses, and fringe benefits), and the natural log of the dollar
value of the firm's shares owned by the executive. The vector
[x.sup.F.sub.it] includes the natural log of the firm's 1-yr lagged
total assets, the firm's 1-yr lagged industry-adjusted return on
assets (i.e., the industry-adjusted return on assets for year t-1), the
firm's 1-yr lagged buy-and-hold abnormal stock return adjusted for
market and industry factors (i.e., the sum of the monthly abnormal
returns for year t-1), the total number of directors on the firm's
board, the fraction of directors who are men, the fraction of directors
who are independent, and a set of industry dummies based on Fama and
French (1997) industry groupings. (10) We use lagged values of the firm
size and performance measures (total assets, return on assets, and
abnormal returns) to avoid potential endogeneity between currentyear
values and executive departure or nondeparture. These could be
endogenous because whether or not the executive departs could affect
contemporaneous measures of performance. However, the same problem
should not pertain to prior-year performance.
We also estimate random effects logit models of the probabilities
of involuntary and voluntary departure with the same set of controls as
the general departure model:
Pr([I.sub.it] = 1) = [LAMBDA]([[beta].sub.E] [x.sup.E.sub.it] +
[beta].sub.F] + [x.sup.F.sub.it] + [delta][T.sub.t] +
[[mu].sup.F.sub.i]) (2)
Pr([V.sub.it] = 1) = [LAMBDA]([[beta].sub.E] [x.sup.E.sub.it] +
[[beta].sub.F] [x.sup.F.sub.it] + [delta][T.sub.t] +
[[mu].sup.F.sub.i]), (3)
where [I.sub.it] and [V.sub.it] are dummy variables that equal one
if the executive departs involuntarily or voluntarily, respectively, in
year t. All other controls are defined as in Equation (1).
Baseline Results. The estimates of two specifications of each
Equations (1)-(3) are reported in Table 3. For each departure category,
Model (1) excludes age, age squared, and tenure, while Model (2)
includes these variables. Because age and tenure are unavailable for
some of the executives, the regressions for Model (2) have smaller
sample sizes than those for Model (1).
The results suggest that, holding constant executive and firm
characteristics, women are 3.4-6.8 percentage points more likely to
depart than men, 1.3-1.5 percentage points more likely to involuntarily
depart, and 1.5-3.8 percentage points more likely to voluntarily depart.
While the general and voluntary departure results are consistent with
women having a higher return to opportunities outside the firm, the
involuntary departure result is consistent with corporations having a
greater preference for male executives. However, it is also consistent
with gender differences in unobserved human capital and with lower labor
force attachment on the part of women executives.
Many of the other controls also affect the departure outcomes. Age
has a positive but diminishing effect on the likelihood of each type of
departure. Experience in the firm reduces the likelihood of general
departure and involuntary departure but does not affect the likelihood
of voluntary departure. Executives with higher total compensation are
less likely to depart in general and less likely to depart voluntarily
than those with lower total compensation but are no more or less likely
to involuntarily depart. While higher paid executives clearly have a
greater opportunity cost of leaving their positions (reducing the
likelihood of voluntary departure), compensation may also serve as a
proxy for innate executive ability, making the executive more attractive
to the firm despite the lower return the firm earns on its investment
when compensation increases at a given level of firm performance. Thus,
compensation may have offsetting effects on the likelihood of
involuntary departure. Executive share ownership has a negative effect
on all types of departure, (11) consistent with the Jensen and Meckling
(1976) finding that firm ownership aligns managers' interests more
closely with those of shareholders.
Firm size has a positive effect on all three categories of
departure, which suggests that executives in larger firms are more
mobile in the market and/or under greater scrutiny from their employers.
Higher returns on assets and abnormal stock returns reduce the
probability of all types of departure, consistent with the findings of
Huson, Malatesta, and Parrino (2004). Our findings therefore support the
notion that executives and firms find the employment relationship more
mutually beneficial under conditions of strong firm performance.
Executives employed by firms with larger boards are less likely
than those in firms with smaller boards to depart in general and to
involuntarily depart but are no more or less likely to voluntarily
depart. These results are consistent with the notion that smaller boards
are more effective monitors, which may enhance their ability to
accurately detect managerial performance lapses that are grounds for
executive terminations. The fraction of the board that is male has no
effect on any type of departure, while the fraction of the board that is
independent has positive effects on all types of departure, consistent
with more independent boards being better monitors as well as less
appealing to work with than boards that are less independent.
Results with Gender Interactions. Table 4 reports coefficient estimates from random effects logit models of general, involuntary, and
voluntary departure that include a full set of interactions between the
female dummy and the control variables in Equations (1)-(3). This
approach allows us to test for the possibility that the effects of the
controls differ for men and women. We report coefficients instead of
marginal effects because it is problematic to assign a meaningful
interpretation to the marginal effects of interaction terms in a
nonlinear model. (12) Thus, the results that we presently report will
speak primarily to the directions (rather than the magnitudes) of the
differences in the effects of the control variables between men and
women.
For each departure outcome, we again estimate two models. Model (1)
excludes the age and tenure controls, while Model (2) includes them. For
each departure category, we report the coefficients for men, which are
the coefficients on the uninteracted forms of the variables (first
column for each model), and the female-male differences in the effects
of the controls, which are the coefficients on the interaction terms
(second column for each model).
The results in Table 4 indicate that the female dummy is negative
in one case and insignificant in the others. However, note that
intercept differences are less meaningful in a model that also allows
for slope differences. With a full set of slope differences, a lower
female intercept merely indicates that women are no more likely than men
to depart when the values of all controls are set equal to zero. When
the values of the controls are set equal to their means, however,
females have higher predicted probabilities of all types of departure,
as shown in the last row of the table. (13)
The coefficients for men (those on the uninteracted variables) are
similar to those obtained when the effects of the controls were
constrained to be the same across gender. Indeed, the effects of all
covariates except the characteristics of the board are the same in sign
and significance for men as they are for men and women combined, which
is unsurprising given the high male representation in the sample.
