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  • 标题:Public debt sustainability in Serbia before and during the global financial crisis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Andrić, Vladimir ; Arsić, Milojko ; Nojković, Aleksandra
  • 期刊名称:Economic annals
  • 印刷版ISSN:0013-3264
  • 电子版ISSN:1820-7375
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:61
  • 期号:210
  • 页码:47-77
  • DOI:10.2298/EKA1610047A
  • 出版社:Faculty of Economics, Belgrade
  • 摘要:We have analyzed the behaviour of primary fiscal balance and public debt in Serbia before and in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. The results of our analysis are: i) public debt to GDP ratioexhibits (near) unit root behaviour with an overall upward time trend; ii) the response of primary fiscal balance to public debt has been insufficient to mean revert the upward trend in government debt; iii) the efforts of the Serbian government to repay the debt principal after the fiscal rule breach have not been persistent, providing empirical support to the fiscal fatigue hypothesis; iv) the government budget constraint has deteriorated since the beginning of the global financial crisis; v) the response of primary fiscal balance to public debt from the onset of the global financial crisis has dropped more severely in comparison to other European economies.
  • 关键词:Serbia; unit root tests; fiscal reaction functions; global financial crisis
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