期刊名称：Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
印刷版ISSN：1460-7425
出版年度：2017
卷号：20
期号：3
页码：1-18
DOI：10.18564/jasss.3395
出版社：University of Surrey, Department of Sociology
摘要：This paper describes a model for raising the decision-makers' awareness of the real (irrational and subjective) behaviours of the population in crisis situations. We analyse residents' statements and police hearings gathered after Victoria Black Saturday bushfires in 2009 to deduce a model of human behaviour based on the distinction between objective (capabilities, danger) and subjective (confidence, risk aversion) attributes, and on individual motivations. We evaluate it against observed behaviour archetypes and statistics, and show its explicative value.
关键词：Human Behaviour Modelling; Agent-Based Social Simulation; Crisis Management
