Experimental comparisons of auctions under single- and multi-unit demand.
Alsemgeest, Paul ; Noussair, Charles ; Olson, Mark 等
I. INTRODUCTION
The study of multiple-unit auctions is important because of their
widespread use and the high value of goods sold. Examples include
auctions of U.S. treasury debt, cut flowers, wine, foreign exchange, and
other financial and monetary instruments. Moreover, since auctions are
often proposed by economists as a method of sale for other goods, as in
McMillan [1994], the use of auctions can be expected to increase in the
future. Many different auction rules are used to sell these diverse
commodities and auction rule changes are often suggested, usually with
the intention of increasing revenue or improving the allocations, and
thus there is a considerable and increasing number of known auction
formats.
Evaluating new or comparing different auction mechanisms using field
tests can be very costly and risky. However, experimental methods can
and have been used by economists to study the behavioral characteristics
of different auction procedures; Kagel [1995] provides a recent
comprehensive survey. Most experimental studies consider the behavior of
auctions when there is a single unit to be sold. A few studies, such as
Cox et al. [1984; 1985] and McCabe et al. [1990; 1991] study
multiple-unit auctions in environments in which each bidder demands at
most one object from a set of identical objects being sold. The studies
of Smith [1967], Belovicz [1979], Miller and Plott [1985] and Burns
[1985] consider multi-unit demand environments. These are environments
in which bidders have demand for multiple (identical) units and are
permitted to purchase multiple units of the commodity sold. The
extension to multi-unit demand is important since the presence of
multi-unit demand is a characteristic of many auctions in the field,
including all of the examples above.
In this study we consider the behavior of two types of multi-unit
auction under both single-unit and multi-unit demand. We construct a
laboratory environment which we use to study an English clock (EC),
which is a special type of English auction, and a sealed-bid auction
with lowest-accepted-bid pricing (SB). In the SB each bidder pays a
per-unit price equal to the lowest accepted bid. The EC was chosen
because it is known to provide highly efficient allocations in auctions
of single-unit goods and therefore is likely to be suggested for many
field applications. The SB was chosen because of its widespread use
which makes its outcomes a useful basis of comparison for the outcomes
of the English clock auction.(1) However, we do not attempt to represent
a particular field situation here. Instead, since our interest is in
understanding the basic properties of the auctions, we chose an
experimental design that enables us to make simple comparisons across
treatments and with previous (and possibly future) studies. The design
enables us to perform simple testing of game-theoretic models in some of
the treatments.
In our view the difference between single- and multi-unit demand is
critical. As we discuss in section II, many of the results of auction
theory that are valid in single-unit demand environments no longer apply
in multi-unit demand environments, suggesting that the observed behavior
of auctions might also differ between the two environments. Therefore,
we isolate the effects of multi-unit demand by conducting single-unit
demand experiments under identical market demand and supply conditions
as the multi-unit demand experiments. These and other aspects of the
experimental design are described in detail in section III. The results
and a discussion are given in sections IV and V respectively.
II. INSTITUTIONS, THEORY AND PREVIOUS STUDIES
The English Clock Auction
This variant of the English auction was modeled by Milgrom and Weber
[1982] and studied by McCabe et al. [1990; 1991]. In our version, the
auction begins with all bidders publicly and simultaneously announcing
their initial quantity demanded at price zero. If there is excess
demand, the price is increased by a small increment, and the bidders
then announce new quantities demanded. These new quantities must be less
than or equal to the previous quantity announced, and therefore exit is
irrevocable. The procedure continues until quantity demanded and
quantity supplied are equal. The market-clearing price becomes the
uniform per-unit price charged to demanders. Each bidder's profit
on each item equals the difference between his valuation for the item
and the price he pays to obtain it. Under multi-unit demand, if exactly
j units are obtained by a bidder, he is awarded the difference between
his j highest valuations and j times the purchase price.(2)
In an environment in which demanders with independent private values
wish to buy at most one unit from a group of identical units being sold,
each bidder has a dominant strategy to reduce his quantity demanded from
one to zero, once the price reaches his valuation. The bidding stops at
a level approximately equal (within one price increment) to the (K +1)st
highest valuation. The resulting allocation is Pareto optimal. The
demanders with the K highest valuations receive units and pay a per-unit
price equal to the (K + 1)st highest valuation.
