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  • 标题:わが国国債先物市場の効率性 : ティック・データによる検証
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:釜江 廣志 ; 皆木 健男
  • 期刊名称:生活経済学研究
  • 印刷版ISSN:1341-7347
  • 电子版ISSN:2424-1288
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:20
  • 页码:21-43
  • DOI:10.18961/seikatsukeizaigaku.20.0_21
  • 语种:Japanese
  • 出版社:生活経済学会
  • 摘要:

    We analyze the efficiency and structure of the JGB futures market by examining how macroeconomic announcements influence the rate of return and the volatility by using tick data. By using the third function and FFF approach, the influence lasts three hours after the announcements. The JGB futures market is not efficient, if we take OLS's result into consideration. The influence of macroeconomic announcements to volatility is also analyzed with GARCH model in this study, and an analysis of the non-symmetry of volatility is done through GJR model. Our results show it takes more than one hour to return for volatility to the half level. So, we cannot consider JGB future market to be efficient. GJR shows that volatility is not symmetrical.

  • 关键词:ティック・データ;マクロ経済アナウンスメント;ボラティリティ;市場の効率性;GARCHモデル;GJRモデル;tick data;macroeconomic announcements;volatility;market efficiency;FFF(Fourie flexible form)
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