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  • 标题:The Effectiveness of the Elliott Waves Theory to Forecast Financial Markets: Evidence from the Currency Market
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Eugenio D’Angelo ; Giulio Grimaldi
  • 期刊名称:International Business Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:1913-9004
  • 电子版ISSN:1913-9012
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:10
  • 期号:6
  • 页码:1
  • DOI:10.5539/ibr.v10n6p1
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:

    The purpose of this paper is to investigate the capability of a technical analysis to be used as a valuable tool in forecasting financial markets. After discussing the primary theoretical and methodological differences that oppose the fundamental analysis and technical analysis and introducing the Elliott waves theory, the paper focuses on the results obtained after applying this method to the currency market. The results show that during the period from 2009-2015, the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and euro could be forecasted with great accuracy. A potential future pattern is also proposed for the exchange rate beginning in March 2017. The research confirmed the usefulness of Elliott’s model for predicting currency markets, and the effectiveness of the fundamental analysis theories generally adopted for academic studies was evaluated.

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