In multi-unit demand environments, however, Pareto-optimality cannot
always be guaranteed by assuming profit-maximizing behavior on the part
of bidders.(3) Demanders may have an incentive to behave strategically
by underrevealing their demands. In the case of two-unit demand it is a
dominant strategy for a bidder to reduce quantity demanded from one unit
to zero units when the price reaches her higher valuation. However, it
is a best response for the bidder to reduce quantity demanded from two
units to one unit prior to the price reaching the bidder's second
highest valuation.(4)
Sealed-Bid Auction
In SB, each subject is permitted to submit one or two sealed bids,
depending on the environment. The bids are collected by the auctioneer,
who accepts only the K highest bids. The per-unit price equals the
lowest accepted bid. The items are awarded to the subjects who placed
the accepted bids.(5)
Each subject's profit equals the difference between her
valuations and the price she pays for the units she receives. In an
independent private values environment with K units to be sold, if each
demander is risk-neutral and draws one valuation from a common uniform
distribution in which the lowest possible valuation is zero (the
conditions present in our experiment), a symmetric Bayes-Nash
equilibrium for the auction is given by
[Mathematical Expression Omitted], [for every] i,
where [Mathematical Expression Omitted] is the common equilibrium
strategy of all bidders, i indexes the bidders, [v.sub.i] is bidder
i's valuation, N is the number of bidders and K is the number of
units sold. See Alsemgeest et al. [1995] for a derivation. Since
[Mathematical Expression Omitted] is monotone increasing in [v.sub.i],
the outcome is Pareto optimal. In the special case where K = 1, we
obtain the equilibrium bidding function for the first price auction (in
which the highest bidder gets the one item sold and pays the amount of
her bid) first derived by Vickrey [1961]. This auction has not been
modeled to date in an independent private values environment in which
demanders may wish to buy more than one unit. However, under two-unit
demand, the incentive exists to submit bids less than valuations for
both units.
Revenue
The Revenue Equivalence Theorem as proven by Myerson [1981],
Engelbrecht-Wiggans [1988] and Bulow and Klemperer [1994] states that
under risk neutrality, independent private values and single-unit
demand, any auction mechanism with a Nash equilibrium where the bidders
with the highest valuations always receive the items, and a bidder with
the lowest possible valuation has an expected payoff of zero, has the
same expected revenue to the seller in the Nash equilibrium. However,
Tenorio [1994] shows that when there is multi-unit demand, this result
no longer applies to many simple auctions because inefficient
allocations can occur in equilibrium.
In the laboratory, the revenue-generating properties of different
multi-unit auctions have been studied in the single-unit demand case by
Cox et al. [1984; 1985] and McCabe et al. [1990, 1991].(6) McCabe et al.
[1991] report that the English clock generates prices very close to the
competitive equilibrium level in a single-unit demand, independent
private-values environment. Cox et al. [1985] compare the revenue
generated by the uniform-price sealed-bid auction with
highest-rejected-bid pricing (a sealed-bid auction in which the highest
K bids are accepted and the winners pay a per-unit price equal to the (K
+ 1)st highest bid) and the discriminative auction (in which each of the
K winners pays the amount she bid) in a single-unit demand, independent
private-value environment. Although they find that the revenue generated
by both of the auctions is below the Nash equilibrium level, they do not
reject the hypothesis that revenue is equal between the two auctions.
They find that previous experience with one of the auctions can affect
subsequent bidding behavior under the other auction. For example, bids
are lower in the uniform-price auction, in which there exists a dominant
strategy of bidding one's valuation, when subjects have previously
bid in a discriminative auction, in which it is optimal to bid below
one's valuation, than when they have not bid previously in a
discriminative auction. The uniform-price auction generates more revenue
relative to the discriminative auction when the uniform-price auction is
the first treatment in the sequence of two treatments in a session, than
when it is the second treatment.
