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  • 标题:MOTORCYCLE CRASH PREDICTION MODEL FOR NON-SIGNALIZED INTERSECTIONS
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:S. HARNEN ; S.V. WONG ; R.S. RADIN UMAR
  • 期刊名称:IATSS Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:0386-1112
  • 出版年度:2003
  • 卷号:27
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:58-65
  • DOI:10.1016/S0386-1112(14)60144-8
  • 出版社:Elsevier
  • 摘要:This paper attempts to develop a prediction model for motorcycle crashes at non-signalized intersections on urban roads in Malaysia. The Generalized Linear Modeling approach was used to develop the model. The final model revealed that an increase in motorcycle and non-motorcycle flows entering an intersection is associated with an increase in motorcycle crashes. Non-motorcycle flow on major road had the greatest effect on the probability of motorcycle crashes. Approach speed, lane width, number of lanes, shoulder width and land use were also found to be significant in explaining motorcycle crashes. The model should assist traffic engineers to decide the need for appropriate intersection treatment that specifically designed for non-exclusive motorcycle lane facilities.
  • 关键词:Generalized Linear Modeling ; Motorcycle crashes ; Intersection crashes ; Motorcycle crash model ; Intersection treatment criteria
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