期刊名称：Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi
印刷版ISSN：1302-3284
电子版ISSN：1308-0911
出版年度：2015
卷号：17
期号：3
页码：291-302
语种：English
出版社：Dokuz Eylul Univeristy
摘要：Exponential smoothing is a very popular forecasting method for a wide range of time series data. There are two problems with exponential smoothing. First one is choosing smoothing constant. And second one is how to get initial value. In this paper importance of initial value and effects of it on the forecast is investigated and a cross table is constructed to help forecasters. Keywords: Exponential Smoothing, Simple Exponential Smoothing, Initial Value.
