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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Forecasting Energy Market Contracts by Ambit Processes: Empirical Study and Numerical Results
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Luca Di Persio ; Michele Marchesan
  • 期刊名称:ISRN Probability and Statistics
  • 电子版ISSN:2090-472X
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:2014
  • DOI:10.1155/2014/879892
  • 出版社:Hindawi Publishing Corporation
  • 摘要:In the present paper we exploit the theory of ambit processes to develop a model which is able to effectively forecast prices of forward contracts written on the Italian energy market. Both short-term and medium-term scenarios are considered and proper calibration procedures as well as related numerical results are provided showing a high grade of accuracy in the obtained approximations when compared with empirical time series of interest.
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