摘要：Between December 2009 and January 2010, we conducted a nationally
representative telephone survey of US adults (n=1001; completion rate=52.9%)
to explore perceptions of risks associated with peak petroleum. We asked
respondents to assess the likelihood that oil prices would triple over the next 5
years and then to estimate the economic and health consequences of that event.
Nearly half (48%) indicated that oil prices were likely to triple, causing harm to
human health; an additional 16% said dramatic price increases were unlikely but
would harm health if they did occur. A large minority (44%) said sharp increases
in oil prices would be ‘‘very harmful’’ to health. Respondents who self-identified
as very conservative and those who were strongly dismissive of climate change
were the respondents most likely to perceive very harmful health consequences.
