首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月08日 星期五
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:株式市場のモメンタム効果再現モデル
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:海野 一則 ; 菊地 剛正 ; 國上 真章
  • 期刊名称:人工知能学会論文誌
  • 印刷版ISSN:1346-0714
  • 电子版ISSN:1346-8030
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:33
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:E-HB3_1-9
  • DOI:10.1527/tjsai.E-HB3
  • 语种:Japanese
  • 出版社:The Japanese Society for Artificial Intelligence
  • 摘要:

    This research has two objectives: (1) to model the momentum effect, (2) to propose a portfolio selection algorithm MESPSA that can use the momentum effect to obtain excess profit. The momentum effect is a phenomenon in which stocks that rise (decline) tend to continue to rise (decline), and momentum effect is a phenomenon often seen in the stock market. However, because existing research does not separate momentum effects from stock price fluctuations it is not always possible to obtain excess return when working with an unknown data set that contains a momentum effect. In this research, we define a new External Force Momentum Effect (EFME) model based on bias in stock price rises (declines). We prepare an artificial data set that contained this momentum effect and construct a portfolio with the proposed algorithm. The relationship between the EFME model and excess return is then analyzed to verify that excess profit can be obtained. Also, we confirm that the proposed algorithm for the actual stock price data set yields excess profits.

  • 关键词:momentum effect;anomalies;trading algorithm;on-line portfolio selection strategy
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有