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  • 标题:Delphi Survey of Needs for On-Farm Research: Forecasting Changes in a Farm Organization
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Elena Yu. Polush ; Nancy Grudens-Schuck ; Derrick N. Exner
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Extension
  • 印刷版ISSN:0022-0140
  • 电子版ISSN:1077-5315
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:54
  • 期号:3
  • 出版社:Journal of Extension, Inc.
  • 摘要:The forecasting abilities of Delphi technique worked well when a farmer organization wanted to predict on-farm research topics for its farmer membership. This article provides evidence—after 10 years—that Delphi successfully predicted ideas for research that lasted long into the future, including a compelling unanticipated result that changed the face of the organization. Would you want to use a research tool that was this powerful in organizational settings? This article contains details about setting up, conducting, and interpreting the Delphi.
  • 关键词:farmer-centered research ; forecasting ; horticulture ; needs assessment ; sustainable agriculture
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