Multi-unit demand, private-value environments have been studied by
Miller and Plott [1985]. They compare SB and the discriminative auction
and find that when demand is inelastic at the competitive equilibrium,
the discriminative auction generates higher revenue than SB; this result
is reversed when demand is elastic. SB generates the competitive
equilibrium revenue and subjects tend to bid their valuations. However,
their environment differs from ours in that market demand is stationary
from period to period, and in that for their parameters, the strategy
profile consisting of all demanders bidding truthfully always
constitutes a Nash equilibrium, resulting in the competitive equilibrium
revenue. Our interest here is in environments, such as the independent
private-values environment, in which market demand is stochastic and
unilateral gains from underrevelation generally exist.(7)
Efficiency
The welfare measure used in this study to compare the allocations in
our various treatments is the percentage of the maximum possible gains
from trade which is realized by the allocation process. This fraction is
called the efficiency of the allocation. It is computed as the sum of
the producer and consumer surplus (producer surplus is the revenue to
the auctioneer) resulting from the allocation process divided by the sum
of the producer and consumer surplus which would be realized if the
demanders with the K highest valuations receive the K units.
McCabe et al. [1991] report a very high mean efficiency of 99.98% for
the English clock in single-unit demand, multiple-unit auctions.
Simultaneous sealed-bid auctions have not generated high efficiency as
consistently under single-unit demand as the English clock. Cox et al.
[1985] report an average efficiency of 97.2% for the uniform-price
sealed-bid auction with highest-rejected-bid pricing and 97.7% for the
discriminative auction. Under multi-unit demand, Miller and Plott [1985]
find that bidding in the SB converges to truthful demand revelation, and
therefore efficient allocations, with replication of the market period.
Ill. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
The Design
We conducted eight experimental sessions, each consisting of 20
periods. Four sessions (two with each auction) were run "by
hand" at a blackboard and four sessions (two with each auction)
were run on a computer network. In each session, exactly one of the
auctions was used. We used a crossover design, in which one group is
measured under treatment A and then measured under treatment B, and a
separate group is measured under B and then A. Four sessions started
with ten periods in which six bidders each had single-unit demand,
followed by ten periods in which three bidders each had two-unit demand,
thus keeping total demand constant at six units. In the other four
sessions, the order was reversed. Thus, subjects in the single-unit
demand auctions in periods 11-20 had already participated in 10 two-unit
demand auctions in periods 1-10 under the same auction rule (and
vice-versa.) A benefit of a crossover design is that the treatment
comparison is made within subjects. A disadvantage of a crossover design
is that earlier treatments may have an effect on later treatments.(8)
Supply and Demand
In the experiment there is a completely inelastic supply of four
homogeneous items to be allocated in each of the 20 periods of each
experimental session. Bidders' valuations in terms of the
experimental currency are independently drawn integers from the discrete
uniform distribution with support on the [1,1000] interval. In the
two-unit case, the valuations consist of two integers drawn
independently and ordered from higher to lower so that demand is
downward sloping. The same set of 120 valuations, six valuations for
each of the 20 periods, is used for each of the eight experimental
sessions. This yields identical market demand (the same six valuations)
in the period possessing the same period number in any session, allowing
us to use data with a common period number as paired observations from
different treatments. For example, period 17 in all eight sessions had
the same market demand so any differences across treatments in period 17
could not be attributed to a difference in market demand.
Information Structure
In order to prevent explicit collusion, which is assumed not to exist
in any of the theoretical models we have reviewed, communication between
subjects is not allowed during the experiment. It is common knowledge
that each subject knows his own valuations and the distribution from
which each player's valuations are drawn, but not the actual
valuations of his competitors. That is, an independent private-values
information structure is present. Furthermore, each subject knows how
many items there are for sale in any period, how many competitors he has
(two or five) and how many valuations each of them has on his valuation
sheet.
During the course of the session, additional information becomes
available. In the English clock sessions run by hand, at the beginning
of each period each subject's initial demand is posted on the
blackboard. During the period, whenever a bidder reduces her stated
quantity demanded, the price at which demand was reduced and the
identification number of the demander is posted. Therefore, throughout
the period, each subject knows the quantity demanded at the current
price by each demander. The above information remains posted for the
duration of the session.
In the sealed-bid sessions run by hand, at the end of the market
period the market price and the identification numbers of the bidders
who are awarded units are posted. The information remains posted for the
entire session. Subjects are not informed of the bids of other
participants, but are aware that the final price is the fourth highest
bid. In the computerized sessions of both auctions the above information
[TABULAR DATA FOR TABLE I OMITTED] is accessible to subjects on their
computer screens.(9)
Experimental Sessions
All sessions were conducted at the CREED laboratory at the University
of Amsterdam and all subjects were undergraduate economics and business
majors at the university. Subjects volunteered and were not allowed to
participate in more than one session in this series. Each subject
received a 10 guilder (1 Dutch guilder = 55 U.S. cents) fee for arriving
at the session. Subjects also received profits during each period equal
to the sum of their valuations for the units they purchased minus the
total amount they spent to acquire the units.(10) Sessions lasted about
75 minutes including instruction, two periods of practice, and 20
periods that counted toward subjects' earnings.
