期刊名称:Discussion Paper Series / Universität Heidelberg, Department of Economics
出版年度:2016
出版社:Universität Heidelberg, Department of Economics
摘要:We examine the statistical properties of multiplicative GARCH models. First, we show that in multiplicative models, returns have higher kurtosis and squared re- turns have a more persistent autocorrelation function than in the nested GARCH model. Second, we extend the results of Andersen and Bollerslev (1998) on the upper bound of the R 2 in a Mincer-Zarnowitz regression to the case of a mul- tiplicative GARCH model, using squared returns as a proxy for the true but unobservable conditional variance. Our theoretical results imply that multiplica- tive GARCH models provide an explanation for stylized facts that cannot be captured by classical GARCH modeling