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  • 标题:On the statistical properties of multiplicative GARCH models
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Christian Conrad ; Onno Kleen
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Paper Series / Universität Heidelberg, Department of Economics
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 出版社:Universität Heidelberg, Department of Economics
  • 摘要:We examine the statistical properties of multiplicative GARCH models. First, we show that in multiplicative models, returns have higher kurtosis and squared re- turns have a more persistent autocorrelation function than in the nested GARCH model. Second, we extend the results of Andersen and Bollerslev (1998) on the upper bound of the R 2 in a Mincer-Zarnowitz regression to the case of a mul- tiplicative GARCH model, using squared returns as a proxy for the true but unobservable conditional variance. Our theoretical results imply that multiplica- tive GARCH models provide an explanation for stylized facts that cannot be captured by classical GARCH modeling
  • 关键词:Forecast evaluation; GARCH-MIDAS; Mincer-Zarnowitz regression; ; volatility persistence; volatility component model; long-term volatility
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