IV. RESULTS
Treatment Effects
Table I presents means and between-session standard deviations of
efficiency and revenue by treatment. The initial observation evident
from Table I, which we state as our first result, is that efficiencies
are very high in all sessions and treatments. The basis for
characterizing the efficiency as high is a comparison with the
efficiency of the allocations resulting from the simulated behavior of
"zero-intelligence" traders as described by Gode and Sunder [1993].(11)
TABLE II
Statistics on Deviations from Bayes-Nash Equilibrium Revenue
Session Periods Average Std. Dev. t-statistic
1 1-10 9.20 68.64 0.42
2 11-20 68.73 62.34 3.49
3 1-10 90.00 65.05 4.38
4 11-20 -0.07 101.50 -.002
RESULT 1. For all sessions and treatments the efficiency of
allocation is very high.
Support. In all sessions at least 75% of the periods and in all
treatments at least 80% of the periods attain 100% efficiency. For all
sessions average efficiency of allocation is close to 0.99. The
allocations resulting from the zero-intelligence simulated traders
mentioned above have an average efficiency of 0.923.
To check whether the differences in revenue across treatments evident
in Table I are statistically significant, we construct a statistical
model and perform appropriate tests. The analysis leads to the following
result.
RESULT 2. SB generates more revenue than EC under both single-unit
and two-unit demand. The EC generates more revenue under single-unit
than under two-unit demand. The revenue generated by SB is not
significantly different between single-unit and two-unit demand. Prior
experience in a different treatment can negate the differences between
treatments.
Support. A repeated-measures ANOVA was conducted on the difference
between the observed price and the competitive equilibrium price, which
equals the fifth highest valuation.(12) In periods 1-10, the type of
auction and the demand environment have significant effects on price at
the 1% and 10% levels respectively. However, the difference in revenue
between single-and two-unit demand is specific to EC and is not
significant for SB. In periods 11-20, there is no effect of mechanism or
environment on price. See Alsemgeest et al. [1995] for details.
Evaluating Equilibrium Predictions
In previous studies, in single-unit demand environments, the English
clock auction tends to generate the competitive equilibrium outcome,
which occurs if all demanders use their dominant strategy. In our
experiments (with the exception of one of the sessions to be discussed
below), we replicate this result.
RESULT 3. The English clock auction produces per-unit prices no
different from the 5th highest valuation, the competitive equilibrium
price, under single-unit demand.
Support. In 31 of the 40 market periods, the final price is less than
one price increment (10 units of the experimental currency) away from
the competitive equilibrium level.
There is no dominant strategy in SB, but in our single-unit demand
treatment, if all bidders are risk neutral, it is a symmetric Bayes-Nash
equilibrium for each demander to submit a bid equal to two-thirds of his
valuation. We find some evidence of bidding higher than the equilibrium
level in our single-unit demand treatment.
RESULT 4. The SB produces prices greater than the risk-neutral
Bayes-Nash equilibrium prediction under single-unit demand in two out of
four sessions. In the other two sessions prices do not differ from the
prediction.
Support. Table II contains the average deviations from the Bayes-Nash
equilibrium for each of the sessions in which SB was used.
[TABULAR DATA FOR TABLE III OMITTED]
In sessions 2 and 3 the mean is significantly higher than the
equilibrium prediction, whereas it is not significantly different from
the equilibrium prediction in sessions 1 and 4.
Individual Bidding Strategies
Sealed Bid Auction. Many possible strategy profiles can lead to
similar market prices. We therefore take a closer look at the strategies
used by bidders. For each bidder in the SB sessions we estimate simple
bidding equations. For the single-unit demand data, we estimate one
equation which requires the bidding strategy to be linear in the
valuation, but allows the strategy to have a non-zero intercept at
valuation 0. For the two-unit demand data, we estimate two linear
equations for each bidder, one with the higher bid made by the bidder
each period as the dependent variable and an analogous equation for the
lower bid. Each of these two components of the bidding strategy is
allowed to depend on both valuations and to have a non-zero intercept.