However, when the age and tenure controls are included, the size of the
board now has a negative effect on voluntary departure instead of an
insignificant effect, which suggests men prefer to work with larger
boards. The fraction of male directors now has negative rather than
insignificant effects on the likelihoods of general and voluntary
departure, which suggests men prefer to work with more male-dominated
boards.
The estimates for the interaction terms reveal that several of the
controls have different effects on the various types of departure for
women than they do for men. Considering first the models for general and
voluntary departure, compensation increases the likelihood of both types
of departure more for women than men, which suggests increases in
compensation increase the opportunity cost of leaving a position more
for men. Total assets reduce the likelihood of both types of departure
more for women than men, indicating women become relatively less willing
to leave their positions when firm size increases. This is consistent
with larger firms being more hospitable to women than smaller firms.
Larger firms may, for instance, offer more generous family leave
programs, on-site childcare, or more flexible scheduling.
Some board characteristics also have different effects on general
and voluntary departure for men and women. The effect of an increase in
board size on both outcomes is greater for women, indicating that women
are relatively more willing to leave their positions as the size of the
board increases (holding overall firm size constant). It may be that
women find it more difficult to gain influence or respect when working
with larger boards. The fraction of men on the board also has greater
effects on general and voluntary departure for women (provided age and
tenure are excluded), indicating that women are relatively more willing
to leave their positions when the fraction of male board members
increases. The fraction of independent directors reduces the likelihood
of voluntary departure for women relative to men (provided age and
tenure are included), suggesting that women have a greater preference
than men for working with independent boards. A possible explanation is
that more independent boards are less intertwined with old boy networks
than are boards consisting of a higher fraction of insiders.
Most of the gender differences in the involuntary departure model
are insignificant. (14) The lone exception is the percent of male
directors on the board, which has a greater effect for women than men.
This suggests that women are more likely than men to be dismissed when
the fraction of males on the board increases, which is consistent with
male-dominated boards having a greater preference for male executives.
V. SENSITIVITY TESTS
We perform a variety of sensitivity tests on our models due to the
subjective nature of the classification scheme used to distinguish
between voluntary and involuntary departures. Although in the interests
of brevity, we do not report these results in separate tables, we
discuss them briefly. Our first sensitivity test is to exclude
retirements since these departures are considered voluntary (in the
absence of evidence of pressure from the firm) and men are much more
likely to retire than women. Thus, excluding retirements could
potentially change the inference of gender differences in the
circumstances of departure. However, most of the results are unchanged
by the exclusion of retirements, which may be because we have included
age controls and conducted intensive scrutiny of news accounts related
to retirements to ensure that they were appropriately classified. Most
notably, women remain more likely to depart in general, to involuntarily
depart, and to voluntarily depart when retirements are excluded.
However, the results for compensation are affected by the exclusion of
retiring executives in that the effect of compensation on general
departure becomes insignificant rather than negative when age and tenure
are excluded. This may be because the exclusion of executives who retire
results in a younger pool of executives and younger executives become
more mobile than older executives as compensation increases. The results
for the fraction of male directors in the models with gender
interactions are also different when we exclude retirements in that the
effect of the fraction of male directors on general departure is no
longer negative for men. This suggests that old boy networks in firms
with male-dominated boards are more beneficial for older executives who
are a lower percentage of the sample when retirements are excluded.
In specifications that are also unreported, we adopt an alternative
classification scheme that moves merger-related departures into the
voluntary category. While adopting this new scheme, we bring retirements
back into the sample and continue to consider them as voluntary
departures. This change has little effect on the results for involuntary
or voluntary departure. Again, women are more likely to depart both
voluntarily and involuntarily, and the fraction of male directors again
has a greater effect on involuntary departure for women than for men.
This strengthens some of our prior inferences that women are more likely
than men to be dismissed as the board becomes more male dominated.
In a final set of tests, we adopt a classification scheme that
moves all departures except firing for fraud and poor performance into
the voluntary category. Thus, we now consider as involuntary only those
departures that are for the most clearly disciplinary reasons. This
change in the classification scheme produces some interesting changes.
We now find that age has no effect on involuntary departure, suggesting
that the bulk of dismissals of older executives are for nondisciplinary
reasons. We also now find that being a director has a consistently
positive effect on involuntary departure, suggesting that the dismissals
of directors tend to be for clearly disciplinary reasons. The effects of
return on assets and board independence are now insignificant,
indicating that increases in firm operating performance do not help
prevent the most clearly disciplinary departures, while the additional
firings undertaken by more independent boards tend to be for reasons
other than outright fraud or demonstrably poor performance. The effect
of return on assets on general departure also becomes significantly more
negative for women than for men, indicating that better operating
performance is relatively more helpful to women in reducing the chances
of the most clearly disciplinary dismissals. Despite the aforementioned changes, our key results regarding the gender differences in the
probabilities of voluntary and involuntary departure are robust to this
reclassification.
VI. CONCLUSIONS
Through antidiscrimination policies, changing cultural attitudes,
and evolving labor force participation trends, women are becoming better
represented in executive labor markets over time. Nevertheless, recent
widely publicized events have raised the concern that corporations are
relatively quick to dismiss female executives. Because this sentiment
seems to arise from intense media scrutiny of a few cases, we closely
investigate the reasons for departure in a sample of male and female
executives from the EXECUCOMP database. Specifically, during the period
1996-2004, we classify departures into categories of voluntary and
involuntary departure and examine the determinants of these departure
types as well as of general departure.
