摘要：Objectives. We examined whether smokers who used e-cigarettes are more likely to quit after 1 year than smokers who had never used e-cigarettes. Methods. We surveyed California smokers (n = 1000) at 2 time points 1 year apart. We conducted logistic regression analyses to determine whether history of e-cigarette use at baseline predicted quitting behavior at follow-up, adjusting for demographics and smoking behavior at baseline. We limited analyses to smokers who reported consistent e-cigarette behavior at baseline and follow-up. Results. Compared with smokers who never used e-cigarettes, smokers who ever used e-cigarettes were significantly less likely to decrease cigarette consumption (odds ratio [OR] = 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.30, 0.87), and significantly less likely to quit for 30 days or more at follow-up (OR = 0.41; 95% CI = 0.18, 0.93). Ever-users of e-cigarettes were more likely to report a quit attempt, although this was not statistically significant (OR = 1.15; 95% CI = 0.67, 1.97). Conclusions. Smokers who have used e-cigarettes may be at increased risk for not being able to quit smoking. These findings, which need to be confirmed by longer-term cohort studies, have important policy and regulation implications regarding the use of e-cigarettes among smokers. The use of electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes)—also known as electronic nicotine delivery systems, personal vaporizers, and vaping cigarettes—is a recent and rapidly expanding phenomenon. These names refer to a battery-operated device that electronically heats a liquid (sometime referred to as “e-juice”) containing nicotine and propylene glycol, plus flavors, to create a misty vapor mimicking cigarette smoke that is inhaled by the smoker (who is commonly known as the “vaper”). This increasing use of e-cigarettes has become a controversial issue among health professionals, policymakers, vapers, and the general public. According to the surgeon general’s recent recommendations, e-cigarettes need to be regulated and their use in the population closely monitored, especially given the doubling of use among youths within just 1 year (between 2011 and 2012). 1 The main controversy surrounding the use of e-cigarettes is whether they are of benefit to smokers, as an alternative to cigarettes and for harm reduction, or whether they cause more harm to society by introducing and propagating new forms of nicotine addiction. 2 At present, there is a scarcity of data to help guide decisions regarding the potential harm versus benefits of e-cigarettes, a situation that has led to claims and counterclaims by opponents and proponents of e-cigarette use. 3 If smokers quit traditional cigarettes and instead use e-cigarettes to maintain their nicotine addiction (but without the degree of exposure to known carcinogenic byproducts of tobacco combustion), this may be a viable harm reduction strategy that can become a powerful tool for tobacco control. Most of the evidence that users and proponents of e-cigarettes employ have been anecdotal and not scientifically validated; recently, however, more studies on this topic have appeared. One of the first, a pilot study funded by the manufacturers of an e-cigarette brand from Italy, included 40 smokers who were given e-cigarettes and followed up for 24 weeks. The authors reported a 22.5% rate of sustained abstinence from cigarettes among e-cigarette users, a rate comparable to the effects of nicotine replacement therapy in experimental settings. 4 However, this study was underpowered because of the small number of participants. A more recent and larger 3-arm trial of e-cigarette use from New Zealand randomized participants to use e-cigarettes (nicotine or placebo) or nicotine patches to quit smoking. Abstinence rates at 6-month follow-up were low across conditions (4.1%–7.8%), with the highest rate found with nicotine e-cigarettes and the lowest with placebo e-cigarettes, 5 but no significant differences emerged. In addition to its low statistical power, the study included a potential methodological bias because those in the e-cigarette arm of the trial were mailed the device and cartridges while those in the nicotine patch arm were mailed a voucher (thus requiring that they obtain the nicotine patches). The difference in dose of nicotine and type of e-cigarettes is an additional major limiting factor in interpreting these results across different studies. An earlier study of a convenience sample of 81 ever-users of e-cigarettes concluded that most participants were using them to quit smoking, 6 but it provided no clear indication of how successful they were. A larger follow-up survey of e-cigarette users by the same authors indicated that almost all former smokers (96%) agreed that e-cigarettes helped them quit smoking and 57.7% of current smokers believed that e-cigarettes would help them quit or avoid relapsing. 7 However, these studies were biased toward self-selected current users without any comparison groups, and the actual influence on quitting among ever-users versus never-users is unknown. More recently, a meta-analysis by Grana et al. found that all 4 prospective studies that assessed the influence of e-cigarette use on quitting behavior found that e-cigarette use did not assist smokers in quitting. 8 We prospectively assessed how ever using e-cigarettes, compared with never using them, affected abstinence and smoking habits among smokers in the general population. Given that previous data suggest that smokers mostly use e-cigarettes to quit smoking, we hypothesized that smokers in the general population who have tried or who currently use e-cigarettes are more likely to succeed in quitting than smokers who never used them, after controlling for level of addiction, quitting intentions, and smoking behavior.