For the single-unit demand environment the linear specification
yields a simple test of the symmetric Bayes-Nash equilibrium, which
makes the prediction that the intercept equals zero, and the coefficient of valuation equals 2/3 for each subject. The average estimated strategy
is [B.sub.i]([v.sub.i]) = 25.73 + .77[v.sub.i]. Only four of the 24
bidders have estimated intercepts that are significantly different from
zero at the 5% level. For ten of the 24 bidders in the single-unit
demand treatment, the slope coefficient is not significantly different
from 2/3 at the 5% level. For 11 of the 24 bidders, the coefficient of
the valuation is greater and for the remaining three bidders is less
than 2/3 at the 5% level of significance.
In the two-unit demand treatment the estimated average bidding
strategies are [Mathematical Expression Omitted] and [Mathematical
Expression Omitted], where [Mathematical Expression Omitted] and
[Mathematical Expression Omitted] are demander i's higher and lower
bids respectively, and [Mathematical Expression Omitted] and
[Mathematical Expression Omitted] are his higher and lower valuations
respectively. Only one of 24 estimated intercept terms is significantly
different from zero. The higher valuation does not have a significant
effect on lower bids for any bidder, and the lower valuation has a
significant effect on the higher bid for only two out of 12 bidders. The
average coefficients of [Mathematical Expression Omitted] in the
[Mathematical Expression Omitted] equation and [Mathematical Expression
Omitted] in the [Mathematical Expression Omitted] equation in the
two-unit case and [v.sub.i] in the single-unit case are very close
together. Our two-unit demanders behaved like two separate single-unit
demanders.
English Clock. In the English clock auction, subjects could attempt
to influence prices by exiting the bidding process at prices below their
valuations, an action we refer to as underrevelation. Table III gives
the size of the average underrevelation (Avg. Und.) when it occurred,
the number of occurrences (Ocs.) of underrevelation, and the total
number of observations (Obs., total number of exits from the auction)
for each demand environment and treatment order.(13)
Underrevelation rarely occurs in the single-unit demand environment
except for during one session in which there were 11 observed
underrevelations by an average amount of - 124. There are at least three
reasonable interpretations of the data from this session. Because all
but one of the 11 underrevelations were for units with valuations of
less than 400, they may have been "throw away" bids, which are
demand reductions by bidders who view their probability of obtaining the
unit to be very low. A second possible explanation is that, because the
extensive underrevelation occurred in periods 11-20, it was due to a
hysteresis effect from the first 10 periods, in which the same subjects
were in the [EC.sub.2] treatment, in which there was a unilateral
incentive to underreveal. A third possible explanation is that it may
have been an effort to cooperate to lower price.(14)
As anticipated by theory, underrevelation occurs much more frequently
for the lower-valued units in the two-unit demand treatment than in the
single-unit demand treatment. However, subjects are much less likely to
underreveal demand in the two-unit demand environment if they have
participated in 10 periods of [EC.sub.1] already than if they have not.
In periods 1-10, underrevelation occurred in 30 out of 36 observations
on demanders' first exits in a period of [EC.sub.2], but in periods
11-20, in which [EC.sub.2] was always preceded by 10 periods of
[EC.sub.1], underrevelation occurred in nine of the 36 observations.
Hysteresis effects are also evident in the data in Table I. In the first
10 periods, every period of [EC.sub.1] resulted in an efficient
allocation and prices were very close to the equilibrium level, whereas
[EC.sub.2] resulted in an inefficient allocation 25% of the time and
lower prices than [EC.sub.1]. In contrast, in periods 11-20, the revenue
and the number of efficient periods from [EC.sub.1] and [EC.sub.2] are
very close to each other.
V. DISCUSSION
From the standpoint of efficiency, both auctions perform very well
under both types of demand. Both auctions generate high efficiency (86%
of the auctions led to the optimal allocation) and the welfare loss from
strategic behavior in the two-unit demand environment seems to be quite
small. Almost all possible gains from trade are realized. We are in
agreement with McCabe et al. [1990; 1991] who find that the English
clock auction generates highly efficient outcomes in their single-unit
demand environment.
