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文章基本信息

  • 标题:How uncertain are economic policies? New evidence from a firm survey
  • 作者:Masayuki Morikawa
  • 期刊名称:Economic Analysis and Policy
  • 印刷版ISSN:0313-5926
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 卷号:52
  • 页码:114-122
  • DOI:10.1016/j.eap.2016.09.003
  • 出版社:Elsevier B.V.
  • 摘要:

    This study, using data from an original survey covering both public and private firms in Japan, presents evidence on uncertainties over economic policies, their effects on managerial decisions, and firms’ evaluations of the government’s numerical targets related to economic policies. The results indicate that Japanese firms perceive uncertainty over certain economic policies, such as the social security system, tax policy, fiscal expenditure, and international trade policy. Policy uncertainties have substantial effects on managerial decisions, especially on equipment investment and hiring of regular employees. Medium- to long-term numerical targets related to the government’s economic policies are perceived to be difficult to achieve.

  • 关键词:Uncertainty ; Economic policy ; Managerial decision ; Numerical target
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