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  • 标题:A Co-Integration Analysis of the Interdependencies between Crude Oil and Distillate Fuel Prices
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jane Aduda ; Patrick Weke ; Philip Ngare
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Mathematical Finance
  • 印刷版ISSN:2162-2434
  • 电子版ISSN:2162-2442
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:08
  • 期号:02
  • 页码:478-496
  • DOI:10.4236/jmf.2018.82030
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:The co-evolution and co-movement of financial time series are of utmost importance in contemporary finance, especially when considering the joint behaviour of asset price realizations. The ability to model interdependencies and volatility spill-over effects introduces interesting dimensions in finance. This paper explores co-integrating relationships between crude oil and distillate fuel prices. Existence of multivariate co-integrating relations and bidirectional Granger-Causality is established among the series. It is also established that even after fitting a full VECM, the residuals are not necessarily multivariate normal suggesting the noise could as well be multivariate GARCH.
  • 关键词:Co-Integration;Futures and Spot Prices;Granger-Causality;ECM;VECM;Volatility Spill-Over;Johansen’s Test;Engle-Granger Test
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