The SB leads to higher revenues than the English clock under both
single-unit and two-unit demand. The higher revenue in the sealed-bid
auctions under single-unit demand is consistent with the presence of
risk aversion on the part of subjects, which would lead demanders to
make higher bids to try to increase their probability of winning at the
cost of lowering profit in the event of winning. Our single-unit demand
data provides another example of the violation of the assumptions of the
revenue equivalence theorem in addition to those documented by previous
studies.
In the English clock auction, single-unit demand leads to higher
revenue than two-unit demand. In the English clock single-unit demand
data, we generally observe the outcome resulting from the
dominant-strategy equilibrium-strategy profile. The dominant strategy in
this game seems to be transparent to subjects. In the two-unit demand
English clock, subjects who have not participated in single-unit demand
auctions seem to have little difficulty realizing their strategic
incentive to reduce their quantities demanded from two to one at prices
lower than their lower valuations, in order to lower the prices they pay
for the one unit they may yet receive.
We find evidence of widespread bidding higher than the risk-neutral
Bayes-Nash prediction in the sealed-bid auction. The subjects'
bidding strategies in the two-unit demand treatment are separable in the
sense that demanders' higher (lower) bids do not seem to depend on
their lower (higher) valuations. This separability is an intuitive
result. Underbidding is beneficial to a demander only in the event that
his bid is the fourth highest bid overall. Therefore, the incentive to
lower one's bid on the more highly valued unit should not depend on
the lower value, since the lower bid is not accepted when the higher bid
is the fourth highest. Likewise, if the lower bid is the fourth highest
overall, it means that the higher bid must be accepted, and thus there
is no reason that the lower bid should depend on the amount of the
higher valuation (but only on the fact that a higher bid exists). We
also find that the bidding behavior on the higher-valued unit was the
same in both the single-and the multi-unit demand treatments. The
existence of a second valuation (both for the demanders themselves and
on the part of other demanders) did not affect demanders'
strategies. Revenue did not differ significantly between single-and
two-unit demand for SB.
Subjects' prior experience can affect their behavior in
subsequent auctions. We see effects similar to those reported by Cox et
al. [1985]. They find that the uniform price auction with
highest-rejected-bid pricing generates more revenue than the
discriminative auction when it is first in the sequence of treatments.
Here we find that the revenue of the English clock under single-unit
demand exceeds that under two-unit demand for the first treatment in the
sequence but not for the second.
In the English clock, subjects had a strong tendency to reveal demand
in the single-unit demand environment. Moreover, when the multi-unit
demand treatment followed ten periods of single-unit demand, subjects in
the multi-unit demand treatment were much more likely to reveal demand
than when they did not have previous experience in the single-unit
demand treatment. The hysteresis effect is strong enough to offset the
difference in revenue between single-and multi-unit demand observed in
the first ten periods of the sessions, in which there are no hysteresis
effects. It may be the case that subjects can be conditioned to think in
terms of a particular game-theoretic solution concept (e.g. dominant
strategies) and that it may take some time to (perhaps subconsciously)
begin thinking in terms of another type of solution concept (e.g. Nash
equilibrium, rationalizable strategies).
Any inferences concerning the use of one of the two auctions analyzed here for particular problems in the field must take into account the
limitations of our study. Claims about the robustness of our results in
other multi-unit demand environments, and indeed for other parameters
within the same environment, must await further research. The extension
of game-theoretic modeling of auctions to multi-unit demand
environments, with their applicability to large classes of parameters,
can help to make the argument that experimental results such as ours
have wide applicability.
ABBREVIATIONS
EC: English clock SB: Sealed-bid pricing
Some of the material in this article is drawn from Paul
Alsemgeest's master's thesis (Doctoraalscriptie) from Erasmus
University, Rotterdam, the Netherlands, 1993. We are grateful to the
CREED laboratory for financial support and thank David Fahrner, John
Kagel, and three anonymous referees for comments.
1. Examples of the use of SB include markets for foreign exchange in
many countries. See Tenorio [1993] for an interesting analysis of
foreign exchange markets in Zambia. SB is also widely used for selling
government debt. Umlauf [1993] analyzes auctions for Mexican treasury
securities, in which SB is used. The U.S. Treasury uses uniform price
auctions with highest-rejected bid pricing, but each bid is for such a
large quantity that it is generally the case that the highest rejected
bid is the same as the lowest accepted bid. Bergsten et al. [1987]
report that in Australia import quotas are auctioned using SB.
