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  • 标题:Procyclical Fiscal Policy: Is OPEC an exception?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Aziz Arman Mahvash Moradi
  • 期刊名称:European Journal of Business and Management
  • 印刷版ISSN:2222-2839
  • 电子版ISSN:2222-2839
  • 出版年度:2015
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:22
  • 页码:129-134
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:The International Institute for Science, Technology and Education (IISTE)
  • 摘要:International empirical evidence shows that fiscal policy in developing countries is largely procyclical, opposite to what is held by neo-classical and Keynesian theories and to the cyclical behavior of fiscal policy in G-7 countries. This paper examines the cyclicality of fiscal behavior in 12 developing countries of OPEC during 1990–2009. After testing fiscal measure - government expenditure - and correcting for reverse causality between non-oil output and fiscal variables, the results suggest that fiscal variable is strongly procyclical in the full sample. From the results, it can be interpreted that fiscal behavior is more procyclical when the bureaucracy quality, the constraints on the executive and political competition are low.
  • 关键词:Fiscal Policy; OPEC countries; government expenditure; GMM JEL E32; H30; E02; E62
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