首页    期刊浏览 2024年10月06日 星期日
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Floodplains and Complex Adaptive Systems—Perspectives on Connecting the Dots in Flood Risk Assessment with Coupled Component Models
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Andreas Paul Zischg
  • 期刊名称:Systems
  • 电子版ISSN:2079-8954
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:9
  • DOI:10.3390/systems6020009
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:MDPI Publishing
  • 摘要:Floodplains, as seen from the flood risk management perspective, are composed of co-evolving natural and human systems. Both flood processes (that is, the hazard) and the values at risk (that is, settlements and infrastructure built in hazardous areas) are dynamically changing over time and influence each other. These changes influence future risk pathways. The co-evolution of all of these drivers for changes in flood risk could lead to emergent behavior. Hence, complexity theory and systems science can provide a sound theoretical framework for flood risk management in the 21st century. This review aims at providing an entry point for modelers in flood risk research to consider floodplains as complex adaptive systems. For the systems science community, the actual problems and approaches in the flood risk research community are summarized. Finally, an outlook is given on potential future coupled component modeling approaches that aims at bringing together both disciplines.
  • 关键词:flood risk; floodplains; sensitivity analysis; coupled component modeling; complex adaptive systems flood risk ; floodplains ; sensitivity analysis ; coupled component modeling ; complex adaptive systems
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有