期刊名称：Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development
印刷版ISSN：2222-2855
电子版ISSN：2222-2855
出版年度：2012
卷号：3
期号：12
页码：9-17
语种：English
出版社：The International Institute for Science, Technology and Education (IISTE)
摘要：The study analyzed the major determinants of inflation in Bangladesh using data for the period from 1978 to 2010. The study employed Johansen-Juselius cointegration methodology to test for the existence of a long run relationship between the variables. The cointegrating regression considers only the long-run property of the model, and does not deal with the short-run dynamics explicitly. For this, the error correction from the long run determinants of inflation is then used as a dynamic model to estimate the short run determinants of inflation. The study concluded that the GDP, broad money, government expenditure and import have a positive effect on the inflation in long run. On the other hand, government revenue and export have a negative effect. The government expenditure coefficient is 0.466 and the money supply coefficient is 0.337, implying a one percent increase in government expenditure and one percent increase in money supply elicit 0.466% and 0.337% increase in inflation respectively. In the short-run money supply has been found to be major factor influencing inflation in the country.