2. If the quantity demanded becomes strictly less than the quantity
supplied, a tie-breaking rule is applied. Of the four sessions in which
the English clock was run, two were conducted by hand and two were
conducted by computer. In the two computerized sessions, the following
tie-breaking rule was used. Let K equal the number of units for sale and
let t indicate a round of the English clock auction. If at price
[p.sub.t+1], the quantity demanded, [[q.sup.d].sub.t+1], is strictly
less than the quantity supplied, K, the price is "backed up"
to the previous price of [p.sub.t]. The [[q.sup.d].sub.t+1] items are
then allocated to those who demanded items at [P.sub.t+1] and the
remaining K - [[q.sup.d].sub.t+1] items are allocated randomly at price
[p.sub.t] to those who demanded more items at [p.sub.t] than at
[p.sub.t+1].
In the sessions run by hand, the tie-breaking rule used is the
following: If there is excess supply at price [p.sub.t+1], the price is
reduced in small increments and subjects can voluntary increase their
quantity demanded up to their [p.sub.t] level. If total market quantity
demanded does not reach K before the price reaches [p.sub.t], subjects
who previously demanded more units at [p.sub.t] than at the current
iteration are randomly reallocated the units they dropped earlier until
market quantity demanded equals K units.
3. It is well known that theoretical results and intuition derived
from single-unit demand environments do not necessarily carry over to
multi-unit demand environments. Vickrey [1961], Wilson [1979], Hansen
[1988], Maskin and Riley [1992], Back and Zender [1993] and Ausubel and
Cramton [1996] have modeled auctions in environments in which demanders
have continuous preferences for a perfectly divisible good; others, such
as Bikchandani [1988], Tenorio [1994], and Noussair [1995] have analyzed
environments in which demanders have positive valuations for multiple
indivisible units of a good. None of these papers study the properties
of the auctions we use here in an environment with the same structure as
our laboratory environment.
4. See Ausubel and Cramton [1996] for an analysis of strategic demand
reduction in uniform-price auctions in the case of continuous demand for
a divisible good. As an illustration of demand reduction, consider the
very simple situation in which there are two bidders and two units to be
sold. Suppose that Bidder I has a valuation of 10 per-unit for obtaining
up to two units and 0 for obtaining additional units and Bidder 2 draws
a valuation v for obtaining up to one unit where P(v = 1) = P(v = 9) =
1/2. Bidder 1 knows the distribution of v and also knows that Bidder 2
has a positive valuation for exactly one unit. Suppose that ties are
broken in Bidder 1's favor. Bidder 2 has a dominant strategy of
dropping out of the bidding when the price reaches her valuation. Bidder
1's strategy is a number s such that he continues to demand two
units until the price reaches s: he demands only one unit for all prices
between s and 10, and demands zero units at prices greater than 10. It
is clear upon reflection that there are only two candidates for Bidder
1's optimal strategy, s = 1 and s = 9. Consider the strategy s = 9.
If v = 9, he purchases two units at price 9; if v = 1, he purchases two
units at price 1. His expected profit is .5(2 + 18) = 10. Suppose he
uses strategy s = 1. If v = 9, he purchases one unit at price 1; if v =
1, he purchases two units at price 1. His expected profit is .5(9 + 18)
= 13.5. If Bidder 2's valuation is 9, the final allocation, in
which each bidder obtains one unit, is suboptimal. In the optimal
allocation Bidder 1 would obtain both units.
5. Ties for the Kth highest bid are broken by randomly allocating the
unit(s) to the tied bidders with equal probability.
6. When there is a single unit to be sold, experimental evidence
documents several violations of the revenue equivalence theorem. See,
for example, Coppinger et al. [1980] or Kagel and Levin [1993].
7. Smith [1967] and Belovicz [1979] also compare the SB and the
discriminative auction. Both study environments where the auction is for
a security which has a common value to all bidders and therefore the
independent private-values structure is not present. Smith finds that
the difference in revenue of the two auctions depends on the amount of
excess demand. When there is a large amount of excess demand, SB
generates more revenue, and when there is a small amount of excess
demand the discriminative auction generates more revenue. Belovicz finds
that greater excess demand leads to higher prices in SB under
single-unit demand but not under multi-unit demand. Burns [1985]
compares revenue in multi-unit English auctions, in which the items are
auctioned sequentially, one by one, under single-and multi-unit demand
and finds that revenue is higher under multi-unit demand than under
single-unit demand. In her design, there is an incentive to wait until
later auctions when there may be an opportunity to satisfy demand at a
lower price. The waiting carries a higher opportunity cost for
multi-unit demanders, which may make them less likely to underbid.
