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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Full length article A comparison of fiscal rules for resource-rich economies ☆
  • 作者:Roberto Iacono
  • 期刊名称:Economic Analysis and Policy
  • 印刷版ISSN:0313-5926
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:55
  • 页码:179-193
  • DOI:10.1016/j.eap.2017.05.004
  • 出版社:Elsevier B.V.
  • 摘要:

    This paper produces a normative evaluation of fiscal rules for a resource-rich economy. Ad hoc fiscal rules might imply substantial welfare costs; the goal is to analyze the magnitude of these costs by quantitatively evaluating the relative welfare sub-optimality of these rules. I posit a closed form solution for the infinite horizon consumption problem of the planner of a resource-rich economy with resource price uncertainty and precautionary saving. The model is subsequently calibrated and simulated to provide a welfare-based comparison between the fiscal rules based on the Permanent Income Hypothesis and on the ad hoc Bird-in-Hand policy. The results of the simulation indicate the presence of a positive and substantial welfare loss suffered from switching to the Bird-in-Hand rule. This result is shown to be robust under different parameterizations.

  • 关键词:Exhaustible resources ; Precautionary saving ; Fiscal rules
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