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  • 标题:Does Causal Relationships Exist between External Trade and Foreign Direct Investment Flow to Agriculture in Ghana?
  • 作者:Justice Gameli Djokoto
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Business and Management
  • 印刷版ISSN:1833-3850
  • 电子版ISSN:1833-8119
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:179
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:The paper investigated the short-run and long-run relationship between external merchandise Agricultural trade and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows into the Agricultural sector of Ghana. The study employed Granger’s instantaneous causality to assess the short-run relationship and feedback model to investigate the long-run relationships. Following the existence of unit-roots for the variables as well as cointegration, the Toda-Yamamoto procedure was followed for the estimation of the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models. In the short-run, the coefficient for FDI inflows and imports were statistically significant. The negative sign pointed to a substitution or replacing relationship between the two variables. The coefficients between exports and FDI though negative, were not statistically significant. In the long-run, there was a feedback between imports and FDI. Exports caused FDI but not the reverse. Notwithstanding the transitory substitution effect of imports and FDI, in the long-run, imports and FDI complemented each other. Trade and FDI promotion should be pursued together.
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