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  • 标题:Within and Cross Volatility Contagion Effects among Stock, Crude and Forex Returns: Empirical Evidence from Five Emerging Economies
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:George Varghese
  • 期刊名称:Theoretical Economics Letters
  • 印刷版ISSN:2162-2078
  • 电子版ISSN:2162-2086
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:08
  • 期号:08
  • 页码:1475-1492
  • DOI:10.4236/tel.2018.88095
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:The paper examines the spillover effects of return volatility among stock market index, foreign exchange market and WTI crude oil market across five emerging nations. Here a Trivariate Diagonal BEKK-GARCH model is used to estimate the time-varying conditional variance and to test the own-volatility spillover effects of returns among the three underlying variables. We find that significant own volatility spillover exists in the WTI returns followed by that of stock returns and forex returns. Further, fluctuations in WTI returns exert considerable influence over the stock market volatilities. The lagged variance of the variables as well as their lagged squared residuals from the mean equation has a positive and significant impact on the current volatility in most cases. The findings of the study are of pertinent importance to financiers, economists, investors and policymakers.
  • 关键词:Stock Market;Foreign Exchange;Crude Oil;BEKK GARCH;Clustering;Volatility Spillover
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