Our key findings are that women are more likely to depart, to
involuntarily depart, and to voluntarily depart than men, controlling
for firm performance, governance characteristics, and executive human
capital. These results are robust to specifications that include age and
tenure controls, that exclude retirements, and that use different
classification schemes for involuntary and voluntary departures. Thus,
our evidence is supportive of a discrimination hypothesis but cannot
definitively rule out alternative explanations such as gender
differences in unobserved human capital or labor force attachment or
more media attention given to female departures. Moreover, because we
find women are also more likely to voluntarily depart, the evidence also
supports the notion that women have higher returns in nonlabor market
activities than do men.
Our remaining findings are supportive of labor market and agency
theories. Generally, the probability of involuntary departure is high
when the opportunity cost to the firm of dismissing an executive is low,
the probability of voluntary departure is high when the opportunity cost
to the executive of leaving a position is low, and the probability of
general departure is high in circumstances conducive to both voluntary
and involuntary departure.
We also estimate models with gender interaction terms to test
whether the effects of the controls on the various types of departure
are different for women and men. We find differences in the determinants
of general and voluntary departure that suggest a greater preference on
the part of women relative to men for working in larger firms, firms
with smaller boards, and firms with less male-dominated boards.
Furthermore, the involuntary departure results provide suggestive evidence that male-dominated boards are more likely to dismiss women
than men.
While we have attempted to provide rigorous evidence on the
existence of gender differences in the reasons for departure, we
acknowledge that there are some limitations to our analysis. Any
classification scheme that codes departures into voluntary and
involuntary categories is inherently subjective, so that it is sometimes
difficult to state with absolute certainty whether the departure of an
executive is voluntary or involuntary. In addition, age controls are
available for only a portion of the sample, so a verdict on the
robustness of our full-sample results must await the availability of a
more complete data source on executive ages. However, the similarity of
the results with and without the age controls offers some reassurance on
this front. Finally, one could always desire more detailed controls for
the professional and cognitive ability of the executive as well as
educational background. The title, director, and compensation variables
that we use here are indirect controls for qualifications and skills.
Likewise, more direct controls for the outside opportunities available
to the executive would allow us in some cases to draw more precise
conclusions about the motivating factors behind a departure. Therefore,
further work is required to definitively disentangle whether our results
reflect discrimination or simply an efficient labor market where
preferences and incentives differ for women and men.
ABBREVIATIONS
FTSE: Financial Times Stock Exchange
IRRC: Investor Responsibility Resource Center
S&P: Standard & Poor's
doi: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00186.x APPENDIX
Reasons for Executive Departures from Lexis-Nexis News Reports
Classifications Based on Mian (2001) Involuntary Departures
(A) Firings or resignations for fraud associated with accounting
irregularities or illegalities where the executive is clearly blamed.
(B) Clear firing because of poor company performance or questions
of competence (but no illegal actions on the part of the executive).
(C) Clear firing but no reason directly provided or suggested.
(D) Left suddenly with no reason provided.
(E) Merger, reorganization, or corporate restructuring related.
Voluntary Departures
(F) Quit due to disagreements with management/ board of directors
(departure initiated by executive). (G) Left with cause/voluntary
professional reasons.
(H) Specific personal reasons such as health or family reasons.
(I) Retirement.
Other Classifications (Excluded from Empirical Analysis)
(J) Could not find. This category represents searches on the
executive's name and firm in which no results were found.
(K) Death.
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(1.) Adams and Ferreira (2007); Bonn, Yoshikawa, and Phan (2004);
Erhardt, Werbel, and Shrader (2003); Farrell and Hersch (2005); Zahra
and Stanton (1988).
(2.) Benston (1985); Coughlan and Schmidt (1985); Huson, Malatesta,
and Parrino (2004); McNeil, Niehaus, and Powers (2004); Mian (2001);
Puffer and Weintrop (1991); Warner, Watts, and Wruck (1988); Weisbach
(1988).
(3.) Similar coding schemes are found in Balsam and Miharjo (2007),
Huson, Parrino, and Starks (2001), and Parrino (1997). The Appendix
includes a detailed description of the coding scheme.
(4.) The EXECUCOMP date is the actual departure date rather than
the announcement date, although on occasion, these are the same. In
general, we are more interested in the announcement date and rely on
news stories for this information.
(5.) Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/
Servlet/SurveyOutputServlet
(6.) For departing executives, we have also calculated abnormal
returns based on the date when the departure is first announced to the
public (i.e., the "event announcement date") rather than the
fiscal year. The results for voluntary and involuntary departure are
robust to this alternative specification of firm abnormal stock returns
for departing executives.
(7.) Random effects entail the stringent assumption that the
executive-specific unobserved heterogeneity is uncorrelated with the
observed covariates. However, our results are robust to a simple logit
model, which imposes the opposite extreme assumption of perfect
correlation between the unobserved heterogeneity and the controls.
(8.) Alternatively, we also estimate the models using firm random
effects and obtain qualitatively identical results.
(9.) CEO refers to "Chief Executive Officer," CFO to
"Chief Financial Officer," and COO to "Chief Operating
Officer." The excluded category of executives, with reference to
these title variables, consists of those holding titles that are vice
presidential in nature. This category includes the majority of
executives in the EXECUCOMP sample.
(10.) Specifically, we aggregate the 48 Fama and French (1997)
industry categories into the following broader groups: food and
agriculture; entertainment and leisure; consumer and retail goods;
health care services; textiles, construction, and manufacturing; drugs
and chemicals; mining and energy; utilities and telecommunications;
electricity; and finance, insurance, and real estate. The excluded
industry category is food and agriculture.
(11.) We also estimate the models using the executive's
proportional share ownership, rather than the dollar value of share
ownership, and continued to find negative effects on all types of
departure.
