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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Quarterly Projection Model for India : Key Elements and Properties
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Benes, Jaromir ; Clinton, Kevin ; George, Asish
  • 期刊名称:IMF Policy Discussion Papers
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 期号:February
  • 出版社:International Monetary Fund
  • 摘要:This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward-looking open-economy gap model, calibrated to represent the Indian case, for generating forecasts and risk assessment as well as conducting policy analysis. QPM incorporates several India-specific features like the importance of the agricultural sector and food prices in the inflation process; features of monetary policy transmission and implications of an endogenous credibility process for monetary policy formulation. The paper also describes key properties and historical decompositions of some important macroeconomic variables
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