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  • 标题:Evaluating the Impact of Non-Financial IMF Programs Using the Synthetic Control Method
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Newiak, Monique ; Willems, Tim
  • 期刊名称:IMF Policy Discussion Papers
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 期号:May
  • 出版社:International Monetary Fund
  • 摘要:This paper develops a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with a financial accelerator which captures key features of low-income countries (LICs). The predominance of supply shocks in LICs poses distinct challenges for policymakers, given the negative correlation between inflation and the output gap in the case of supply shocks. Our results suggest that: (1) in the face of a supply-side shock, the most desirable interest rate rule involves simply targeting current inflation and smoothing the policy interest rate; and (2) ignoring financial frictions when evaluating policy rules can be particularly problematic in LICs, where financial frictions loom especially large.
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