(12.) In a nonlinear model, the marginal effect of a variable
incorporates both the coefficient and a probability weight. When a
control variable is interacted with a dichotomous variable, the
probability weights on the marginal effects of the interacted and
uninteracted variables are different. This implies that the marginal
effect of the interaction term does not measure the size of the
difference in the marginal effects for the two groups. However, the
coefficient on the interaction term still indicates the direction of the
difference in the effect for the two groups.
(13.) The predicted probability for men is
[LAMBDA]([x.sub.M][b.sub.M]), where [x.sub.M] is the vector of average
values of the control variables for men, [b.sub.M] is the vector of
estimated coefficients for men (the coefficients on the uninteracted
variables), and A is the cumulative logistic distribution function. The
predicted probability for women is A([x.sub.F][b.sub.F]), where
[x.sub.F] is the vector of female means and [b.sub.F] is the vector of
estimated coefficients for women. For each variable, the coefficient for
women is the sum of the coefficient on the uninteracted form of the
variable and the coefficient on the interaction of the variable with the
female dummy.
(14.) This suggests the gender difference in involuntary departure
documented in Table 3 may be largely due to unobserved variables, such
as family responsibilities, alternative employment options, or
expectations of upward career mobility. Discrimination is likewise a
possibility. It is also the case that gender-varying measurement error
in the dependent variable could contribute to the difference, for
instance if female dismissals are more "newsworthy" than male
dismissals, making it easier to classify female departures. Although the
focus of our article is on whether women are more likely to depart, the
question of why is an interesting area for future research.
JOHN R. BECKER-BLEASE, SUSAN ELKINAWY and MARK STATER *
* We wish to thank Marisa Danley, Rachel Horton, Chris Miller, Mary
Spencer, and Esther Trefz, for excellent research assistance.
Becker-Blease recognizes Washington State University-Vancouver for
providing financial support. Elkinawy recognizes Loyola Marymount
University for providing a research fellowship. Seminar participants at
the California Corporate Finance Conference, the Southern Economic
Association, the American Society of Business and Behavioral Sciences,
Loyola Marymount University, and Washington State University-Vancouver
offered numerous useful comments and suggestions.
Becker-Blease: Assistant Professor, Department of Finance,
Washington State University-Vancouver, 14204 NE Salmon Creek Avenue,
Vancouver, WA 98686-9600. Phone 1-360-546-9146, Fax 1-360-546-9037,
E-mail jblease@vancouver.wsu.edu
Elkinawy: Assistant Professor, Department of Finance and Computer
Information Systems, Loyola Marymount University, One LMU Drive, MS
8385, Los Angeles, CA 90045. Phone 1-310-338-2345, Fax 1-310-338-3000,
E-mail selkinawy@lmu.edu
Stater: Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Trinity
College, 300 Summit Street, Hartford, CT 06106. Phone 1-860-297-2486,
Fax 1-860-297-2163, E-mail mark.stater@trincoll.edu
TABLE 1
Percentages of Executives in Each Departure Category
Variables All Executives Male Executives
Departed 3.9166 (19.3993) 3.7638 (19.0322)
Involuntarily 1.0204 (10.0500) 0.9326 (9.6122)
departed
Fired for fraud or 0.0582 (2.4107) 0.0452 (2.1246)
misdeeds
Fired for poor 0.2195 (4.6796) 0.2003 (4.4707)
performance
Fired for 0.0094 (0.9684) 0.0098 (0.9908)
unspecified reasons
Left suddenly (no 0.5627 (7.4805) 0.5183 (7.1810)
reason provided)
Left for 0.1707 (4.1281) 0.1590 (3.9848)
merger-related
reasons
Voluntarily departed 2.8962 (16.7702) 2.8312 (16.5865)
Quit due to 0.0675 (2.5978) 0.0609 (2.4664)
disagreements with
board
Left for 1.1105 (10.4793) 1.0386 (10.1384)
professional reasons
Left for personal 0.1107 (3.3249) 0.0923 (3.0364)
reasons
Retired 1.6076 (12.5767) 1.6394 (12.6988)
Number of executive- 53,311 50,932
year observations
Number of unique 17,644 16,667
executives
Variables Female Executives Departed Executives
Departed 7.1879 *** (25.8342) 100.0000 (0.0000)
Involuntarily 2.9004 *** (16.7852) 26.0536 (43.9033)
departed
Fired for fraud or 0.3363 *** (5.7904) 1.4847 (12.0968)
misdeeds
Fired for poor 0.6305 *** (7.9171) 5.6035 (23.0043)
performance
Fired for 0.0000 (0.0000) 0.2395 (4.8888)
unspecified reasons
Left suddenly (no 1.5132 *** (12.2105) 14.3678 (35.0847)
reason provided)
Left for 0.4203 *** (6.4711) 4.3582 (20.4213)
merger-related
reasons
Voluntarily departed 4.2875 *** (20.2618) 73.9464 (43.9033)
Quit due to 0.2102 *** (4.5806) 1.7241 (13.0201)
disagreements with
board
Left for 2.6482 *** (16.0597) 28.3525 (45.0817)
professional reasons
Left for personal 0.5044 *** (7.0858) 2.8257 (16.5745)
reasons
Retired 0.9248 *** (9.5739) 41.0441 (49.2032)
Number of executive- 2,379 2,088
year observations
Number of unique 977 2,061
executives
Variables Male Departed Female Departed
Departed 100.0000 (0.0000) 100.0000 (0.0000)
Involuntarily 24.7783 (43.1838) 40.3509 *** (49.2042)
departed
Fired for fraud or 1.1998 (10.8904) 4.6784 (21.1795)
misdeeds
Fired for poor 5.3208 (22.4507) 8.7719 * (28.3717)
performance
Fired for 0.2608 (5.1018) 0.0000 (0.0000)
unspecified reasons
Left suddenly (no 13.7715 (34.4691) 21.0526 *** (0.4089)
reason provided)
Left for 4.2254 (20.1220) 5.8480 (23.5337)
merger-related
reasons
Voluntarily departed 75.2217 (43.1838) 59.6491 *** (49.2042)
Quit due to 1.6171 (12.6166) 2.9240 (16.8973)
disagreements with
board
Left for 27.5952 (44.7109) 36.8421 ** (48.3793)
professional reasons
Left for personal 2.4518 (15.4690) 7.0175 *** (25.6193)
reasons
Retired 43.5576 (49.5962) 12.8655 *** (33.5801)
Number of executive- 1,917 171
year observations
Number of unique 1,896 165
executives
Notes: Standard deviations are in parentheses. The number in each
cell is the percent of executives who are members of the row
category (or the mean of the row variable), conditioned on
membership in the column category. Thus, the numerator is the number
of executives in the intersection of the row and column categories
(e.g., male and departed) multiplied by 100, and the denominator is
the number in the column category (e.g., male).
