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  • 标题:An Individual Claims History Simulation Machine
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Gabrielli, Andrea ; Wüthrich, Mario V.
  • 期刊名称:Risks
  • 印刷版ISSN:2227-9091
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:1-32
  • 出版社:MDPI, Open Access Journal
  • 摘要:The aim of this project is to develop a stochastic simulation machine that generates individual claims histories of non-life insurance claims. This simulation machine is based on neural networks to incorporate individual claims feature information. We provide a fully calibrated stochastic scenario generator that is based on real non-life insurance data. This stochastic simulation machine allows everyone to simulate their own synthetic insurance portfolio of individual claims histories and back-test thier preferred claims reserving method.
  • 关键词:claims reserving; individual claims; claims cash flows; micro-level stochastic reserving; loss reserving; claims simulation; neural network reserving; individual claims features; individual claims covariates; chain-ladder
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