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  • 标题:Oil Price Forecasting Based on EMD and BP_AdaBoost Neural Network
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Huifang Qu ; Guoqiang Tang ; Qiying Lao
  • 期刊名称:Open Journal of Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:2161-718X
  • 电子版ISSN:2161-7198
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:08
  • 期号:04
  • 页码:660-669
  • DOI:10.4236/ojs.2018.84043
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:Empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and BP_AdaBoost neural network are used in this paper to model the oil price. Based on the benefits of these two methods, we predict the oil price by using them. To a certain extent, it effectively improves the accuracy of short-term price forecasting. Forecast results of this model are compared with the results of the ARIMA model, BP neural network and EMD-BP combined model. The experimental result shows that the root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and Theil inequality (U) of EMD and BP_AdaBoost model are lower than other models, and the combined model has better prediction accuracy.
  • 关键词:Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD);BP_AdaBoost Model;Oil Price
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