摘要：The forecasting of software failure data series by Genetic Programming (GP) can be realized without any assumptions before modeling. This discovery has transformed traditional statistical modeling methods as well as improved consistency for model applicability. The individuals' different characteristics during the evolution of generations, which are randomly changeable, are treated as Markov random processes. This paper also proposes that a GP algorithm with "optimal individuals reserved strategy" is the best solution to this problem, and therefore the adaptive individuals finally will be evolved. This will allow practical applications in software reliability modeling analysis and forecasting for failure behaviors. Moreover it can verify the feasibility and availability of the GP algorithm, which is applied to software failure data series forecasting on a theoretical basis. The results show that the GP algorithm is the best solution for software failure behaviors in a variety of disciplines.
关键词：GP; Forecasting for failure data; Optimal individuals reserved strategy; Markov random processes; Astringency
