摘要：Growing interest in Serbia in adaptation of viticulture to climate change emerged from a recorded
positive impact of summer increased draught on domestic wine quality. Another motivation is that viticulture
has been recognized as one of the fastest developing agricultural sectors in Serbia and, to contain its growing
potential, it is crucial to provide basis for its future sustainable development. Prioritization and implementation
of adaptation measures in practice require reliable assessment of climate projections. For climate change
impact assessment is used high resolution multi-model ensemble of nine regional climate models simulations,
bias corrected, with two most probable future scenarios of GHG emissions RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for the period
2016-2100. Analysis has been done for the near future, mid-century and end of the century periods. The
periods are defined according to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report, which enables comparison of climate change
impacts with a wider region, and preferably motivate future international collaboration and knowledge
exchange.
其他摘要：Growing interest in Serbia in adaptation of viticulture to climate change emerged from a recorded positive impact of summer increased draught on domestic wine quality. Another motivation is that viticulture has been recognized as one of the fastest developing agricultural sectors in Serbia and, to contain its growing potential, it is crucial to provide basis for its future sustainable development. Prioritization and implementation of adaptation measures in practice require reliable assessment of climate projections. For climate change impact assessment is used high resolution multi-model ensemble of nine regional climate models simulations, bias corrected, with two most probable future scenarios of GHG emissions RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for the period 2016-2100. Analysis has been done for the near future, mid-century and end of the century periods. The periods are defined according to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report, which enables comparison of climate change impacts with a wider region, and preferably motivate future international collaboration and knowledge exchange.
