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文章基本信息

  • 标题:The Impact of Terrorist Attacks on Foreign Exchange Rate: Case Study of Turkish Lira versus Pound Sterling
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Maitah, Mansoor ; Mustofa, Jehar ; Ugur, Gok
  • 期刊名称:Economies
  • 印刷版ISSN:2227-7099
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1-8
  • 出版社:MDPI, Open Access Journal
  • 摘要:In this study, the impact of terrorist attacks on exchange rate is estimated. Particularly, the study focuses on terrorist attacks in Turkey and its implication on Turkish lira versus pound sterling exchange rate. In order to find the causal effect, the study employed Autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) bound testing approach as an estimation technique. Accordingly, the analysis reveals that a terrorist attack has a negative impact on the exchange rate in both the short-run and long-run. However, the negative effect of terrorism tends to be small in both the short-run and long-run. More precisely, terrorist attacks depreciate the exchange rate between Turkish lira and pound sterling by approximately 0.024% in the next trading day. The long-term effect also shows that a terrorist attack depreciates the exchange rate on average by 0.0706%.
  • 关键词:terrorism; exchange rate; ARDL; error correction; JEL Classification: B23; D74; F31
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