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  • 标题:Analysis of Ozone Behaviour in the City of Puebla-Mexico Using Non-Homogeneous Poisson Models with Multiple Change-Points
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Juan Antonio Cruz-Juárez ; Hortensia Reyes-Cervantes ; Eliane R. Rodrigues
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Environmental Protection
  • 印刷版ISSN:2152-2197
  • 电子版ISSN:2152-2219
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:07
  • 期号:12
  • 页码:1886-1903
  • DOI:10.4236/jep.2016.712149
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:In this work, some non-homogeneous Poisson models are considered to study the behaviour of ozone in the city of Puebla, Mexico. Several functions are used as the rate function for the non-homogeneous Poisson process. In addition to their dependence on time, these rate functions also depend on some parameters that need to be estimated. In order to estimate them, a Bayesian approach will be taken. The expressions for the distributions of the parameters involved in the models are very complex. Therefore, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to estimate them. The methodology is applied to the ozone data from the city of Puebla, Mexico.
  • 关键词:Non-Homogeneous Poisson Model;Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods;Bayesian Inference;Ozone Air Pollution;City of Puebla
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