期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
电子版ISSN:1830-3439
出版年度:2016
出版社:European Central Bank
摘要:We study correlations between the risk-free rate and sovereign yields of ten euro area countriesusing smooth transition conditional correlation GARCH (STCC-GARCH) specifications,controlling for credit risk in mean and variance equations and conditioning non-linearlyto liquidity risk. Correlations are state-dependent and heterogeneous across jurisdictions.Using panel vector autoregression models, we identify the macro factors influencing the correlations:interbank credit risk, the Greek crisis, and break-up risk. We show that theEuropean Central Bank’s asset purchase programmes helped restore the pass-through relationship.We also make a methodological contribution by estimating all STCC-GARCHparameters at once and introducing an STCC-GARCHX
关键词:Monetary Policy; Government Bonds; Smooth Transition Models; Euro Area