Difference between adjacent male and female percentages is
significant at *** 1%, ** 5%, and * 10%.
TABLE 2
Descriptive Statistics for Firm and Executive Variable
Variables Full Sample Departed
Female 0.0446 (0.2065) 0.0819 (0.2743)
Age (yr) (a) 53.1877 (8.0043) 54.9790 (7.9660)
Tenure with firm 7.5829 (11.6895) 8.0761 (13.0068)
(yr) (b)
Director 0.3682 (0.4823) 0.4023 (0.4905)
Chief Executive 0.1940 (0.3954) 0.1346 (0.3414)
Officer (c)
Chief Financial 0.1353 (0.3420) 0.1489 (0.3561)
Officer (c)
Chief Operating 0.0821 (0.2745) 0.1145 (0.3184)
Officer (c)
Total direct 1.5023 (4.4836) 1.5779 (3.6882)
compensation ($
million) (d)
Executive equity 20.1221 (443.0559) 5.9407 (49.1781)
ownership ($
million) (e)
Total assets ($ 6.2449 (26.5105) 8.2608 (33.7033)
billion) (f)
Industry-adjusted 0.0673 (0.1225) 0.0550 (0.1203)
return on assets (%)
(f,g)
1-yr buy-hold -0.0062 (0.4530) -0.0829 (0.4764)
abnormal return (%)
(h)
Total number of 9.7241 (3.0520) 9.7553 (2.9922)
directors
Fraction of male 0.9226 (0.0853) 0.9156 (0.0865)
directors
Fraction of 0.6339 (0.1819) 0.6572 (0.1706)
independent
directors
Number of 53,311 2,088
executive-years
Number of unique 17,644 2,061
executives (i,j)
Involuntarily
Variables Nondeparted Departed
Female 0.0431 *** (0.2031) 0.1268 (0.3331)
Age (yr) (a) 53.0888 *** (7.9949) 51.1968 (6.6113)
Tenure with firm 7.5628 ** (11.6323) 4.0345 (9.1266)
(yr) (b)
Director 0.3668 *** (0.4819) 0.3750 (0.4846)
Chief Executive 0.1964 *** (0.3973) 0.1673 (0.3736)
Officer (c)
Chief Financial 0.1347 * (0.3414) 0.1599 (0.3669)
Officer (c)
Chief Operating 0.0808 *** (0.2725) 0.1618 (03686)
Officer (c)
Total direct 1.4992 (4.5131) 1.9805 (5.1996)
compensation ($
million) (d)
Executive equity 20.7002 (451.8775) 2.9250 (14.6483)
ownership ($
million) (e)
Total assets ($ 6.1627 *** (26.1726) 10.2818 (46.8144)
billion) (f)
Industry-adjusted 0.0678 *** (0.1226) 0.0453 (0.1166)
return on assets (%)
(f,g)
1-yr buy-hold -0.0031 *** (0.4517) -0.1518 (0.5511)
abnormal return (%)
(h)
Total number of 9.7228 (3.0544) 9.2279 (2.9042)
directors
Fraction of male 0.9229 *** (0.0853) 0.9170 (0.0904)
directors
Fraction of 0.6329 *** (0.1823) 0.6408 (0.1776)
independent
directors
Number of 51,223 544
executive-years
Number of unique 17,176 541
executives (i,j)
Variables Voluntarily Departed
Female 0.0661 *** (0.2485)
Age (yr) (a) 56.2500 *** (7.9819)
Tenure with firm 9.5001 *** (13.8463)
(yr) (b)
Director 0.4119 (0.4923)
Chief Executive 0.1231 *** (03286)
Officer (c)
Chief Financial 0.1451 (0.3523)
Officer (c)
Chief Operating 0.0978 *** (0.2971)
Officer (c)
Total direct 1.4360 *** (2.9678)
compensation ($
million) (d)
Executive equity 7.0033 * (56.4915)
ownership ($
million) (e)
Total assets ($ 7.5488 (27.6260)
billion) (f)
Industry-adjusted 0.0584 ** (0.1214)
return on assets (%)
(f,g)
1-yr buy-hold -0.0586 *** (0.4447)
abnormal return (%)
(h)
Total number of 9.9411 *** (3.0016)
directors
Fraction of male 0.9151 (0.0851)
directors
Fraction of 0.6630 *** (0.1677)
independent
directors
Number of 1,544
executive-years
Number of unique 1,529
executives (i,j)
Notes: Standard deviations are in parentheses. The number in each
cell is the mean of the row variable, conditioned on membership in
the column category.
(a) The number of executive-year observations on age in each of the
columns is 28,210, 1,475, 26,735, 371, and 1,104.
