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  • 标题:THE GROSSER ALETSCHGLETSCHER DYNAMICS: FROM A “MINIMAL MODEL” TO A STOCHASTIC EQUATION
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Alexander V. Kislov ; Polina A. Morozova
  • 期刊名称:Geography, Environment, Sustainability
  • 印刷版ISSN:2071-9388
  • 电子版ISSN:2542-1565
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:9
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:21-27
  • DOI:10.15356/2071-9388_01v09_2016_02
  • 出版社:Lomonosov Moscow State University
  • 摘要:Mountain glaciers manifest oscillations at different time-scales. Apart from synchronous reaction to lasting changes, there is asynchronism between climatic forcing and observed anomalies of the glaciers. Based on general theories on the laws of temporal dynamics relating to massive inertial objects, the observed interannual changes of glacier length could result from the accumulation of small anomalies in the heat/water fluxes. Despite the fact that the original model of the dynamics of mountain glaciers is deterministically based on the physical law of conservation of water mass, the model of length change is interpreted as stochastic; from this perspective, it is the Langevin equation that incorporates the action of temperature anomalies and precipitation like random white noise. The process is analogous to Brownian motion. Under these conditions, the Grosser Aletschgletscher (selected as an example) is represented by a system undergoing a random walk. It was shown that the possible range of variability covers the observed interval of length fluctuations.
  • 其他摘要:Mountain glaciers manifest oscillations at different time-scales. Apart from synchronous reaction to lasting changes, there is asynchronism between climatic forcing and observed anomalies of the glaciers. Based on general theories on the laws of temporal dynamics relating to massive inertial objects, the observed interannual changes of glacier length could result from the accumulation of small anomalies in the heat/water fluxes. Despite the fact that the original model of the dynamics of mountain glaciers is deterministically based on the physical law of conservation of water mass, the model of length change is interpreted as stochastic; from this perspective, it is the Langevin equation that incorporates the action of temperature anomalies and precipitation like random white noise. The process is analogous to Brownian motion. Under these conditions, the Grosser Aletschgletscher (selected as an example) is represented by a system undergoing a random walk. It was shown that the possible range of variability covers the observed interval of length fluctuations.
  • 关键词:glacier dynamics;climate change;the Grosser Aletschgletscher;the Langevin equation
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