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  • 标题:Explaining Why Retirees Do Not Choose Annuities in Korea: A Probability of Consumption Shortfall Approach
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Dong-Hwa Lee ; Jun-Hee An ; Joo-Ho Sung
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Finance and Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:2328-7284
  • 电子版ISSN:2328-7276
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:6
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:125-133
  • DOI:10.12691/jfe-6-4-2
  • 出版社:Science and Education Publishing
  • 摘要:Many assume that for retirees, purchasing an annuity is a better option than self-annuitization in the decumulation period. In Korea, retirees have shown a strong preference for properties (real estate), and a decision to annuitize has been extremely rare. Using a genetic algorithm, we show that self-annuitization can be recommended as an optimal choice for retirees in Korea if they consider properties as one of the investment options. We set three scenarios that a worker can choose at retirement: self-annuitization, purchasing a whole life annuity, and mixed strategy. We then calculate an optimal asset allocation for each scenario capable of minimizing probability of consumption shortfall (PCS). An important observation is achieved: the optimal asset allocation for minimizing PCS vary by the income quintiles, and PCS rises significantly as the preference for purchasing a whole-life annuity increases. In case of a large reduction in consumption after retirement, however, annuitization may be a better option for retirees in the lowest income quintile.
  • 关键词:annuity puzzle; self-annuitization; annuitization; probability of consumption shortfall; optimal asset allocation
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