(b) The number of executive-year observations on tenure in each of
the columns is 53,292, 2,088, 51,204, 544, and 1,544.
(c) The excluded group of executive titles is vice president.
(d) Total direct compensation includes base salary, bonuses, and
fringe benefits.
(e) Executive equity ownership is the number of shares owned by the
executive times the firm's stock price at the end of the previous
year.
(f) Total assets and return on assets are lagged 1 yr prior to the
year of observation listed for the executive.
(g) Return on assets is measured as the deviation from the industry
median, where industry groupings are as defined by Fama and French
(1997).
(h) 1-yr buy-and-hold abnormal returns are the deviations of actual
monthly stock returns from the predictions of a market and industry
model, summed over the year prior to that listed for the executive.
(i) The number of unique executives in the departed and nondeparted
columns sum to a number greater than the number of unique
executives in the full sample because nearly every executive who is
observed as a departure is also observed as a nondeparture in some
other year.
(j) The number of unique executives in the involuntarily and
voluntarily departed columns sum to a number greater than the
number of unique executives in the departed column because some
executives are observed as both voluntary departures and
involuntary departures (in different years).
Difference between departed and nondeparted or between
involuntarily and voluntarily departed categories is
significant at *** 1%, ** 5%, and * 10%.
TABLE 3
Random Effects Logit Models of the Reason for Departure (Marginal
Effect Estimates)
General Departure
Independent Variables Model (1) Model (2)
Female 0.0337 *** (0.000) 0.0678 *** (0.000)
Age X 0.0052 *** (0.000)
Age squared X -0.0000 *** (0.002)
Tenure with firm X -0.0002 *** (0.008)
Director 0.0261 *** (0.000) -0.0029 (0.244)
Chief Executive -0.0212 *** (0.000) -0.0295 *** (0.000)
Officer (CEO) (a)
Chief Financial 0.0035 (0.123) -0.0062 ** (0.019)
Officer (CFO) (a)
Chief Operating 0.0053 * (0.056) 0.0009 (0.778)
Officer (COO) (a)
Log total direct -0.0024 *** (0.007) -0.0034 *** (0.002)
compensation
(millions) (b)
Log executive equity -0.0001 *** (0.003) -0.0001 *** (0.000)
ownership (millions)
(c)
Log total assets 0.0051 *** (0.000) 0.0046 *** (0.000)
(billions) (d)
Industry-adjusted -0.0328 *** (0.000) -0.0341 *** (0.000)
return on assets
(d,e)
1-yr buy-hold -0.0134 *** (0.000) -0.0154 *** (0.000)
abnormal returns (f)
Total number of -0.0010 *** (0.002) -0.0011 ** (0.010)
directors
Fraction of male -0.0108 (0.266) -0.0208 (0.102)
directors
Fraction of 0.0328 *** (0.000) 0.0412 *** (0.000)
independent
directors
Number of executive 53,311 28,193
years
Number of unique 18,404 8,222
executive firms
% correctly 96.1 94.8
predicted
Involuntary Departure
Independent Variables Model (1) Model (2)
Female 0.0129 *** (0.000) 0.0152 *** (0.000)
Age X 0.0017 *** (0.003)
Age squared X -0.0000 *** (0.004)
Tenure with firm X -0.0002 *** (0.000)
Director 0.0018 ** (0.024) -0.0003 (0.745)
Chief Executive -0.0002 (0.852) -0.0015 (0.110)
Officer (CEO) (a)
Chief Financial 0.0019 ** (0.045) -0.0014 (0.106)
Officer (CFO) (a)
Chief Operating 0.0065 *** (0.000) 0.0027 ** (0.043)
Officer (COO) (a)
Log total direct 0.0002 (0.589) -0.0001 (0.845)
compensation
(millions) (b)
Log executive equity -0.0001 *** (0.0000) -0.0001 *** (0.000)
ownership (millions)
(c)
Log total assets 0.0008 *** (0.003) 0.0011 *** (0.001)
(billions) (d)
Industry-adjusted -0.0075 *** (0.000) -0.0070 *** (0.003)
return on assets
(d,e)
1-yr buy-hold -0.0044 *** (0.000) -0.0049 *** (0.000)
abnormal returns (f)
Total number of -0.0005 *** (0.000) -0.0004 *** (0.008)
directors
Fraction of male -0.0007 (0.832) -0.0019 (0.645)
directors
Fraction of 0.0031 * (0.063) 0.0044 ** (0.034)
independent
directors
Number of executive 53,311 28,193
years
Number of unique 18,404 8,222
executive firms
% correctly 99.0 98.7
predicted
Voluntary Departure
Independent Variables Model (1) Model (2)
Female 0.0153 *** (0.000) 0.0382 *** (0.000)
Age X 0.0051 *** (0.000)
Age squared X -0.0000 *** (0.002)
Tenure with firm X -0.0000 (0.995)
Director 0.0238 *** (0.000) -0.0024 (0.247)
Chief Executive -0.0192 *** (0.000) -0.0246 *** (0.000)
Officer (CEO) (a)
Chief Financial 0.0010 (0.601) -0.0035 (0.107)
Officer (CFO) (a)
Chief Operating -0.0023 (0.272) -0.0028 (0.250)
Officer (COO) (a)
Log total direct -0.0027 *** (0.000) -0.0032 *** (0.000)
compensation
(millions) (b)
Log executive equity -0.0000 * (0.060) -0.0001 *** (0.007)
ownership (millions)
(c)
Log total assets 0.0041 *** (0.000) 0.0029 *** (0.000)
(billions) (d)
Industry-adjusted -0.0183 *** (0.000) -0.0170 ** (0.015)
return on assets
(d,e)
1-yr buy-hold -0.0067 *** (0.000) -0.0068 *** (0.001)
abnormal returns (f)
Total number of -0.0003 (0.335) -0.0004 (0.203)
directors
Fraction of male -0.0092 (0.276) -0.0154 (0.140)
directors
Fraction of 0.0285 *** (0.000) 0.0330 *** (0.000)
independent
directors
Number of executive 53,311 28,193
years
Number of unique 18,404 8,222
executive firms
% correctly 97.1 96.1
predicted
Notes: Estimates are marginal effects; p values are in parentheses.
