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  • 标题:Social, Environmental, and Health Vulnerability to Climate Change: The Case of the Municipalities of Minas Gerais, Brazil
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Ana Flávia Quintão ; Isabela Brito ; Frederico Oliveira
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Environmental and Public Health
  • 印刷版ISSN:1687-9805
  • 电子版ISSN:1687-9813
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:2017
  • DOI:10.1155/2017/2821343
  • 出版社:Hindawi Publishing Corporation
  • 摘要:Vulnerability to climate change is a complex and dynamic phenomenon involving both social and physical/environmental aspects. It is presented as a method for the quantification of the vulnerability of all municipalities of Minas Gerais, a state in southeastern Brazil. It is based on the aggregation of different kinds of environmental, climatic, social, institutional, and epidemiological variables, to form a composite index. This was named “Index of Human Vulnerability” and was calculated using a software (SisVuClima®) specifically developed for this purpose. Social, environmental, and health data were combined with the climatic scenarios RCP 4.5 and 8.5, downscaled from ETA-HadGEM2-ES for each municipality. The Index of Human Vulnerability associated with the RCP 8.5 has shown a higher vulnerability for municipalities in the southern and eastern parts of the state of Minas Gerais.
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