期刊名称：Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
印刷版ISSN：1460-7425
出版年度：2012
卷号：15
期号：2
页码：1-15
DOI：10.18564/jasss.1935
出版社：University of Surrey, Department of Sociology
摘要：This paper identifies possible pitfalls of simulation modeling and suggests ways to prevent them. First, we specify five typical pitfalls that are associated with the process of applying simulation models and characterize the "logic of failure" ( Dörner 1996 ) behind the pitfalls. Then, we illustrate important aspects of these pitfalls using examples from applying simulation modeling to military and managerial decision making and present possible solutions to them. Finally, we discuss how our suggestions for avoiding them relate to current methodological discussions found in the social simulation community.
关键词：Logic of Failure; Management; Methodology; Military; Pitfalls; Simulation Models