Dependent variables for the three departure outcomes are dummy
variables that equal one if the executive departs, departs
involuntarily, and departs voluntarily, respectively. Each model
contains a full set of year and industry dummies; industry
categories include food and agriculture (the excluded group);
entertainment and leisure; consumer and retail goods; health care
services; textiles, construction, and manufacturing; drugs and
chemicals; mining and energy; utilities and telecommunications;
electricity; and finance, insurance, and real estate.
(a) The excluded group of executive titles is vice president.
(b) Total direct compensation includes base salary, bonuses, and
fringe benefits.
(c) Executive equity ownership is the number of shares owned by the
executive times the firm's stock price at the end of the previous
year.
(d) Total assets and return on assets are lagged 1 yr prior to the year
of observation listed for the executive.
(e) Return on assets is measured as the deviation from the industry
median, where industry groupings are as defined by Fama and French
(1997).
(f) 1-yr buy-and-hold abnormal returns are the deviations of actual
monthly stock returns from the predictions of a market and industry
model, summed over the year prior to that listed for the executive.
Marginal effect estimate is significant at *** 1%, ** 5%, and * 10%.
TABLE 4
Random Effects Logit Models of the Reason for Departure
(Coefficient Estimates with Full Set of Female Interactions)
General Departure
Model (1)
Independent Coefficient Coefficient
Variables on Variable on Interaction
Age X X
[Age.sup.2] X X
Tenure X X
Director 0.7805 *** -0.8386 **
(0.000) (0.012)
CEO (a) -0.8176 *** 0.1540
(0.000) (0.787)
CFO (a) 0.1037 -0.0018
(0.134) (0.993)
COO (a) 0.1554 ** 0.1771
(0.048) (0.624)
Log compensation (b) -0.0995 *** 0.3910 ***
(0.000) (0.000)
Log executive -0.0022 *** -0.0142
equity (c) (0.005) (0.311)
Log total assets 0.1718 *** -0.2166 ***
(0.000) (0.003)
Adjusted return on -0.9907 *** -0.4927
assets (d,e) (0.000) (0.443)
1-yr buy-and-hold -0.3845 *** -0.3413 *
abnormal returns (f) (0.000) (0.067)
Total directors -0.0386 *** 0.0968 **
(0.000) (0.010)
Percent male directors -0.6953 ** 2.4018 **
(0.028) (0.011)
Percent independent 1.0282 *** -0.3708
directors (0.000) (0.462)
Female -1.7265 * X
(0.097)
Constant -3.3738 *** X
(0.000)
Predicted prob(Y = 1) M: 0.032 F: 0.059
Executive years 53,311
Executive firms 18,404
% correct predict 96.1
General Departure
Model (2)
Independent Coefficient Coefficient
Variables on Variable on Interaction
Age 0.1937 *** 0.0092
(0.000) (0.965)
[Age.sup.2] -0.0012 *** -0.0008
(0.000) (0.723)
Tenure -0.0067 *** -0.0128
(0.008) (0.282)
Director -0.0229 -0.8155 **
(0.756) (0.017)
CEO (a) -0.9571 *** 0.1608
(0.000) (0.779)
CFO (a) -0.2022 ** -0.0132
(0.033) (0.957)
COO (a) 0.0524 -0.0002
(0.570) (1.000)
Log compensation (b) -0.1096 *** 0.2029 *
(0.001) (0.1167)
Log executive -0.0031 *** -0.0173
equity (c) (0.001) (0.312)
Log total assets 0.1520 *** -0.2658 ***
(0.000) (0.001)
Adjusted return on -0.9815 *** 0.0650
assets (d,e) (0.000) (0.930)
1-yr buy-and-hold -0.4278 *** -0.2225
abnormal returns (f) (0.000) (0.277)
Total directors -0.0423 *** 0.1234 ***
(0.001) (0.003)
Percent male directors -1.1268 *** 2.2103 **
(0.004) (0.032)
Percent independent 1.1833 *** -0.6368
directors (0.000) (0.247)
Female 0.1959 X
(0.970)
Constant -9.1728 *** X
(0.000)
Predicted prob(Y = 1) M: 0.034 F: 0.092
Executive years 28,193
Executive firms 8,222
% correct predict 94.8
Involuntary departure
Model (1)
Independent Coefficient Coefficient
Variables on Variable on Interaction
Age X X
[Age.sup.2] X X
Tenure X X
Director 0.2830 ** 0.3267
(0.028) (0.468)
CEO (a) 0.0171 -0.6681
(0.917) (0.376)
CFO (a) 0.2825 ** -0.1260
(0.036) (0.714)
COO (a) 0.8119 *** -0.6482
(0.000) (0.234)
Log compensation (b) 0.0077 0.2008
(0.888) (0.183)
Log executive -0.0162 *** -0.0008
equity (c) (0.002) (0.965
Log total assets 0.1191 *** 0.0088
(0.007) (0.936)
Adjusted return on -1.2184 *** -0.2020
assets (d,e) (0.000) (0.851
1-yr buy-and-hold -0.7337 *** 0.1646
abnormal returns (f) (0.000) (0.569
Total directors -0.0979 *** 0.0843
(0.000) (0.154)
Percent male directors -0.6040 2.6090 *
(0.310) (0.076)
Percent independent 0.4307 0.6268
directors (0.126) (0.431)
Female -2.1720 X
(0.181)
Constant -4.2262 *** X
(0.000)
Predicted prob(Y = 1) M: 0.006 F: 0.023
