期刊名称：Topics in Middle Eastern and North African Economies
出版年度：2015
卷号：17
期号：1
页码：53
出版社：Loyola University Chicago
摘要：In a world with local and global instability (economic, social and financial policies), an environmental disaster can have particularly devastating effects at the economic and human levels. We are also witnessing an increasing "legalization" of the causes and consequences of environmental degradation. The issue of prediction (anticipation and evaluation) of natural and anthropogenic risk is posed in terms of moral and sometimes criminal, political responsibility, as well as to the scientific community. In this context, researchers themselves might be tempted to "hedge" legal risks, by considering in their forecasts, the most "extreme" assumptions
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