期刊名称：Scientific Annals of the “Alexandru Ioan Cuza” University of Iasi – Economic Sciences Series
印刷版ISSN：2501-1960
电子版ISSN：2501-3165
出版年度：2018
卷号：65
期号：1
DOI：10.2478/saeb-2018-0006
语种：
出版社：Sciendo
摘要：European interest rates movements are affected by various internal and external factors. This paper studies the link between European and American short- and long-term interest rates. In particular, we consider the forward interest rates coming from euro and dollar IRS term structures. The econometric techniques employed are co-integration, Granger-causality, OLS and GMM. Our results indicate that European remote settlement forward and long-term interest rates are primarily driven by US rates and confirm that the causality acts mainly from the US to the Eurozone. This was true even during the recent periods of European Central Bank quantitative easing. These factors weaken the ECB’s ability to intervene. In fact, we found the impact of American monetary policy on long-term interest rates to be also relevant for European bonds.
关键词：fforward interest rates;euro and dollar;cointegration;causality;dynamic.
