摘要:The present study is an attempt to explore the impact of social, economic andpolitical factors and the event of 9/11 on crimes in Pakistan for the period1984-2013. Three models have been estimated for political, economic andsocial factors separately. The political factors like corruption, law and order,9/11 event, have been found to increase crimes, whereas government stabilityreduces the crimes. The economic factors such as poverty increase crimeswhereas foreign remittances and external debt reduce crimes. In social factorshuman rights, human capital, income inequality and population densityincrease crimes. In short run, error correction terms indicate that there isconvergence towards the equilibrium in all the models in case of any shock.Various diagnostic tests have been applied to confirm the reliability of resultswhich indicate that there is no problem of autocorrelation andheteroscedasticity in the models. The study suggests that in order to mitigatecriminal activities policy makers should focus on political, social and economicproblems faced by Pakistan.
关键词:Law and order; Human rights; Government stability; ARDL; Socioeconomic;and political factors