8. In the sessions in which the single-unit demand treatment with six
subjects was run first, three subjects were chosen randomly after the
tenth period to participate in the two-unit demand treatment and the
rest were paid and allowed to leave. In the sessions in which the
two-unit demand treatment was first and the experiment was run by hand,
three subjects were chosen randomly to participate in the first ten
periods. The other three observed the auctions and were paid the average
of the three bidders' earnings. In the sessions in which the
two-unit demand treatment was first and the sessions were run by
computer, the subjects were divided into two groups of three and two
separate auctions were run. However, because of a computer programming
error, the data were only kept for one of the two groups. The error
caused the data from one of the groups to overwrite the data generated
by the other group for the entire 10 periods. Since the two groups of
subjects were drawn from the same population, there is no reason to
suppose that any biasing of the data occurred because of the error.
9. In the sessions that were run by computer, in both auctions,
bidders did not know the identification numbers of the bidders who
performed any of the actions they observed during the course of the
session. Otherwise the information available to subjects was the same in
the computerized sessions as in the sessions run by hand. In the
computerized English clock, they knew the market quantity demanded at
each price and could access the data from previous periods. In the
computerized SB sessions, they could observe the history of market
prices and how many units they won in previous periods.
10. In the single-unit demand treatments 250 units of the
experimental currency corresponded to 1 U.S. dollar. In the two-unit
demand treatment, the conversion rate was 600 to 1. The different
conversion rates for the single-unit and two-unit demand treatments were
intended to equalize the expected payoff to subjects across treatments.
Since subjects can purchase more units and there were theoretical
reasons to expect prices to be lower in the two-unit demand environment,
the different conversion rates were expected to offset the greater
profit in terms of the experimental currency in the two-unit demand
environment.
11. The zero-intelligence efficiency estimates for each period were
generated by drawing six random bids, one bid assigned to each of the
six valuations drawn that period. Each random bid was drawn from a
uniform distribution with a lower bound of zero and an upper bound of
the assigned valuation. The efficiencies were computed by taking the sum
of the valuations assigned to the four highest bids and dividing by the
four highest valuations. This algorithm was repeated 4,000 times for
each period to obtain a distribution of efficiencies for the period. The
average, standard deviation, and probability of 100% efficiency for a
period were calculated from these distributions. The mean efficiency
(average over all 20 periods) for an auction composed of ZI traders is
.923 with a standard deviation of .02. The highest mean efficiency for
any period was for period 11, in which there are valuations of 19 and
22. The lowest mean efficiency was .888 for period 20. The overall
probability that ZI traders attain 100% efficiency is .411. The
probability is lowest in period nine (.171) and highest in period 11
(.840).
12. This transformation is made to normalize for variations in the
competitive equilibrium price between periods resulting from random
variations in the valuations drawn by demanders.
13. For the multi-unit demand treatment, the observation is
attributed to the Lower Valuation (LV) if it is the first exit by the
bidder in the period, and the Higher Valuation (HV) if it is the second
exit by the bidder.
14. Cox et al. [1984] identify a region of the (N,K) parameter space in which bidding behavior in single-unit demand discriminative auctions
is consistent with violations of the hypothesis of noncooperative
behavior. The region includes the parameters in our study. The 11
underrevelations did occur in a session run by hand in which
participants were visible to each other, the conditions under which it
is probably easiest for subjects to behave cooperatively, since subjects
can observe the identity of those performing actions.
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Alsemgeest: Erasmus University, Stadthoudersweg, Rotterdam, The
Netherlands, Phone 31-10-466-1124 E-mail palsemgee@gend.nl
Noussair: Assistant Professor, Department of Economics Krannert
School of Management, Purdue University West Lafayette, Ind., Phone
1-765-494-4416 Fax 1-765-494-9658 E-mail noussair@mgmt.purdue.edu
Olson: Assistant Professor, Department of Economics Krannert, School
of Management, Purdue University West Lafayette, Ind., Phone
1-765-494-4416 Fax 1-765-494-9658 E-mail molson@mgmt.purdue.edu