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  • 标题:リアルオプションを導入した船舶のライフサイクル価値向上に関する研究
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:稗方 和夫 ; 満行 泰河 ; Moser Bryan
  • 期刊名称:日本船舶海洋工学会論文集
  • 印刷版ISSN:1880-3717
  • 电子版ISSN:1881-1760
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:23
  • 页码:231-237
  • DOI:10.2534/jjasnaoe.23.231
  • 语种:Japanese
  • 出版社:社団法人 日本船舶海洋工学会
  • 摘要:

    In shipbuilding, typically the design objective is based on technical performance of the system at a given operational profile. This paper proposes a methodology to improve life cycle value of target ships by introducing a real option approach. The proposed methodology can consider options of repairs and retrofits in a dockyard very early, during conceptual ship design. A proposed flexible design is evaluated by using a ship performance simulator and a wide range of market fluctuation scenarios generated by the Monte-Carlo method. This methodology was applied to the case study of Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) life cycle value evaluation. The result shows that flexible design including real options can significantly aid in consideration of market fluctuation scenarios in comparison with recent typical design optimization approaches.

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