Executive years 53,311
Executive firms 18,404
% correct predict 99.0
Involuntary departure
Model (2)
Independent Coefficient Coefficient
Variables on Variable on Interaction
Age 0.3049 *** 0.0719
(0.002) (0.846)
[Age.sup.2] -0.0029 *** -0.0010
(0.002) (0.802)
Tenure -0.0405 *** 0.0062
(0.000) (0.758)
Director -0.0288 0.0916
(0.849) (0.845)
CEO (a) -0.2434 -0.5169
(0.158) (0.494)
CFO (a) -0.3102 0.1321
(0.125) (0.738)
COO (a) 0.4370 *** -0.3769
(0.007) (0.504)
Log compensation (b) -0.0027 -0.0369
(0.966) (0.833)
Log executive -0.0130 *** -0.0021
equity (c) (0.006) (0.918)
Log total assets 0.1827 *** -0.0395
(0.001) (0.740)
Adjusted return on -1.2227 *** 0.6027
assets (d,e) (0.001) (0.613)
1-yr buy-and-hold -0.8798 *** 0.3298
abnormal returns (f) (0.000) (0.300)
Total directors -0.0811 *** 0.0806
(0.002) (0.209)
Percent male directors -1.1071 2.7094 *
(0.138) (0.094)
Percent independent 0.5975 * 0.4589
directors (0.095) (0.594)
Female -3.3135 X
(0.713)
Constant -11.052 *** X
(0.000)
Predicted prob(Y = 1) M: 0.005 F: 0.035
Executive years 28,193
Executive firms 8,222
% correct predict 98.7
Voluntary Departure
Model (1)
Independent Coefficient Coefficient
Variables on Variable on Interaction
Age X X
[Age.sup.2] X X
Tenure X X
Director 0.9332 *** -1.6166 ***
(0.000) (0.001)
CEO (a) -1.0563 *** 0.4848
(0.000) (0.573)
CFO (a) 0.0425 0.0258
(0.593) (0.926)
COO (a) -0.1119 0.5520
(0.241) (0.223)
Log compensation (b) -0.1384 *** 0.4432 ***
(0.000) (0.000)
Log executive -0.0013 * -0.0128
equity (c) (0.059) (0.526)
Log total assets 0.1919 *** -0.3654 ***
(0.000) (0.000)
Adjusted return on -0.7231 *** -0.5292
assets (d,e) (0.002) (0.490)
1-yr buy-and-hold -0.2329 *** -0.5382 **
abnormal returns (f) (0.000) (0.022)
Total directors -0.0187 0.1229 ***
(0.116) (0.009)
Percent male directors -0.6905 * 2.0145 *
(0.061) (0.090)
Percent independent 1.2199 *** -0.7816
directors (0.000) (0.214)
Female -1.5479 X
(0.239)
Constant -3.9092 *** X
(0.000)
Predicted prob(Y = 1) M: 0.024 F: 0.033
Executive years 53,311
Executive firms 18,404
% correct predict 97.1
Voluntary Departure
Model (2)
Independent Coefficient Coefficient
Variables on Variable on Interaction
Age 0.2711 *** -0.2132
(0.000) (0.396)
[Age.sup.2] -0.0017 *** 0.0012
(0.000) (0.631)
Tenure -0.0007 -0.0061
(0.783) (0.666)
Director -0.0209 -1.4980 ***
(0.801) (0.002)
CEO (a) -1.1444 *** 0.4475
(0.000) (0.602)
CFO (a) -0.1517 -0.0312
(0.153) (0.918)
COO (a) -0.0925 0.1653
(0.402) (0.744)
Log compensation (b) -0.1504 *** 0.3144 **
(0.000) (0.031)
Log executive -0.0023 *** -0.0234
equity (c) (0.007) (0.406)
Log total assets 0.1487 *** -0.4314 ***
(0.000) (0.0993)
Adjusted return on -0.6384 ** -0.1496
assets (d,e) (0.031) (0.865)
1-yr buy-and-hold -0.2321 *** -0.3816
abnormal returns (f) (0.004) (0.129)
Total directors -0.0287 ** 0.1584 ***
(0.045) (0.002)
Percent male directors -1.0932 ** 1.7584
(0.016) (0.164)
Percent independent 1.3671 *** -1.1904 *
directors (0.000) (0.077)
Female 6.5586 X
(0.286)
Constant -12.452 *** X
(0.000)
Predicted prob(Y = 1) M: 0.023 F: 0.044
Executive years 26,193
Executive firms 8,222
% correct predict 96.1
Notes: p values are in parentheses. Dependent variables for
departure outcomes are dummies that equal one if the executive
departs, departs involuntarily, and departs voluntarily,
respectively. Each model contains a full set of year and industry
dummies; industry categories include food and agriculture (the
excluded group); entertainment and leisure; consumer and retail
goods; health care services; textiles, construction, and
manufacturing; drugs and chemicals; mining and energy; utilities and
telecommunications; electricity; and finance, insurance, and real
estate.
(a) Excluded group of executive titles is vice president.
(b) Compensation includes base salary, bonuses, and fringe benefits.
(c) Executive equity is the value of firm shares owned by the
executive at the end of the previous year.
(d) Total assets and return on assets are lagged 1 yr.
(e) Adjusted return on assets is the deviation of the firm's return
on assets from the industry median, using Fama and French (1997)
industry groupings.
(f) Buy-and-hold abnormal returns are deviations of monthly stock
returns from the predictions of a market and industry model, summed
over the previous year. Coefficient estimate is significant at
*** 1%, ** 5%, and * 10%.