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  • 标题:Managing the Tide : How Do Emerging Markets Respond to Capital Flows?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Ghosh, R. Atish ; Ostry, David Jonathan ; Qureshi, S Mahvash
  • 期刊名称:IMF Policy Discussion Papers
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 期号:March
  • 出版社:International Monetary Fund
  • 摘要:This paper examines whether—and how—emerging market economies (EMEs) respond to capital flows to mitigate their untoward consequences. Based on a sample of about 50 EMEs over 2005Q1–2013Q4, we find that EME policy makers respond proactively to capital inflows by using a combination of policy tools: central banks raise the policy interest rate to address economic overheating concerns; intervene in the foreign exchange market to resist currency appreciation pressures; tighten macroprudential measures to dampen credit growth; and deploy capital inflow controls in the face of competitiveness and financial-stability concerns. Contrary to conventional policy advice to EMEs, we find no evidence of counter-cyclical fiscal policy in the face of capital inflows. Overall, policies are more likely to respond, and used in combination, during inflow surges than in more normal times
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