The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate.
The Revenge of Geography: What the Map Tells Us About Coming
Conflicts and the Battle Against Fate, Robert D. Kaplan (New York:
Random House, 2012), 432 pp., $28 cloth.
"Suddenly," observes Robert D. Kaplan, "we were in a
world in which the dismantling of a man-made boundary in Germany had led
to the assumption that all human divisions were surmountable" (P.
3). Following the triumph of the West in the cold war, many, including
Kaplan, believed that human agency and its various constructs--including
human rights, free markets, democracy, science and technology, and even
humanitarian intervention --would emerge as the single most important
force in shaping world events and would lead to freedom and prosperity
across the globe. But the years since the fall of the Berlin Wall,
Kaplan says, have revealed a much darker reality: while many societies
have indeed become more democratic and prosperous, this often occurred
on the heels of bloody civil wars and periods of mass murder, among
other atrocities. The horror of the Rwandan genocide offers a case in
point. Where did our understanding go wrong?
As The Revenge of Geography explains, we ignored the "realist
dictum.., that the legacies of geography, history, and culture ... set
limits on what can be accomplished in any given place" (p. 23).
This lesson, of course, is familiar from the "illusion-free
insights" of Thucydides, and perhaps most notably from the work of
Hans Morgenthau, who in Politics Among Nations cautions that "to
improve the world" we must understand and "work with the
forces [of human nature], not against them" (p. 24, quoted by
Kaplan). Drawing on this insight, The Revenge of Geography conveys a
similar message: while human agency certainly matters for shaping the
course of world events, it operates from within certain constraints,
which above all else are dictated by geography.
Kaplan explores the insights and perspectives of "geographers
and geopolitical thinkers of an earlier era" (p. xxii), among whom
were Sir Halford J. Mackinder, who argued that the fate of great empires
rests on control of the Eurasian "Heartland"; Nicholas J.
Spykman, who contended that the "Rimland," not the Heartland,
held the key to world power; and Alfred Thayer Mahan, who maintained
that maritime power projected across the Indian and Pacific oceans
constitutes the fulcrum on which geopolitical fate rests. Drawing upon
his extensive travels to appraise and augment the work of these and
other thinkers, Kaplan weaves together a rich tapestry of insights to
examine the ways in which the contours of the map will shape the
geopolitical futures of the European Union, Russia, China, India, Iran,
and the United States.
The take away from The Revenge of Geography is best summed up as
follows: "Even if we can send satellites into the outer solar
system--and even as financial markets and cyberspace know no
boundaries--the Hindu Kush still constitutes a formidable barrier"
(p. xxii).
doi: 10.1017/S0892679412000822