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  • 标题:SIR Model of Spread of Zika Virus Infections: ZIKV Linked to Microcephaly Simulations
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Isack E. Kibona ; Cuihong Yang
  • 期刊名称:Health
  • 印刷版ISSN:1949-4998
  • 电子版ISSN:1949-5005
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:09
  • 期号:08
  • 页码:1190-1210
  • DOI:10.4236/health.2017.98086
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:An SIR model of Zika virus (ZIKV) spread is formulated that includes ZIKV infections to newborns. Analytically, the model has one disease free and one endemic equilibrium point. The free one is stable for some conditions when R 0 and unstable when R 0>1. In Brazil, when R 0≈2>1 ZIKV infections expand and for R 0 = 0.875 R 0) of the model. There are parameters for human-mosquito transmission and some for sexual-transmission factor. It appears that controlling spread of ZIKV infections by human-mosquito transmission may greatly reduce the value of R 0.
  • 关键词:ZIKV;SIR Model;Microcephaly;Stability Analysis;Simulations
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