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  • 标题:A forecasting model for power consumption of high energy-consuming industries based on system dynamics
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Zongchuan Zhou ; Dongsheng Dang ; Caijuan Qi
  • 期刊名称:IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
  • 印刷版ISSN:1755-1307
  • 电子版ISSN:1755-1315
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:121
  • 期号:5
  • 页码:052030
  • DOI:10.1088/1755-1315/121/5/052030
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:IOP Publishing
  • 摘要:It is of great significance to make accurate forecasting for the power consumption of high energy-consuming industries. A forecasting model for power consumption of high energy-consuming industries based on system dynamics is proposed in this paper. First, several factors that have influence on the development of high energy-consuming industries in recent years are carefully dissected. Next, by analysing the relationship between each factor and power consumption, the system dynamics flow diagram and equations are set up to reflect the relevant relationships among variables. In the end, the validity of the model is verified by forecasting the power consumption of electrolytic aluminium industry in Ningxia according to the proposed model.
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