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  • 标题:Forecasting on Ecological Security of Zhalong Wetland Nature Reserve based on Gray Theory
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Yuqi Wang ; Dongke Lv ; Zhenglin Sun
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Security and Its Applications
  • 印刷版ISSN:1738-9976
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:10
  • 期号:8
  • 页码:93-102
  • 出版社:SERSC
  • 摘要:Based on field survey data and statistics of Zhalong wetland natural reserve, gray correlation model was used to comprehensively analyze and forecast ecological security of zhalong. According to “Response -Pressure - State" model, a eco-security assessment system was built which contains 32 indictors such as human activities, regional development index, etc. The results showed that: Zhalong Wetland ecological security index varied from 0.6852-0.7951 from 2015-2022. The index of ecological security alternated "safer" from "early warning". Upward trend of ecological security benefited from implementation of policies from the response subsystem.
  • 关键词:ecological security; Zhalong wetland; gray theory
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