期刊名称：Journal of Theoretical and Applied Information Technology
印刷版ISSN：1992-8645
电子版ISSN：1817-3195
出版年度：2013
卷号：49
期号：2
出版社：Journal of Theoretical and Applied
摘要：As the allocation of emergency materials in emergency response stage is an irreversible decision and the disaster information is continuously observed and updated, this paper brings the determination of decision-making time and the formulation of decision scheme into a systematic framework, builds the Bayes sequential decision model for the multiple rescue points selection problem, thus making the total loss of the affected point be the minimum and the response time be the shortest. Through simulation, this paper analyzes the relation among relevant parameters including prior mean value of disaster information, prior standard deviation of disaster information, observation standard deviation of disaster information, maximum observation frequency and total expected decision loss.
关键词：Allocation Of Emergency Material; Rescue Point Selection; Disaster Information Uptade; Irreversible Decision; Bayes Sequential Decision
